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00:00Could we have an NBA Finals, Joe, that will continue tonight in game number two in San Antonio?
00:04Also end up 1-1 before heading back to New York City.
00:08Knicks and the Spurs tonight, 8.30 p.m. Eastern game time.
00:11Line opened up around 5.5, similar to what we saw in game number one, Joe,
00:14where that line moved closer to 4.5 by tip time.
00:16Now we're seeing those 5.5s out here turn into 6.5s across the board, the total of 2.14
00:22.5.
00:22It feels like a must-win game for the San Antonio Spurs, but at the same time,
00:26this isn't a Knicks team that's walking on the basketball court going,
00:29like, ah, no big deal.
00:30We won game one, and we've lost a few games.
00:32Joe, it's been 40-plus days since they lost a game.
00:36That's going to throw in the towel and say let's go back to New York 1-1.
00:38Give me a spread line tonight.
00:41Well, you know, this is interesting.
00:43What are we, 48 hours removed, and we went from 4.4.5 San Antonio to now 6.5 San
00:51Antonio
00:51with a total of 2.14, Donnie, 2.14.5, and yet we closed at 2.18.
00:5748 hours ago.
00:59So the adjustment to the total, I get why that's going on.
01:04My only fear here is that, yeah, the Knicks ended up having one of their worst statistical
01:10shooting games of the postseason and still won by 10.
01:14If we're going to get positive regression, certainly from the wide-open threes that both
01:18these teams, you know, had opportunities to make shots on, this could be a total, Donnie,
01:26that we're going to wake up tomorrow and go, I cannot believe we didn't bet the over here
01:31because, listen, you got to score if you're going to win this game.
01:34And both of these teams can play better offensively than they did in game one.
01:39So I get why the lines are where they're at here, but boy, oh boy, this is one of those
01:46moments in time
01:47in the postseason, Donnie, where maybe being contrarian is the most profitable thing you will do all year long.
01:56Speaking of being contrarian as well, Joe, about six out of ten tickets coming in on the New York Knicks
02:01with that line going a little bit in the opposite direction, something to keep an eye on for this
02:05that you might hear in hour number two.
02:07Key word of the day today, Joe, is wrong.
02:10W-R-O-N-G.
02:12Well, what do you mean wrong, Donnie?
02:13Your last name is right side here.
02:15How can it be wrong?
02:15Joe, hear me out on this because we've been talking about this for some time,
02:19and I love the way this is being phrased.
02:21Let's go to the Sports Business Journal.
02:22He sent out a tweet yesterday, Commissioner Adam Silver said the NBA's new 3-2-1 draft lottery process
02:29will create a world we've never seen before, Joe.
02:31All 30 teams have incentive to win all their games.
02:35So correct me, Joe, if I'm wrong here on this.
02:39Why?
02:40Because you can tank but not tank too much, but if you're still losing, you get incentive to lose, but
02:47not that much.
02:48What is he talking about where nobody has incentive to lose?
02:51Because if you are losing, but not losing enough, you will get better draft picks than the team that loses
02:57too much.
02:58So still, if you lose, there is incentive to lose.
03:01Did I miss anything?
03:02No, you pretty much nailed it, Donnie.
03:05That's it.
03:06He's doubling down, which just cracks me up.
03:10Well, you know what?
03:11Time will tell, Donnie.
03:12Here's what's going to happen here.
03:14Because he's going to have play-in teams that have no interest in winning a play-in game and advancing
03:19because they know they're not going to win anything.
03:21And they're actually going to have play-in teams that are likely going to land, you know, with top five
03:26picks.
03:27And let's see how the rest of the league reacts to that.
03:31And again, the NBA does it to themselves.
03:33And also, it's a superstar league.
03:34They pick where they want to go.
03:35The money is incredibly crazy.
03:36So they're like, okay, I can't get an extra $20 million to go to Los Angeles.
03:41And then team owners are like, I don't know.
03:42We'll set you up with a trade company to get you that $20 million.
03:45Like, we're never going to fix this.
03:47We know, honestly, if they wanted to do something, and it wouldn't be healthy for the league.
03:50They actually come out and be like, you know what?
03:52Every single team, all 30, Joe, forget about the non-playoff teams.
03:56You get one ping-pong ball.
03:57We pull them out one by one, one through 30.
03:59You know what that does?
04:00You have zero incentive to lose.
04:02This is the stupidest thing we've ever heard because, you know, tanking is rampant in the NBA because they have
04:06too many games and the players don't care.
04:08And they want to extend their careers so they're going to sit out, and it's better for the ping-pong
04:11balls.
04:12This is slightly better than that, but still absolutely ridiculous here.
04:16And they want you to believe that it's going to be the ultimate elixir to fixing tanking.
04:20No, it's not.
04:21It'll never happen.
04:21But you know what helps tanking as well, Joe?
04:24How about your players not actually betting on basketball games for themselves or their team or saying, hey, guys, want
04:30to make a quick hundred grand?
04:32I'm going to quote, unquote, hurt my ankle in the first minute, and let's all cash in.
04:37How about this?
04:38NBA free agent Terry Rozier must forfeit most of his $26.6 million salary from 2025-2026 season due to
04:46his alleged role in a sports gambling scheme and arbitrator rules.
04:50Makes sense here, Joe.
04:51So gamble, get caught, lose your money.
04:55Exactly correct, Donnie.
04:56I mean, you know, you certainly didn't earn it.
04:59So why should anybody be, you know, why should the Miami Heat or whoever be responsible to pay it?
05:05So go ahead and get the money back and deliver it back.
05:09Again, all of this because of $100,000.
05:12He took $100,000.
05:14It just, it's head-scratching, Donnie.
05:16Absolutely head-scratching.
05:18You look back, Joe, like the, what, the Boston College kids back in, I think, the early 1980s when they
05:22were shaving games for like $1,000 because they were poor as heck, and that was a lot of money,
05:26and they weren't making any money, obviously.
05:27But now you take a look at a guy that makes $20 million, like give me an extra $100,000.
05:31And pick, call your agent, do a local ad for a radio station that has a car dealership, and get
05:36the money that way.
05:37Unbelievable that people still act this way.
05:40Darren Revell tweet, the get-in price for Madison Square Garden, Joe, that we brought up to start the show,
05:45now selling for more than $6,000.
05:46Lowers are $9,000.
05:47And courtside, Joe, starts at $50,000.
05:50Now, I disagree with the last statement here.
05:52I know Toronto's a big hockey city, but I believe in that, like, you know, rinkside seats would start at
05:58$50,000 and Toronto stopped.
06:00Like, New York is a one-off year, Joe.
06:01The richest probably city in the world.
06:03This is what happens when they're starved for a championship and endless runs.
06:07I know Toronto hasn't won a Stanley Cup or been to one in a while, but I don't know if
06:10the get-in price would be $6,000 in Toronto.
06:15No, it wouldn't.
06:16And, yeah, it might be in L.A., but it's certainly going to be more than that in New York.
06:22But, you know, listen, it trickles down, Donnie, right?
06:25I mean, the Knicks being in the finals makes a whole lot of people in New York a whole lot
06:31of money during these games.
06:34Let's get to Brunson here on what he thinks about these prices.
06:37There was a report that in the last row of the Garden, their seats on sale for $7,500.
06:43I'm curious, what show would you pay $7,500 to go see?
06:48That's a good question.
06:57A live Michael Jackson performance.
07:00Mmm.
07:02Didn't see that in the comments.
07:03That was a good one.
07:06But, honestly, like, he's been passed away for quite some time.
07:09If Michael Jackson was alive, you still wouldn't pay $7,500 there to get involved with a Michael Jackson concert.
07:14My answer would have been quick, Joe.
07:16It would have been, no, none, never.
07:18$7,500.
07:19I'd make hundreds of millions of dollars.
07:21I'm out on that here.
07:22You better not be out on the early line.
07:24It's a Friday.
07:24The action is hot.
07:25We'll be right back after this short break.
07:27Number two in the NBA Finals.
07:30You can't go down 0-2 in your own building and expect to survive heading back to that hornet's nest
07:35on Madison Square Garden Monday night.
07:38But we do have game two tonight.
07:40Knicks and the Spurs, Kevin.
07:41This line, very interesting.
07:43After you saw in game number one, the New York Knicks basically choked out the Spurs in the second half
07:47of that game.
07:48Won by double digits.
07:50The spread in that game, Kevin, four and a half to five and a half.
07:52This game, look at that marker.
07:54Six and a half and a total of 214.
07:56What did you think when you saw that line?
07:58What do you think happens tonight?
08:00Yeah, I think it's a little out of control.
08:02I'm almost hoping it doesn't move another point because then I'll have no...
08:06I have to bet the Knicks then.
08:08If we get to seven, seven and a half, like, it isn't...
08:11They haven't lost in ages.
08:15Like, you know, everyone knows the date now.
08:17April 23rd.
08:18It's just nuts.
08:21I don't like paying, you know, premiums on spots.
08:25Like, we all can acknowledge it.
08:27Sometimes there's going to be a level of tax.
08:29I understand that.
08:30But you're like, did the Spurs, like, did I miss something?
08:36Was there an injury that popped up?
08:37Is everybody convinced that the Spurs look better in that game?
08:40I know Wemby is.
08:41I know Wemby is convinced that all they have to do is play normal.
08:44As if the Knicks can't also play better.
08:47As if the Knicks, you know, in Jalen Brunson wasn't horrific through two and a half quarters of the game.
08:55I, like, it's a little wild here.
08:58I am going to, you know, I don't know.
09:02Do you use the Spurs money line with, like, a couple of options and just try and get a couple
09:07of even money items on the board?
09:09I think that's tempting.
09:11I'll say this, and not to skip ahead, guys, but what are the guarding numbers going to be?
09:16Are you really telling me the Spurs are going to be booked as favorites in the garden?
09:20Because that's laughable.
09:21Like, there's just no justification for that, in my opinion here, fellas.
09:27Yeah.
09:28Well, what happens if they go to the garden down 2-0?
09:30What's that line going to be there?
09:32Because then they have to win, Kev.
09:34You understand that, right?
09:35They have to win.
09:36Tonight is a must win, which, of course, means we should just run to the window and bet it.
09:43What do you think about the total?
09:45Because the fact is, the Knicks shot horribly.
09:48One of the worst shooting games of their playoff run here, and yet they still won by 10.
09:53So, what happens if both teams get a little positive regression here, certainly on some of these open threes?
09:592-14, 2-14 and a half?
10:02Yeah, I would look towards the over.
10:04Over, I think the three-point shooting really for everybody was terrible, but the Spurs specifically, they, if you remove
10:10the Julian Champagny performance, they were 18% from beyond the arc.
10:1718% from beyond the arc.
10:20I mean, they were 26 with his performance, so it's not like that's any good either here.
10:24I think what is difficult, and again, as much as I'm not trying to lay the six and a half
10:29things of that nature, right, is the Spurs have gotten to a point now where it feels like they only
10:35win by, like, blowout fashion.
10:37I know that that maybe is overstating what was a pretty close Game 7, but, like, do the Spurs have
10:45to win this game by 19 in order for this to be comfortable?
10:49And if so, does that mean they're scoring 125 or they're holding the Knicks to 98?
10:55I think that's what you're trying to probably figure out here, depending on the side that you like in this
11:00one.
11:01Let's see if we've got odds.
11:02Let's hear from the people out here.
11:03Here's our fave to public poll.
11:12The question we need to know from the people out there is which way are they going in tonight's ball
11:16game, Joe?
11:17That's the NBA Finals game number two, San Antonio.
11:20Take a look at this.
11:21The Knicks, the Spurs, the over, the under.
11:23I currently have it listed at 50-50 between the Knicks and the Spurs, but that's the question we asked
11:27tonight, Joe.
11:28I don't know if the NBA wants this going 2-0 back to New York and possibly a short series.
11:33They want ratings.
11:33They love ratings, and they'll get ratings if the series goes longer than four games.
11:40Well, I'm curious.
11:42Is it what we saw Scott Foster in game one?
11:45So is it are we following that up with the other hit man there, Tony Brothers here, who's never met
11:51a whistle?
11:51He didn't like to blow.
11:52Is that what is that what we got going on here tonight?
11:55Kind of feels that's the direction we could be going.
11:58Interesting stuff as now we get to Friday's payday.
12:02Those best bets that you need.
12:04Here's bye-bye-bye.
12:11Talk to me, Joe Ranieri, after last night's Cub victory.
12:15Boy, you are sitting on the right side here.
12:17Where do we go tonight for an extension of that win streak?
12:21All right.
12:22Three in one week.
12:22Let's finish it off with a winner, Donnie, to make it four in one.
12:26And let's go to San Antonio.
12:29Game two of the finals here.
12:32And I told you earlier, it'll pay to be a contrarian here in some of these spots.
12:38And I think the overreaction to the total is just correct.
12:42214 is just not enough for two teams that are willing to shoot as many threes and wide open threes.
12:50Because both of these teams defensively have no problem letting guys shoot it from the perimeter without guarding them.
12:57I think positive regression.
12:59I think we get points here tonight, Donnie.
13:01Not to mention, Tony Brothers, free throws.
13:05Give me the over.
13:07Let me get this straight, Joe.
13:08Game number one.
13:09Knicks didn't even play all that well.
13:11Knicks won by double digits.
13:12That line was four and a half as a favorite for the Spurs in game number one.
13:15Game number two, six and a half.
13:17What?
13:17Almost a touchdown.
13:19That's way too many points.
13:20Not so fast, people.
13:2260% of the tickets coming in on the Knicks with some reverse line movement.
13:26Give me those San Antonio Spurs tonight.
13:29The Churros, Joe.
13:31And as Charles Barkley says, the big old women as well.
13:33Spurs, minus six and a half.
13:35Minus 102.
13:37That sounds like a 2-0 night on a Friday.
13:39B&E continues.
13:42Exactly, but let's get down to the business tonight, Joe.
13:45Game number two, NBA Finals in San Antonio.
13:47The Knicks and the Spurs on the Cal State Marketplace, the favorite?
13:50No question.
13:51It's going to be San Antonio tonight.
13:53Chance to win listed at 66%, but the yes contract, Joe, actually inflated up to 68 cents, which
13:59means $100 investment on the San Antonio Spurs to win outright tonight, Joe, pays back 148.
14:05But as we know, game number one went to the New York Knicks by double digits.
14:09You think they can win outright and go up 2-0 in the series?
14:12We're heading back to a Monday night game in the Garden.
14:15$100 investment pays back 304 on the Knicks.
14:18Yeah, I mean, listen, it's going to be interesting here tonight, right?
14:23What version of these two teams shows up?
14:26Because both these teams left plenty of room for improvement here after game one.
14:32So are we going to see that improvement here tonight, or is it going to be all one way?
14:37Listen, the Knicks stole home court advantage here.
14:40But I'm going to go back to this total and this dropping four points from where we were
14:45last game, keep in mind, too, you've got a San Antonio team, Donnie, that had no problem
14:51flying over the totals against the best defense in the NBA in the Oklahoma City Thunder, and
14:58they just could not hit the shots in game one.
15:02I think both teams shoot better from the perimeter.
15:05I think we get a little more foul shooting here tonight.
15:08I think it gets more physical, and I think we're going to go flying over this total.
15:12And I think that is probably the market with the most room to improve.
15:17And if we get points, Joe, that means people have to be scoring buckets here.
15:22And also, look at Victor Rebanyama.
15:24You think he goes off tonight?
15:25How about 30-plus points?
15:27That current contract, only $0.38, which means a $100 investment on Wemby getting 30-plus.
15:32That pays back 264.
15:34Exciting game tonight.
15:35Let's see how it goes.
15:36Let's see how it goes.
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