00:00Long-range forecasting is always a tricky thing, but there's a great team here at AccuWeather.
00:04Joe Lumberg is going to check in with a look at what to expect a little deeper into the month
00:09of June.
00:11Heading toward the middle of June, and one of the three things we want to know about this period from
00:15the 12th through the 18th,
00:17there's going to be a heat surge in the east, and I think it's going to be accompanied by more
00:20notable humidity than we've seen so far this year.
00:24In contrast, it's going to be bone dry for most of the west and pretty toasty.
00:28The window remains open for something to come out of the tropics, and we'll explain that in a little bit.
00:33Let's take a look at the U.S. drought monitor and notice the areas here in the south and the
00:37east remain very, very dry.
00:39We need some help in these areas.
00:41We've had plenty of moisture across much of the Ohio Valley in the interior northeast, but it's dried out of
00:46late, so we could use some more rain.
00:48Most of the west, as you can see right now, is just very, very dry, and the pattern going forward
00:52through the middle of the month doesn't look beneficial.
00:54You're probably going to have to wait until late June or July for some of that monsoon moisture to start
00:58sneaking up into the southern Rockies, otherwise hot and dry.
01:02It will trend cooler, I think, across the northern Rockies into the nation's midsection with this deepening up our level
01:07trough,
01:07but that allows the heat and the humidity to come up into the east, and I think so after a
01:12very comfortable start to next week,
01:13you're going to see that change, and it may last through next weekend and into the beginning of the following
01:17week
01:17before there's another cold front that comes through the area.
01:20Before that can happen, though, maybe some of this moisture can sneak in from out of the tropics.
01:24How could that happen?
01:25Well, there's plenty of moisture on the Pacific side of Central America right now.
01:29We believe some of that's going to be drifting northward into either the western Caribbean or the southern Gulf of
01:35America.
01:36So this is the area of concern that we've kind of outlined in white right here.
01:39Certainly, water temperatures are warm enough that something could develop under the right conditions.
01:44We do believe that there'll be reduced wind shear.
01:47That doesn't mean that something's going to form, but the opportunity exists,
01:51and if that happens, maybe you get a little influx of jet energy, something could develop.
01:55And anywhere really from the central Gulf Coast eastward toward Florida is at risk,
01:59and some of that moisture will probably get into the southeast one way or another
02:02to help alleviate the drought conditions in those areas.
02:06All right, good stuff, Joe.
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