00:00We have sunny skies here in the northeast corner of Iowa.
00:03You can feel the moist underneath dry profile up here.
00:06That's contributing to extreme instability in northeast Iowa and to southern Wisconsin, even northern Illinois.
00:13That's where the threat of EF2 and stronger tornadoes is greatest right on the nose of this system.
00:19There is a surface low that's going to move across north central Iowa,
00:21and there's already some storms starting to fire just ahead of that surface low out there.
00:25So I do expect a tornado watch to come shortly.
00:28The supercells up here are going to fire a little bit earlier.
00:31They're going to develop as early as 1 p.m., and in fact, they're already starting to develop in north
00:35central Iowa,
00:36and there is a threat of all hazards here.
00:38As we mentioned, large hail, damaging straight-line winds, and EF2 and stronger tornadoes.
00:43And in between, down further south in Missouri into western Illinois,
00:47a damaging straight-line wind event is most likely further south into Oklahoma.
00:52It looks like damaging wind and large hail will be the main threat,
00:55but a conditional threat of a strong tornado exists down there with that southern mode as well
00:59as the low-level jet ramps up, but that depends on supercells developing ahead of the cold front,
01:04maybe even on the dry line that extends south through western Oklahoma.
01:08But we are in the Dominator 3, full-blown tornado intercept mode today.
01:12Very important to stay tuned to those severe weather watches and warnings from Oklahoma all the way up to Wisconsin.
01:17That's the Red River up to Lake Superior today.
01:20A very large-scale severe weather outbreak is about to begin.
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