00:00Portland and San Antonio.
00:02Let's check out some of the other Western Conference games.
00:04I think Portland could put a scare, you know, meaning I think it'll be 2-1 after three.
00:12San Antonio winning it.
00:13They're a monster 20-1 favorite.
00:15I wouldn't do that.
00:16Spurs are only, I say, Portland did beat them one time.
00:202-1 San Antonio, straight up and against the spread.
00:23Wemby, though, didn't play in any of the three games.
00:25I will say that.
00:27Avigia might be his coming out party.
00:28You know, he's a good example, Tom, of how bad franchises are just bad franchises.
00:34You can have the top overall pick 20 times in a row.
00:37You know, this guy was on the Washington Wizards.
00:39You watch him play.
00:41It's like how in the world did you let this dude go and do everything in your power to keep
00:47him?
00:47I mean, he's a superstar.
00:49He's a budding superstar.
00:50This might be his coming out party.
00:5225 points in seven straight games.
00:55I think they could put, like I said, a little bit of a scare into San Antonio.
01:00You know, the way I would phrase it is if Portland's not in it early, they're not going to be
01:04in it at all.
01:06And, you know, to put a scare in them, like, I think they have to come out and they have
01:08to be close in the first half of game one.
01:10So just looking to that spread at six and a half points for Portland, like they've got to come out
01:14and punch San Antonio in the mouth.
01:16Like they have to come out and show that they're not scared of them because if they do fall behind,
01:20then the series is 4-0 or 4-1.
01:22That's how I, but if Portland come out strong, you know, best foot forward, they have to cover that first
01:28half spread in game one to keep things close.
01:31And I think, frankly, they could stay within the number in four of the five games if the series ends
01:36up, you know, four to one.
01:38Yeah, 10 and a half is a pretty big number.
01:41I will tell you this, Spurs, NBA, again, I don't put a lot of Koreans into this, but we'll throw
01:46it out there.
01:47NBA record 10-0 against Portland in the postseason in the playoffs.
01:51That's the most win by one team against another team without a loss.
01:55But, again, they haven't faced each other in the odds, right?
01:58So, but Avijit, 30 points, 30 and a half points and assists in five straight road games.
02:04He can get the job done on the road, including a win against San Antonio a couple weeks ago when
02:09he had 29 points.
02:10So, would I lay the – that might be a good one.
02:13What are the – I don't have it in front of me.
02:14What are the odds of San Antonio laying a game and a half?
02:17Even that's got to be about 10-1, right?
02:19Yeah, for San Antonio for that one, for laying a game and a half, it's minus 475 at least on
02:24DK.
02:25Wow.
02:26So, you really got to lay two and a half games.
02:28Right.
02:29I'm not comfortable with that.
02:30Yeah, the two and a half is minus 210.
02:33Yeah.
02:34You know, when you do this stuff, folks, you got to kind of play out the series.
02:37And you say, all right, so they got to win five, right?
02:40So, they win the first two.
02:42They split three and four.
02:43And then they win game five at home.
02:45It's like, okay.
02:46You know, when you play it out, it's like, okay, that's doable, right?
02:50But it sounds more doable than I'm comfortable actually doing it.
02:55You know, to not win two games in a series.
02:58But chances are – I don't know.
03:00The Spurs team, you like them.
03:01I mean, you can't help but like them.
03:03But this is the first time, you know, jumping into the pool for San Antonio.
03:07That's why I don't have them going to the finals.
03:09I got to see it first.
03:10I generally believe it takes one year to kind of get your feet wet before you really go all in.
03:15Right.
03:16And that's, you know, frankly, part of the reason to back the Pistons.
03:19Like, they kind of, you know, got their bumps and bruises last year in the playoffs.
03:23And now they are ready to take that next step and truly show that they are a serious contender.
03:28Ben, maybe this is just the first step for the Spurs.
03:30And next year we can kind of be, you know, I don't want to say all in on them, but
03:33a bigger position on them.
03:36Yeah.
03:37Real quickly, Phoenix and OKC, we can touch more on it on the other side.
03:41I don't think this one's going to go more than – this one I would be comfortable laying two and
03:45a half.
03:46I'm not in love with this Suns team.
03:48They played well last night.
03:49Give them credit.
03:50But I can't see them taking two games against the Thunder.
03:53No.
03:54The long and short of it is, you know, when the Thunder get rolling at home, they're not just covering
03:59numbers.
03:59You know, you could alt them.
04:00And if they cover the 13 and a half, they're probably covering 15 or 16 and a half, as we
04:04saw them do routinely this season.
04:06The playoffs last year, that first series when they're winning by 30 or 40.
04:09So, yeah, you're not going to lay the one and a half on the Thunder minus 800.
04:12But them winning the series 4-0 direct outcome, that's a look to have.
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