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In an exclusive interview with India Today, Ian Bremmer, Founder and President of Eurasia Group, discusses the ongoing geopolitical crisis and peace talks between the United States and Iran in Islamabad.
Transcript
00:05and with all eyes on the talks that are set to begin in Islamabad tomorrow I'm
00:10joined by a very special guest joined by Ian Bremer one of the world's leading
00:15political risk consultants founder and chairperson of the Eurasia group
00:19appreciate your joining us here mr. Bremer on India today want to understand
00:24from you that big question that we are posing do you really now expect a
00:30lasting peace out of these negotiations or are we still at a very fragile state
00:36when it comes to this conflict in West Asia I don't know about a lasting peace
00:42but I think it's a very big deal that the American president has who you know
00:48unilaterally started this war has decided that he wants to climb down I mean he's
00:55the one that decided on the war goals the timing the extent and and the Iranians
01:02were prepared to offer these same terms weeks ago and Trump said no and and now
01:08he's changed his mind so he has the ability irrespective of what other
01:15countries do in the region if he wants to stop fighting and declare victory he
01:19can do that so that I what I guess I'm saying to you is I think that that change
01:24in Trump is very significant
01:30but but what caused this change as you say these terms that the Iranians have put
01:35down were also on the table possibly a couple of weeks ago then the Americans
01:40seem to reject them they seem to have a maximalist position now two weeks later
01:45we have negotiations taking place in Islamabad to be led by none other than
01:50the US vice president so clearly a lot of political equity in these negotiations
01:56what has changed Mr. Bremer well the costs have added up this morning we saw an
02:02inflation number of 3.3 in the United States and that's only going up from
02:07here gas prices of four dollars a gallon diesel over five this is you know Trump
02:15has never had direct responsibility for a major economic downturn before you
02:20couldn't blame him for COVID until now and and he is polling very badly he's
02:26going to lose midterms on the back of this decision and his performance on
02:32economic affordability so so he knows this is not going well and also militarily
02:39the Iranians were showing much more capacity to continue to engage in
02:45ballistic missile strikes even after their stockpiles have been hit CENTCOM had
02:51initially assessed that it would take them months to dig out those missiles in some
02:55cases they've done it in less than 24 hours so I think a combination of the
03:01economic consequences the military capacity of the Iranians and the fact that
03:07Trump did not have a workable military plan in the near term to reopen the
03:13strait changed his orientation to how he wanted to play success or failure in his war
03:27let's break down exactly what you've just said Mr. Bremer the economic
03:31consequences you're telling me that you believe that Donald Trump has finally
03:35recognized that a prolonged war is going to hit America's economy it's possibly of
03:41course going to hit the global economy it's already done so rising fuel prices
03:47elections in November that was the primary driver surely he would have been aware of
03:52this a couple of weeks ago was he expecting a quick war and that never
03:58happened he thought the Iranians were going to capitulate at the beginning this
04:03is what the Israeli Prime Minister told him but it also comported with his own
04:08personal experience with Iran when he ordered the assassination of Qasem Soleimani
04:13head of the Quds Force at the end of his first term when he engaged with the
04:16Israelis in the 12-day war last June in both cases the Iranians talked a big game
04:23but they actually did very little to respond militarily against the United
04:27States so Trump felt like he had their number he also of course in Venezuela
04:33experienced enormous success at the beginning of the year with his own
04:38military so he believed that after the Supreme Leader was assassinated with a
04:44tremendous display of American military force that the new Iranian leadership
04:50rather similar to the old Iranian leadership would be willing to cut a deal
04:54the way that Delcy Rodriguez has in Venezuela that was Trump's perspective and
04:59of course he was also being told by his own advisors how brilliant he is how
05:05successful his military plans even those that were skeptical were not willing to
05:11give him an unvarnished criticism internally which is always a dangerous
05:17position for a leader of any organization to be in you want their best experts to
05:23tell them what they really think Trump has created an environment where they
05:27don't do that where instead they flatter him now one thing we know is no matter how
05:33much flattery he receives Trump reads the news he knows what gas costs he sees the
05:40markets he watches it every day and so that can't be obscured by his own
05:46advisors in the way that military success in scenario planning can be
05:55let's then turn to that military success that you spoke about it appeared in the
05:59initial stages that the Americans and the Israelis were successful in to
06:04substantial extent targeting Iranian infrastructure assassinating several
06:10leaders from the regime what changed did the change in your view that has led to
06:15the situation that we now have these peace talks once the Iranians recognized how
06:20they could weaponize the Strait of Hormuz was that the turning point and was
06:24that in a way where Donald Trump and the Israelis perhaps misread the situation
06:29Israel's ability Iran's ability to use the Strait of Hormuz as this weapon that's that's not a
06:37surprise every administration for decades that has thought about Iran and the Middle East understands
06:44geography the geography hasn't changed the Strait is very narrow Iran is on one side of it
06:51their capacity to disrupt it has always existed now there is much greater drone capability we've seen
07:01this with Ukraine and Russia and the war in the last four years certainly America's ability to reduce or
07:10destroy Iran's ability to use drones against the Strait and against countries in the Gulf and their own
07:18infrastructure I mean the strikes on the Qataris in their LNG facility which will take five years
07:26to repair and has caused some 20 billion dollars of damage that that certainly is is new and I do
07:35think
07:36that Iran's ballistic missile capabilities hypersonic missiles with long range that have the ability to evade
07:45defences for some of the most hardened facilities in the world here I'm thinking about the Prince Sultan
07:51Air Base in Riyadh I think that was a surprise to the U.S. military I think they did not
07:59believe the
08:00Iranians had that capability so that factored in but but the ability of the Iranians to disrupt the
08:07strait was not new Trump discounted it because of his overconfidence that the military strikes would lead the
08:15Iranians to give up and capitulate the way they had in previous U.S. attacks that were of course
08:23much more restrained
08:28let's come to the specific risks involved in the the scenarios from these talks even as the talks take
08:35place there's uncertainty about what Israel for example does with southern Lebanon the Iranians are insisting
08:41that Lebanon is part of the negotiations that there was a commitment that the strikes would stop in
08:49Lebanon but we've still had even this morning strikes take place albeit fewer than yesterday in which
08:55approximately 300 people were killed are we seeing therefore Israel's objectives still very different now from the
09:03Americans the Americans as you say are willing to talk willing to negotiate the Israelis are particularly keen to use
09:10this
09:10moment to in a way send a very strong message to the Hezbollah and the various Iranian militias
09:18Well they have the same enemies right I mean in the sense that the Americans you know think Hezbollah is
09:25a terrorist organization so does Israel the U.S. would like them destroyed so does Israel
09:30The Americans see the Iranian regime as a rogue state and they were fully prepared to support the assassination of
09:39the supreme leader so does Israel the Iranians say death to America death to Israel the two countries perceive it
09:45in a similar way almost no other countries in the world perceive it that way but the U.S. and
09:50the Israel are broadly aligned having said that Trump's war goals have changed the U.S. is thousands of miles
09:59away
09:59And is kind of sick of this war at this point the Israelis still have many things they wish to
10:04accomplish and it seems pretty clear to me when the Pakistani prime minister tells the Iranians that the ceasefire includes
10:12Hezbollah and Lebanon that they heard that from the Americans and the Israelis refused to go along
10:19So I think that that does show a willingness of the Israelis to act unilaterally even as they follow the
10:27Americans in accepting a ceasefire on Iranian territory
10:31Trump has been a little angry about that
10:35And as a consequence you've heard the vice president Vance say that they've asked the Israelis to tone it down
10:44a bit
10:45A bit is not exactly stop
10:48But we've seen an announcement from the Israeli prime minister that they are going to engage directly in negotiations with
10:56the Lebanese government in Washington early next week
11:00That could lead to a ceasefire agreed with Beirut
11:04Perhaps with a stronger timeline on disarmament of Hezbollah which they had agreed to heretofore but they had not been
11:15able to execute on it
11:17So I could see that ceasefire actually coming into place
11:23And that would of course create more confidence that you could maintain a broader ceasefire with the Iranians going forward
11:29But as of today we don't have that
11:35You see as of today also we still don't have any kind of trust between the Iranians and the Americans
11:42On significant points whether it's nuclear enrichment
11:45Whether it is who will control the state of Hormuz
11:48Whether the Iranians will be free to charge ships that come through the state of Hormuz
11:52On a number of issues Mr. Bremer
11:55We do not seem to have that basic agreement because there is so much mistrust on both sides
12:00Given that
12:01Do you really believe that these talks are anything more than just the two sides sizing each other up at
12:08the moment?
12:09Well first of all
12:10We didn't have talks a week ago
12:13We only had indirect sharing of different positions by the foreign minister and by Steve Witkoff
12:22So this is obviously a significant step up in a willingness to engage
12:26I agree there's no trust but it's not like the Americans trust the Chinese
12:32It's not like the Americans trust the French at this point
12:37Or the French trust the Americans
12:39So I'm not sure trust is the key question to ask about here
12:43And as I said at the beginning
12:45If Trump decides he doesn't want to fight this war anymore
12:48You don't need trust to stop fighting against the Iranians
12:53You just say I won I'm done it's over
12:55And if the Americans don't have an effective military strategy to reopen the strait
13:01Then the U.S. can be angry about Iran charging tolls
13:06But they can't do anything about it and other countries around the world will find a way to engage with
13:11Iran
13:11And sooner or later more ships will go through
13:14After all the Americans have suspended sanctions against the Iranians to allow their tankers to sell oil to countries around
13:22the world
13:23Including your own country at a significant premium
13:26That was a decision by the United States
13:28So Trump obviously doesn't like Iran
13:30Wants to blow up Iran
13:32But is happy to have them make money
13:35If that means that oil prices are coming down
13:38His preferences in this regard are fairly clear
13:42So I do think that if Trump is focused on ending the war
13:48Then I don't think trust really matters
13:51There is of course another way to read what's happening
13:54And we haven't talked about all of the American ground forces
14:00And the third aircraft strike carrier group
14:04Which is steaming its way into the region
14:08Even as we speak
14:10The ceasefire hasn't stopped that
14:12And American military officials have told Trump
14:17That the U.S. is not in place
14:20And is not yet capable of engaging in ground operations
14:25For at least another few weeks
14:27So if you want to be skeptical about the ceasefire
14:31You could say that Trump doesn't care about any of this
14:37He's just trying to talk the markets up
14:41Talk oil prices down
14:43Until he has troops in the region
14:45That are ready to do the ground attacks that he wants
14:49And that's why he keeps talking about taking the oil
14:52Is he wants to control Karg Island
14:54Where the Iranians export 90% of their oil
14:58And he wants to use that as a lever
15:00Against the Iranians disrupting the strait
15:04And if they disrupt the strait
15:06Then they're not going to get any oil out themselves
15:08Now if he does that
15:10Oil's at 200
15:12So there are costs to Trump
15:14But you could argue
15:16That he doesn't have that military option
15:19Until all those troops show up
15:21So in the interim
15:22Why not
15:24Say there's going to be peace talks
15:26Even if you don't believe they're going anywhere
15:28You'll still do better for having tried
15:34You know you're saying something significant
15:36You seem to suggest therefore
15:38That that possibility of a ground invasion
15:41Is not entirely off the table
15:43To that extent
15:44Donald Trump may just be buying time
15:46Even though
15:46As you've repeatedly said
15:48This has been a war without a clear strategy
15:51What does this say
15:52About Donald Trump's leadership
15:54And choices that he makes?
15:57Trump is the decider
15:59He's not listening to his experts
16:02He believes that he's the one
16:04That makes all of the best decisions
16:07And they're not telling him
16:09100% of what they think
16:11They're making him sound like
16:13Much more of a genius
16:14Much more positive
16:15Which is again
16:15A very dangerous position
16:17To be in
16:18So I do worry
16:20That Trump frequently makes decisions
16:23On the basis of his own personal interest
16:26And not the interest of the country
16:28I think we saw this
16:29On Greenland
16:31For example
16:32Which did a lot of damage
16:33To America's relations
16:34With its NATO allies
16:36With no discernible benefit
16:38To U.S. national security
16:40Whatsoever
16:40And that was because
16:42Trump made those decisions himself
16:43There was no clear aim
16:46Or goal
16:46Other than the aggrandizement
16:48Of Trump
16:49And I worry
16:51That that can lead to mistakes
16:54On a much broader scale
16:56And we might be seeing that
16:58Play out with Iran
16:59Certainly in my view
17:00This Iran war
17:02Is the biggest foreign policy mistake
17:04That Trump has made
17:05In either of his two administrations
17:11That's a big thing you're saying
17:12In your view
17:14The Iran war
17:15Is the biggest foreign policy mistake
17:17That Donald Trump has made
17:18In both his terms
17:20Put together
17:20There's one other interesting angle
17:22Mr. Bremer
17:23Which is Pakistan
17:24And that interests us a lot
17:25In India
17:26The fact that Pakistan
17:27Is the venue
17:27For these talks
17:29The Pakistan foreign minister
17:30Today
17:30Seemed to lash out
17:32At Israel
17:33Called it evil
17:33And had to pull down
17:35The tweet
17:35Should Pakistan
17:37Really be seen
17:38As a serious player
17:39Or is it simply
17:41A facilitator
17:41For these talks
17:42On behalf of
17:43The United States
17:44Do you see any
17:45Bigger role
17:46For Pakistan
17:47At all
17:48Sure
17:49I mean
17:50I think that
17:51Pakistan
17:51Now has
17:53A much more
17:53Public
17:54Defense
17:55Alliance
17:56With Saudi Arabia
17:57I see the emergence
17:59Of a regional quad
18:01That also includes
18:02Turkey
18:03And Egypt
18:04In addition to
18:05The Saudis
18:06And the Pakistanis
18:07Very different
18:08From the UAE
18:10Israel
18:11US
18:12India
18:13Relationship
18:15That we see
18:16Emerging
18:18In and
18:19Extending
18:20From the Gulf
18:21So I think
18:22Pakistan
18:22Is more credible
18:23In acting
18:24As a peace
18:26Convener
18:27Especially
18:28Because
18:28They have
18:30Made
18:30Some personal
18:31Inroads
18:32With the
18:32Trump family
18:33In part
18:35By throwing
18:35Money at it
18:36And also
18:37Of course
18:38They maintain
18:38A more functional
18:39Relationship
18:40With China
18:40Than India
18:42Does
18:42So in that
18:43In that regard
18:43I think Pakistan
18:44Pakistan has
18:45Really helped
18:45Improve
18:46Their diplomatic
18:47Position
18:47In the region
18:48And globally
18:50Having said
18:51That
18:51Pakistan has
18:53Nowhere near
18:53The military
18:54Capability
18:55The technological
18:55Capability
18:56The economic
18:57Influence
18:58That India
18:59Does globally
19:00And so
19:00I would not
19:01Read
19:02From what's
19:03Happening
19:03Right now
19:04Around the
19:05Iran talks
19:06I would not
19:07Suddenly read
19:07From that
19:08A projection
19:09Of Pakistan's
19:10Geopolitical
19:11Power
19:12In a new
19:12Global order
19:13That is beyond
19:14What its real
19:15Capabilities are
19:19So let me ask
19:20You in conclusion
19:21Mr. Bremer
19:22And this is
19:22Something that
19:22You do
19:23At the
19:24Eurasia Group
19:25Just predict
19:25In a sense
19:26What happens
19:27Next
19:27What's your
19:28Sense
19:30Will we be
19:31Two weeks
19:32Down the line
19:32By the end
19:33Of the month
19:33In a better
19:34Place than
19:34We are today
19:35Or do you
19:36Fear as you
19:37Mentioned
19:38That this is
19:38Only buying
19:39Time
19:39Possibly
19:41Sizing each
19:42Other up
19:42And then
19:43Making
19:43Alternative
19:44Strategies
19:45A plan
19:45B
19:46What do
19:46You see
19:47Happening
19:47By the
19:48End of
19:48The month
19:48Will we
19:49Have a
19:50Relatively
19:51More stable
19:53Situation in
19:54West Asia
19:54Or are we
19:55In for
19:55Prolonged
19:56Instability
19:58We're in
19:58For prolonged
19:59Disruption
20:00Economically
20:01I don't
20:02Think the
20:03Strait is
20:03Going to
20:03Be fully
20:04Reopened
20:05In the
20:05Foreseeable
20:06Future
20:07I worry
20:07About that
20:08And the
20:09Knock on
20:10Economic
20:10Consequences
20:11Are massive
20:12But I do
20:12Think that
20:13In part
20:14As a
20:14Consequence
20:15Of that
20:15President
20:16Trump
20:17Really
20:17Doesn't
20:17Want to
20:18Restart
20:18This
20:19War
20:19He
20:19Really
20:19Doesn't
20:20Want it
20:20To
20:20Escalate
20:21That
20:21When he
20:21Was
20:21Threatened
20:22Threatening
20:23The end
20:23Of Iranian
20:24Civilization
20:25You know
20:25That sort
20:26Of
20:27Genocidal
20:27Tweet
20:28That he
20:28Put out
20:29A couple
20:29Mornings
20:30Ago
20:30That was
20:31Never
20:31Credible
20:31That
20:32That kind
20:33Of
20:33Escalation
20:34Against
20:34Iranian
20:35Infrastructure
20:36That would
20:36Lead
20:37The
20:37Iranians
20:38To
20:39Destroy
20:39Gulf
20:40Infrastructure
20:41That
20:42Was never
20:42On the
20:43Table
20:43And I
20:44Think
20:44Trump
20:44Does
20:45Want to
20:46Unilaterally
20:46Deescalate
20:47Irrespective
20:48Of where
20:49The Israelis
20:50The Emiratis
20:51The Iranians
20:52Hezbollah
20:53The Houthis
20:54Go
20:55Over the
20:56Coming
20:56Weeks
20:57And that
20:57Should
20:58Create
20:58Some
20:59Greater
21:00Predictability
21:01And perhaps
21:02Reduce
21:03Tensions
21:04In this
21:05Region
21:05Going
21:06Forward
21:09But
21:10You know
21:11We're
21:11Looking at
21:12It from
21:12A Trump
21:12Perspective
21:13What about
21:14The Iranians
21:14Do you
21:14See that
21:15The Iranians
21:15Are serious
21:16About these
21:17Talks
21:17Or not
21:18Again
21:19The reason
21:20I'm
21:21Focusing
21:21On Trump
21:22Here is
21:22Because
21:23Trump
21:23Started
21:23The war
21:24And the
21:25Iranians
21:26Don't
21:26Have the
21:27Ability
21:27To hit
21:27The United
21:28States
21:28Directly
21:29So to
21:30The extent
21:31That Trump
21:31Wants to
21:32End the
21:32War
21:33That has
21:34A major
21:35Outcome
21:36Irrespective
21:37Of what
21:37The Iranians
21:38Do
21:39I think
21:40That's
21:40Really
21:40Important
21:40I mean
21:41We're not
21:42Going to
21:42See
21:42Regime
21:43Change
21:43That was
21:44An initial
21:45Effort
21:46Of Trump
21:46He's
21:46Given up
21:47On that
21:47That
21:47Matters
21:48But I
21:49Mean
21:50Are the
21:50Iranians
21:51Going to
21:52Actually
21:52Give up
21:53On
21:53Nuclear
21:54Enrichment
21:54I don't
21:55Think
21:55So
21:55I think
21:56They're
21:56Interested
21:57In
21:57Extending
21:58Talks
21:58That
21:59They'll
21:59Engage
22:00In
22:00For
22:00Months
22:00And
22:00Months
22:01If
22:01The
22:01Americans
22:01Are
22:02Willing
22:02To
22:02That
22:03Will
22:03Ultimately
22:03Be
22:04Disappointing
22:05But if
22:05The
22:05Americans
22:06Still
22:06Don't
22:07Want
22:07The
22:07War
22:07Because
22:08It's
22:08Too
22:08Costly
22:09Then
22:09Then
22:09Iranians
22:10Have
22:10Created
22:11A
22:11Level
22:11Of
22:11Deterrence
22:12Not
22:12Through
22:12Having
22:12Nukes
22:13Which
22:13They
22:13Don't
22:13Have
22:14But
22:14Rather
22:14Through
22:15Having
22:15The
22:15Ability
22:16And
22:16Willingness
22:16To
22:17Engage
22:17In
22:17Disruption
22:18In
22:18The
22:18Straight
22:18Which
22:19Creates
22:19A
22:19Level
22:20Of
22:20Security
22:20For
22:20Them
22:21That
22:21Is
22:21What
22:22They've
22:22Wanted
22:22All
22:22The
22:22Way
22:23Through
22:23So
22:23Again
22:24I
22:25Don't
22:25Really
22:25Think
22:26This
22:26Is
22:26About
22:26How
22:27The
22:27Iranians
22:28Are
22:28Going
22:28To
22:28Play
22:28The
22:29Talks
22:29I
22:29Expect
22:30That
22:30They
22:30Will
22:30Engage
22:31In
22:31Further
22:32Talks
22:32Going
22:32Forward
22:33But
22:33They
22:33Won't
22:33Give
22:33Up
22:34Very
22:34Much
22:34The
22:35Question
22:35Is
22:36Whether
22:36Or
22:36Not
22:36That
22:37Matters
22:37To
22:37Trump
22:38And
22:38Increasingly
22:39I
22:39Think
22:40It
22:40Probably
22:40Doesn't
22:44So
22:45In
22:45Conclusion
22:46At
22:46The
22:46End
22:46Of
22:47These
22:47Six
22:47Weeks
22:47We're
22:48Entering
22:48Week
22:48Six
22:48Who's
22:49Really
22:50Won
22:50And
22:50Who's
22:50Really
22:51Lost
22:52Oh
22:53There
22:54Are
22:54No
22:54Winners
22:54Here
22:55I
22:55Mean
22:55The
22:56Russians
22:56Have
22:57Won
22:57The
22:58Chinese
22:58Are
22:58Winning
22:59Long
22:59Term
22:59But
23:00I
23:00Mean
23:00You
23:01Can't
23:01Say
23:01That
23:01The
23:01Iranians
23:02Have
23:02Won
23:03I'd
23:03Hate
23:03To
23:03Be
23:03The
23:04Iranian
23:04Regime
23:05In
23:06Six
23:06Months
23:07In
23:07A
23:07Year's
23:07Time
23:08Their
23:09More
23:09Competent
23:10Leaders
23:10Have
23:10Been
23:10Killed
23:11They've
23:12Got
23:12Elite
23:13Fracture
23:13Potential
23:14Internally
23:15Their
23:15Industry
23:16Has
23:16Been
23:16Destroyed
23:17And
23:17So
23:17Much
23:17Of
23:18Their
23:18Infrastructure
23:18The
23:19Petrochemical
23:19Plants
23:20For
23:20Example
23:20Railways
23:21And
23:22They
23:22Don't
23:22It's
23:23To
23:23Be
23:23Very
23:23Hard
23:23For
23:23Them
23:23To
23:24Develop
23:24The
23:24Capacity
23:25To
23:25Rebuild
23:25That
23:25Quickly
23:26At
23:27The
23:27Same
23:27Time
23:28The
23:28Americans
23:28Have
23:29Shown
23:30That
23:30They
23:30Have
23:30An
23:31Incredible
23:31Military
23:31But
23:32Political
23:33Dysfunction
23:33In
23:34A
23:34Glass
23:34Jaw
23:34They
23:34Can't
23:35Take
23:35Much
23:35Pain
23:35And
23:36The
23:37Chinese
23:37Last
23:37Year
23:37With
23:38Critical
23:38Minerals
23:38And
23:39Now
23:39The
23:39Iranians
23:40With
23:40The
23:40Straight
23:40Have
23:41Shown
23:41That
23:41They
23:41Are
23:41Able
23:42And
23:42Willing
23:42To
23:43Back
23:43The
23:43Americans
23:44Down
23:44Despite
23:45All
23:46Of
23:46Trump's
23:46Bluster
23:46So
23:47I
23:47Don't
23:47See
23:48Any
23:48Winners
23:48Here
23:49The
23:49Israelis
23:50Of
23:50Course
23:50Are
23:51Doing
23:51What
23:51They
23:51Want
23:51Militarily
23:52But
23:53Now
23:53Most
23:54Young
23:54People
23:54In
23:54The
23:54United
23:55States
23:55Even
23:55Most
23:56Republicans
23:56Under
23:5750
23:57Say
23:58They
23:58Don't
23:58Support
23:58Israel
23:59Anymore
23:59Israel
23:59Looks
24:00Increasingly
24:00Isolated
24:01Long
24:01Term
24:02The
24:03Gulf
24:03States
24:03They
24:04You
24:04Know
24:04They
24:04They
24:04Had
24:05A
24:05Model
24:05That
24:05Has
24:06Really
24:06Been
24:07Successful
24:08On
24:08The
24:08Back
24:08Of
24:08Convincing
24:09Ex
24:09Patriots
24:10Around
24:10The
24:10World
24:11That
24:12This
24:13Is
24:13The
24:13Switzerland
24:13Of
24:14The
24:14Middle
24:19It's
24:19Ugly
24:19Head
24:19Is
24:20Showing
24:20That
24:20It's
24:20Not
24:21A
24:21Switzerland
24:22It's
24:22Much
24:22More
24:22Unstable
24:23And
24:23Much
24:23More
24:24Dangerous
24:24So
24:24There
24:24Are
24:24No
24:25Winners
24:25That
24:26Come
24:26From
24:26A
24:26War
24:26Like
24:27This
24:30There
24:31Are
24:31No
24:31Winners
24:32That
24:32Come
24:32From
24:32A
24:32War
24:33Like
24:33This
24:33Those
24:33Words
24:34I
24:34Think
24:34Should
24:34Ring
24:35Home
24:35To
24:35All
24:36The
24:36Various
24:36Stakeholders
24:37Ian
24:38Bremer
24:38Pleasure
24:39Talking
24:39To
24:40You
24:40Thank
24:40You
24:40So
24:40Much
24:41For
24:41Shedding
24:42So
24:42Much
24:42Clarity
24:49Bye
24:50Pleasure
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