00:00It may feel like we've been talking about this heatwave for quite a while, and that's because, well, we have.
00:05We've been drawing comparisons between this one and the hot spells we've had earlier on in the year,
00:10and one big difference was the temperatures not quite as high compared to the June one and the humidity not
00:15as high,
00:16but another difference between how long this spell is going on.
00:19We've already had temperatures in excess of 30 Celsius for over a week, and there's more of that to come
00:24this week.
00:25High pressure, firmly in control, sitting just to the north of the UK, and where it's sitting at the moment
00:30means we are still bringing, well, a bit of a flow in from the North Sea.
00:35That's important for cloud amount here, but further south, a bit more of an easterly flow, which is why it
00:40is pretty hot.
00:42So I mentioned the flow coming in from the North Sea. That's allowing for low cloud to push in overnight.
00:47As a result, first thing on Tuesday morning, eastern and some central parts waking up to a bit of a
00:52grey start.
00:53But through the morning, we are going to see a lot of that cloud breaking up and burning away and
00:58retreating, really, back to just immediate coastal parts.
01:01Some parts of northeast England, the far east of Scotland, maybe Orkney and Shetland, staying a bit cloudy at times.
01:07Otherwise, lots of sunshine by the afternoon, and with that sunshine, well, yes, temperatures are going to rise.
01:13High teens or low 20s, possibly even mid-20s across some northern areas.
01:18High 20s to low 30s. 31 looks quite likely as our high for Tuesday, so feeling pretty hot indeed.
01:25There will be a breeze around. It was a bit of a blustery day in the south, in particular on
01:30Monday.
01:31Still a bit of a breeze coming in. That will take the edge off the temperatures a little bit, but
01:34do also take into account UV levels are high or very high,
01:37and we have some very high pollen levels as well.
01:41That high pressure sticks around just to the north of the UK through Tuesday night and into Wednesday.
01:46The flow not really changing yet as a result, while Wednesday is looking like quite a similar day, really.
01:51So again, it could wake up to a bit of a grey, cloudy start across some parts, central eastern areas
01:57in particular, especially towards the northeast.
01:58But through the morning, we will once more see that cloud breaking up and burning away, and it will linger
02:05across some of those north sea coastal parts,
02:08but most places having a largely fine picture.
02:10Perhaps a swathe of higher level cloud coming in across parts of the southwest, Devon and Cornwall, for example,
02:16so the sunshine may be a bit hazy, but generally it's looking largely sunny through much of the afternoon.
02:21We do always need to cater for the potential for a bit of sherry rain, perhaps some feeding into the
02:27southwest,
02:27and you can't rule out one or two showers developing, particularly in some southern areas, and if they do, it
02:34could be thundery.
02:35But I think most of us will stay dry, and I'm not really expecting many of those showers to develop
02:40at all.
02:40In fact, temperatures then with that sunshine may be down a degree or so compared to Tuesday,
02:45but still likely to get into the low 30s somewhere towards the south, southwest, maybe south Wales, getting to 30
02:52Celsius.
02:52And further north, again, high teens to mid-20s really, so feeling very warm or hot in that sunny weather.
03:00Again, high pressure sticking with us just to the north of the UK through Wednesday night and into Thursday.
03:06Still, the flow not really changing a huge amount, so once more we wake up on Thursday morning.
03:11There will be some low cloud around, perhaps a little bit less than some recent nights, but yes, a bit
03:16of cloud towards eastern areas.
03:18Again, this will burn away, break up a little bit through the day, so just those coastal parts feeling a
03:23bit fresher if you do get stuck under that stubborn cloud.
03:27Otherwise, lots of sunshine. Still, you can't rule out one or two showers developing, but again, a very low chance
03:33of that happening.
03:34Generally, it looks like it's going to be a fine sunny picture for most.
03:37A bit more cloud across Scotland compared to some recent days, but yes, lots of sunshine and temperatures similar to
03:42Wednesday, really.
03:43I mean, across western Scotland, maybe a little bit higher than some recent days, but yes, either very warm or
03:49hot for most of us,
03:50away from those north sea coastal parts where a bit of cloud, the flow coming in from the north sea
03:55will keep things a bit fresher, a bit more comfortable, perhaps.
03:59Into Thursday and the high pressure, sorry, Friday and the high pressure is drifting away a little bit towards the
04:05northwest and that's important because it changes the flow direction.
04:08You can see we're getting a bit more of a northerly.
04:11As a result, it's not going to be quite as hot.
04:14Nonetheless, I'm still expecting some low cloud first thing in the morning, some central eastern, northeastern areas in particular.
04:20Again, I'm expecting that low cloud to break up and burn away through the day, so more sunshine by the
04:26afternoon, just still those north sea coastal parts seeing a bit of cloud at times.
04:31As I mentioned, the change in the flow brings a bit more of a northerly, so for many, temperatures starting
04:36to drop a little bit.
04:37We're still looking at most places getting into the low to high 20s, but perhaps 30 Celsius looking less likely
04:45on Friday than much of this week.
04:48And so still hot, still heat wave conditions for a fair few parts of the country, but just not as
04:53hot as it has been earlier on in the week.
04:56Then I wanted to highlight one thing before I look at briefly head to the weekend, and it's our rainfall
05:01totals.
05:02There really isn't much rain to come this week.
05:04Not good news for many gardeners and farmers, but as we run through, this is looking at rainfall through the
05:09whole week,
05:10and a few showers are being picked up by the model, and so there may be the odd spot of
05:15rain here and there, but not a huge amount.
05:17And, I mean, if we do see any of those thundery showers, they could be a bit heavier, so there
05:22could be some localised areas which get a bit of a downpour,
05:25but they're going to be so localised and relatively short-lived that it's not really going to have a huge
05:30impact on our rainfall totals
05:31when we look across the UK and through the week as a whole.
05:35So, really, a very dry week to come.
05:37Like I say, not great news for many of us.
05:40Into the weekend, and this high pressure is still just to the north-west of the UK,
05:44so we still have that northerly flow, become a bit more of a northerly, really.
05:47So, if anything, temperatures are set to drop a little bit further for Saturday.
05:52So, again, perhaps a bit more comfortable, but it is set to stay dry.
05:56Plenty of sunshine still to come, really, even into next week.
05:59We'll keep you updated with all that, so make sure you're subscribed, and you'll stay on top of things as
06:03well.
06:04Bye-bye.
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