00:00Tuesday's Mean 2 Grand Slam. It's coming up at 7.25, a chance to win.
00:04Big time cash with us.
00:06Got text coming in.
00:08NIL ruined it for Cinderella.
00:10Cinderella may not be dead, but she's a zombie whose soul was stolen along with the rest of college sports.
00:17Guys, sorry fellas, no fairy tales again this year.
00:22Come on, we gave you a bunch of options.
00:24I know, I threw out half the damn teams.
00:26It is interesting because on the flip side, when you have all of those players that are transferring up,
00:36you also have a bunch of guys that are transferring down that maybe it didn't work out for one reason
00:43or another.
00:44And they're just looking for maybe it's more playing time.
00:46They're looking for a little bit of a bump in confidence.
00:49And the couple of them that I talk high point, like when you have a bunch of juniors and seniors
00:54that started in the power four,
00:56but now they're at high point, I think that is where you could have, maybe we don't have as many
01:02Cinderellas,
01:03and there's years like last year where just Cinderella doesn't exist.
01:08But I wouldn't necessarily say it's dead.
01:10I do think that it's going to be fewer and far between, which may make it more special if it
01:14actually happens.
01:15Yeah, if and when it does.
01:16So again, tournament gets going really on Thursday.
01:18You got the playing games starting before that.
01:21People weighing in on the Alabama stuff.
01:24It says, Tom import here on crazy stuff.
01:28A dude faces 10 years in prison when in Michigan, he can buy it at the store.
01:32I think the amount is what we're discussing here with him.
01:35It's not like he had an ounce, which still may be an issue in Alabama, but he had a pound,
01:39which would be an issue in a lot of states.
01:41And questions that I don't have answers to, and you probably don't either.
01:44Can you walk into a dispensary and buy a pound of weed?
01:50And that pound of weed, as we were doing some investigating here,
01:55it does look like it's two gallon baggies worth of weed.
01:59How long would that last a single individual if you're not going to distribute it?
02:05So what it appears is either you're someone who wants to be perma high,
02:10or you're sending bags to friends.
02:13It seems a little bit more than medicinal purposes.
02:16Right.
02:17So look, he's in some hot water here.
02:19Yeah.
02:20They're going to probably be, I mean, probably, definitely not have him in the tournament.
02:25I mean, his whole life is now upside down.
02:26They're not going to have him this weekend, that's for sure.
02:28I don't know how quickly the legal process works in Tuscaloosa.
02:32Well, they'll get one of their judges on it, I'm sure, and try to get him back.
02:36But will they be even playing after this weekend?
02:41Without him, they might not be.
02:42They might not be.
02:43Anyway, question about the brackets.
02:46Everybody's sitting down.
02:47John, you mentioned you haven't finished filling yours out yet.
02:49You still have time.
02:51Are people picking Michigan?
02:54Because I know there's a lot of Michigan fans listening to us right now,
02:57and Michigan's a one seed, and Michigan's region is fairly favorable.
03:01But if you're filling out a bracket at work, you can't pick Michigan if you really want to win.
03:07If you're serious about taking home a big prize, Michigan's going to be so chalk that you're going to make
03:12it so hard for you to win this.
03:14You're going to have to be razor sharp on all the margins when you may be better off saying,
03:19I'll let everybody pick Michigan.
03:21I'll take Arizona.
03:22I'll take Houston.
03:23I'll take someone who's still a one or a two, but not with half the people in your office who
03:29are taking the Wolverines.
03:30All right, so, Mr. Betting Professional, let me ask you this.
03:35If Michigan ends up winning it all, and half the people in your bracket or more have Michigan as their
03:43champion,
03:45how do you win?
03:47You're probably not.
03:49Okay, so...
03:50But it's about playing the percentages.
03:51It's the odds.
03:52That's dumb, then.
03:52No, it's the odds.
03:53Michigan's not most likely to win the tournament.
03:56John, even if they were the favorite, they wouldn't be the team.
04:00Like, it's Michigan or the field is what you're betting at that point.
04:02Correct.
04:03Well, anytime you take the winner, it's your winner versus the field.
04:06Yeah, but you're being penalized because everybody else is betting them, too.
04:09It would be like if I said, hey, you can bet $100 on Michigan to win the national title, and
04:12I'll give you a buck.
04:14You go, I'm not going to bet that.
04:15Even if it's most likely to happen, you're really cutting into what you could win because everybody else is betting
04:21them, too.
04:22Yeah, but if you have a team, if it's your team, how do you bet against your team?
04:28And then at the end, if they do win it, you have to sit in the corner and say, you
04:33know what?
04:34I'm celebrating, but I didn't pick them to win.
04:37And then somebody else walks away with the family trophy.
04:42If you are betting or putting money into a pool, you are trying to win.
04:47The strategy is you need to be unique.
04:50You need to pick the winner, but you need to be unique because if everybody picks the winner, it's going
04:55to be very hard for you to win.
04:57That's all I'm saying.
04:58Or you just need to be better in the opening rounds.
05:03Yeah, you're making it really hard on yourself.
05:06And I just go to, okay, yes, if you're just simply, you don't care about who is actually going to
05:11win, but you want to beat everyone else in your pool.
05:15I understand some of the argument that you're talking about, but if you truly believe Michigan is going to win,
05:21or if you're a Spartan and you believe that Michigan State is going to win and you're entering this with
05:26a whole bunch of, you know, green and whites, you're going to take Michigan State.
05:32And they may as well, but you're just going to have to be much better at picking the teams at,
05:38you know, when it's 64 and 32 and 16.
05:41And you're going to need to have the right co, you know, the runner-up.
05:45You're going to have to have the final four.
05:47I'd love to talk to people who've actually won money in their office pool or their friend group.
05:52Do you, what's the strategy?
05:53What's the best strategy that you found that, hey, you're, you're, and you don't have to talk about whose pool
05:58you're in.
05:59And you can call up anonymously, so you're not giving away the strategy to your pool players.
06:04But my thought would be, we have a lot of people who historically pick MSU.
06:09Yeah.
06:09Right.
06:09Izzo final four runs.
06:10A lot of Spartan fans listening.
06:12Michigan has made their runs.
06:14They're a one seed.
06:14A lot of Michigan fans listening.
06:15Do you pick your team and do you actually win doing that?
06:18I'd love to hear if someone's actually pulled that off because I think your odds of winning go down in
06:22the state of Michigan.
06:23If you pick the local teams to go very far, I would bet you we'll see who calls in.
06:28And the people who are winning money are contrarian.
06:31The people who win money pick a different one or a two seed that most people don't.
06:36And that's how you really cash in.
06:39If you've picked Michigan State or Michigan, then you probably haven't won your pool since the early 2000s.
06:45Right.
06:45Because neither of those teams have won.
06:47Correct.
06:482, 4, 8, 5, 3, 9, 97, 97.
06:50Love to talk to people who've won some money doing these office pools and what your strategy is.
06:54Do you pick with your head or your heart?
06:57John, you're a Michigan fan.
06:58They're a great team.
06:59Of course you're going to put them all the way to the final.
07:02This is part of my issue when we make our picks, even in the fall for football.
07:07I can't remove my heart from picking.
07:13But, okay.
07:14I just can't.
07:15This is business, though.
07:16That's what brackets are.
07:17They're a business, right?
07:18You got to try to win.
07:19It's 97-1.
07:20You got to try to win.
07:20You got to try to win.
07:20You got to try to win.
07:20You got to try to win.
Comments