Met Office Thursday Afternoon Weather Forecast 15/01/2026

Met Office

15 January - National afternoon forecast presented by Alex Deakin.

Transcript

00:00Hello, welcome to your latest weather update from the Met Office.

00:03It is going to be a pretty soggy afternoon for some parts of particularly England.

00:08Other areas seeing some sunny spells.

00:11Here's the view from space.

00:12You can see all the speckling on the cloud here.

00:15That's showers drifting up towards the northwest of Scotland.

00:18Some sunshine elsewhere, but it's down to the south, this large area of cloud.

00:22That's what's bringing in the rain.

00:24A little ripple, a little wiggle, a little waving weather front as we call it.

00:27These always give us a few headaches, and you can see this is trying to develop into an area of low pressure.

00:33And it's certainly bringing some wet conditions across southern areas.

00:36Southern England in particular, but also parts of southeast Wales.

00:40That rain through the afternoon continuing to spread across the Midlands and up towards parts of northeast England.

00:46In this zone, it's going to be wet, and later on the winds could really start to whip up too.

00:50We do have a warning in place for that rainfall.

00:53That same weather system bringing quite a lot of cloud to northern England and Wales,

00:56but West Wales, far southwest of England, seeing some sunny spells.

01:00But the driest, brightest weather certainly today for Scotland and Northern Ireland,

01:04although we are continuing to feed some showers into the far northwest.

01:08Temperature-wise, so on the cool side actually for Scotland and Northern Ireland,

01:11a little cooler than yesterday, only 5 or 6 degrees.

01:14But if you've got the sunshine and light winds, that shouldn't feel too bad at all.

01:17Compare and contrast further south with the heavy rain and the strengthening winds.

01:217 to 9 degrees here will feel pretty miserable, I suspect.

01:25And that rain will continue well into the evening.

01:28We do have a Met Office yellow warning in place.

01:3110 to 20 millimetres of rain likely.

01:34Could see as much as 40 millimetres in some locations.

01:37That could cause some issues.

01:39Certainly a lot of spray, a lot of surface water on the roads for the evening rush out.

01:44Potential for some local flooding.

01:45And the winds will suddenly whip up this evening too.

01:47That'll help to push it all the way through the night.

01:50So after a wet evening, it does turn drier through the second half of the night.

01:53At the same time, some showers will drift into Wales and around the coast of southwest Scotland

01:57and the east of Northern Ireland.

01:59And some showers drifting onto the south coast of England too.

02:02But elsewhere, many places becoming dry and clear.

02:04And that means one of two things.

02:06Either it turns frosty or it's likely to turn foggy.

02:09So misty, murky conditions setting in and those temperatures tumbling.

02:13Certainly across northern England, northwards will see a fairly extensive frost.

02:16It could get down to minus five to minus eight where there's snow still lying on the ground.

02:20So a frosty start.

02:21Beware of foggy conditions first thing on Friday morning.

02:25Fog could take a while to clear.

02:27So it could be a bit of a grey, grotty day for some.

02:29But we should see some brighter skies.

02:31Certainly a brighter day for the Midlands and East Angle in the southeast compared to today.

02:36Further west, there'll be showers.

02:37And in fact, the showers could just continue to feed in on this southerly wind

02:42into the east of Northern Ireland and southwest Scotland.

02:44And not just showers, the old thunderstorm thrown in.

02:46Same goes for parts of Wales and southwest England.

02:48So these western areas seeing fairly frequent heavy showers during Friday.

02:53But generally for eastern areas and central parts of the UK, much drier than today.

02:58A mixture of low cloud though and some sunny spells coming through,

03:02which could lift the temperatures up to seven to nine degrees.

03:04So similar to today's, but obviously without the rain, it'll feel a lot milder.

03:08But some places where we've got the frost overnight and that fog sticks,

03:11temperatures could really struggle across parts of Scotland.

03:14So it's a real mishmash.

03:15And that's going to continue even into the weekend through Friday evening.

03:18We'll continue to feed some heavy showers in here, but plenty of drier weather further east.

03:24For more details on the weekend, you can catch our full weekend forecast.

03:29That'll be available on our YouTube channel on Thursday afternoon.

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