College Football Week 11 Rankings & Betting Predictions

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00:00All right, welcome back in here to Newswire on this Thursday in the Sports Grid Network.

00:05Joe Ranieri in for Craig Mish as we turn our attention to college football week number 11.

00:12We just had that really fun committee ranking show, whatever that thing is there,

00:18because none of it's going to matter by the time we get to the end of this month.

00:22And nobody knows that better than our good friend Paul Stone.

00:25And Paul, you got to love it, right?

00:27The rankings, this is great.

00:29But over the next couple of weeks, none of what we just saw this week is going to hold true.

00:34There's going to be a lot of jockeying for position, I think, over the next couple of weeks

00:38with some of the games that we have coming up.

00:42Absolutely, Joe.

00:43I mean, there's a lot of talk about it, you know, and it gives college football fans and media types,

00:47you know, something to talk about and argue about and take exception with.

00:52But as you indicated, there's a lot of football to still be played,

00:55a lot of big time games and many of them this weekend.

00:59And so, yeah, it's not going to matter when we get to early December.

01:03The last one's the only one that really counts.

01:06Take a picture, guys.

01:07It lasts longer there if you're in the top five.

01:10Let's talk about the Big 12 here, Paul, because it's, I don't want to say elimination,

01:15but BYU, Texas Tech, they're probably on track to play each other in the Big 12 championship anyway.

01:22But what gives, what a double-digit favorite for Texas Tech this week?

01:28Yeah, I tell you, you know, this is a big game in Lubbock this weekend.

01:32Obviously, ESPN game day there for the first time since 2008.

01:36I love both these teams, and I certainly respect what BYU's done with their true freshman quarterback,

01:41Bear Bachmeier.

01:42Bear, just a breath of fresh air in the college game.

01:46He doesn't slide.

01:47He likes to not only take contact, he likes to initiate it.

01:51Where's number 47?

01:53Just done a great job since their expected starter, Jake Retzloff, withdrew from school in the summer

02:00rather than face a suspension over supposed violations of the school's honor code.

02:05So, man, Bachmeier's been one of the stories of college football.

02:07And I love Bachmeier, I love BYU, but I like Texas Tech even more, Joe.

02:13This is a team that if they bring their A game, I think their A game is better than BYU's,

02:19and they're getting healthy.

02:20Bayron Morton, their starting quarterback who's had injury issues throughout his career,

02:24he returned last week, took Texas Tech into Manhattan, Kansas.

02:28They handled Kansas State relative ease, 43-20.

02:32And not only did Morton return, this didn't get as much notoriety or coverage,

02:37but their tight end, Terrence Carter Jr., 6'2", 248.

02:42This is a guy they list as tight end, but he can go out wide, kind of a hybrid type,

02:48causes matchup problems.

02:49He's just a big part of their offense.

02:51We saw Texas Tech's A game back in September in Salt Lake City

02:55when they dismantled the Utes, 34-10.

02:58I think Tech's bringing the kitchen sink again on Saturday.

03:01I like Tech by about two touchdowns over undefeated BYU.

03:06Two very, I don't want to say, but two underrated defenses too as well, Paul.

03:11I like both of these defenses.

03:13This number feels a little much, doesn't it?

03:16You know, a lot of people have said that, you know, and I understand that it seems high,

03:21but BYU from a pirating standpoint, even though they are undefeated,

03:25I mean, they've had some, you know, they've had some narrow escapes

03:28and they just don't resonate as much with the numerical component of it.

03:35They are undefeated, though, and they play great defense.

03:37And, you know, they're going to be able to state their case on Saturday in Lubbock.

03:44I really think, though, this Texas Tech team, if they get healthy,

03:47which they're pretty healthy right now, they've got one defensive tackle still out,

03:50I think they can challenge.

03:51I think they can make some noise in the playoffs if they do indeed make the 12-team playoff.

03:56One of the teams that are interesting to follow here is because they could end a lot of teams'

04:02seasons here that have hopes of a college football playoff, and that is Oregon.

04:06And it's going to start there in Iowa this weekend here because then they got to go and take on U.S.

04:12They got a whole bunch of teams that are still vying to be top 25,

04:16and they could put in and throw a wrench in all of it.

04:18What do we like about them against Iowa this week, or don't we like them?

04:23I'll tell you, you look at this Oregon team, Joe, and you kind of asked that question.

04:27There was a Wendy's commercial.

04:29I'll date myself a long time ago.

04:30Where's the beef?

04:32You know, in Oregon, they had an opportunity a couple of weeks ago against Indiana,

04:37got them in Austin Stadium there at home, and the Hoosiers are very good.

04:41But, I mean, Indiana was the better team clearly that day on Oregon's home field.

04:46A couple of weeks prior before that, we'll remember that Indiana traveled across the country

04:50to Penn State, defeated the Nittany Lions in double overtime, really looked like a good

04:55data point at the time.

04:57But now Penn State's on a five-game losing streak, so maybe not so much at the present.

05:02Oregon came in in the playoff rankings, the first debut poll on this past Tuesday at number

05:08nine, which is about where I think they should be.

05:11This Iowa team, though, is tricky.

05:14They don't have a whole lot of flash and dash.

05:17They're not going to wow you.

05:19Their trademark style is run the football, play sound defense, great technique.

05:25They're going to win the special teams battle.

05:27They're going to win the turnover battle more often than not.

05:30And they are tough at Kinnick Stadium.

05:32That's been Indiana's toughest game to date by far.

05:36Iowa actually led Indiana 13-10 early in the fourth quarter the last Saturday in September.

05:44Indiana, of course, rallied to win that game 20-15.

05:47But the Hoosier offense, only 337 total yards against this Iowa defense.

05:52I think Iowa's going to make this a four-quarter game.

05:55I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Hawkeyes didn't defeat the Ducks on Saturday at Kinnick

06:00Stadium.

06:01In any case, give me Iowa plus six and a half over Oregon.

06:04Shocker, Iowa playing quality defense there with Kurt Ferencz.

06:10Paul, how about Kansas and Arizona here?

06:13Because this total doesn't feel high enough to be.

06:16This could be a wild one here, taking on Arizona.

06:20I mean, I thought Kansas might lose that Kansas State game twice when they just laid an egg

06:26in the first half against Oklahoma State.

06:28But they righted the ship in the second half.

06:30What do you have going on in this one?

06:32Yeah, this should be a high-scoring game.

06:35You've got two veteran quarterbacks, Arizona, of course, Noah Fafita.

06:39And then there at Kansas, Jalen Daniels, who's playing well again this season.

06:44You know, I look at this game, and it just comes down to the basic eye test.

06:49Arizona, they have played really well at home.

06:52They're 4-1 on the season.

06:53We talked about BYU a little bit earlier.

06:56They actually led seventh-ranked BYU by 10 points early in the fourth quarter.

07:02BYU rallied, won that game 33-27 in double overtime.

07:07So Arizona's just one game away from being undefeated at home.

07:10And while Arizona's played at a high level on their home field, Kansas really has been

07:15something less than stellar on the road so far this season.

07:19They lost to Missouri and Texas Tech, two good football teams, but lost to those two by a total

07:25of 36 points.

07:27Had to come from behind and rally to defeat Central Florida for their only road victory

07:32of the year, 27-20.

07:35You look at Fafita that we talked about.

07:37He threw 12 interceptions last year.

07:39Really was coming off a subpar showing.

07:41But this season, he's been on his game.

07:43He's thrown for 2,042 yards through the season's first eight games, completed 65% of his throws,

07:50eight yards in attempt, and 21 touchdowns against just four interceptions.

07:55So a real good TD interception ratio.

07:58Kansas, in their last 25 games, is an away underdog, only 9-16 against the spread.

08:04I think Arizona's going to win this game, defeat Kansas by more than a touchdown there

08:08in Tucson on Saturday.

08:11Going to be a fun one here.

08:12There's going to be some high scoring, that is for sure.

08:15Let me ask you a question.

08:17How confident are you, Big Ten, Ohio State, Indiana, Oregon?

08:22How many teams are we talking about, do you think, in the postseason here?

08:27I think Big Ten's going to be a three-bid conference.

08:30It's going to be, I think it's going to get three bids.

08:33And I think the SEC's going to get five.

08:35That's going to be a controversial point.

08:37But I think, obviously, the depth of competition in that league and the fact that you just don't

08:43have, I mean, obviously, Indiana and Ohio State, I don't think anybody can really question at

08:48this point, based on all the bodies of work, that they are one and two in some order, one

08:54or the other.

08:54But after that, you know, there's a little bit of a drop-off.

08:58So I think we're going to see five from the SEC and three from the Big Ten.

09:01And that will be my bold prediction.

09:04There is somewhere written that you have to take an ACC team.

09:07I'm just asking.

09:08I don't know.

09:09I'm just saying.

09:10I guess they have to, Paul, at some particular point here.

09:14But that should be a lot of fun to watch unfold as well.

09:17Paul Stone, always a pleasure, my man.

09:20Enjoy the games.

09:20We appreciate the time, as always.

09:23Newswire!

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