ALCS Game 7: Mariners vs. Blue Jays Best Bets & Picks

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00:00We got a game number seven in Major League Baseball.

00:02Who loves to hear that?

00:04I do.

00:04And it's sandwiched in between two football games.

00:06It's the perfect Monday night to get down to business,

00:09win some money, and have fun handicapping these games.

00:11But as we take a look, Joe, and try to find the edge,

00:13the books are going, yeah, we don't have any edge.

00:16So what do they do?

00:17Hit that dartboard, throw it up against the wall,

00:19and it goes, eh, minus 120 sounds good.

00:22Eh, seven and a half sounds good.

00:23Let the people get after it.

00:24It's George Kirby versus Shane Bieber.

00:26For how long?

00:27We don't know.

00:28It's all hands on deck.

00:29The craziest of crazy environments is,

00:31like when you have, like, end-all, be-all games in the NFL, right?

00:34It's a playoffs, one-game playoff.

00:36Okay, well, Patrick Mahomes doesn't get pulled in the second quarter, right?

00:39You know, Jalen Hurts doesn't get pulled in the second quarter.

00:40You ride it out, you let your best starters start.

00:42That's not the case in Major League Baseball.

00:44As hard a handicap as you're going to find, Joe,

00:47is going to take place tonight.

00:48So that's why we need the big guns.

00:50It's Donnie Wright's on Joe Ranieri.

00:51What gives tonight?

00:52Seattle and Toronto.

00:53Flip your coin.

00:54It's coming up heads or tails, Joe.

00:55What is it?

00:57Yeah, I mean, listen, Bob.

00:59Bieber seemed to have figured some things out the last time he pitched

01:03in this series here in a pretty important game as well.

01:07And, boy, he had the Mariners hitters kind of scratch

01:10and gave up, I think, a run or a home run early.

01:13And then he settled in.

01:15And all the pitches he wasn't able to locate previously,

01:19he figured that out.

01:21He's going to need to be that good again here tonight against Seattle.

01:25Listen, Kirby had been very good until, of course,

01:30well, the last time he pitched in this series.

01:32And he wasn't very good as the bats of Toronto came alive.

01:36To me, Donnie, it's simple.

01:38It's home run or bust for Seattle.

01:41Toronto can hit for power just as much as Seattle can.

01:45But they have an ability to be able to win other ways.

01:48The three errors last night by Seattle are concerning.

01:51Toronto is the better defensive team.

01:54They hit better average.

01:56They get more guys on.

01:58You know, that to me is the difference in this series.

02:01I think the pitching is going to be a wash.

02:03They're just going to throw everybody and anybody out there

02:06that gives them a chance to win this.

02:07But I think, ultimately, this isn't going to be what Detroit

02:10and Seattle was for 15 innings.

02:12This is going to be – there are going to be runs scored in this game

02:16like the previous five games have been, Donnie.

02:19It's seven and a half.

02:20How are we looking at anything but the over again here?

02:24It's hard because, again, you look at that game number seven

02:26where you don't really know what happens and every out is magnified,

02:29which sometimes you say to yourself, well, Donnie, what does that mean?

02:32You know, a game played in, let's just say, you know, July or August.

02:35It's like, okay, running on second base, nobody out.

02:37We're not bunting this guy through.

02:38We're going to get some base hits.

02:39You're going to see a lot of outs and productive outs for the winning team

02:43tonight because sometimes it's not, Joe, you got to go yard

02:46and that's all we can do.

02:47It's, all right, I got a guy on second base with nobody out.

02:49Let me hit a sack fly to right field, move that guy to third base.

02:52Let me hit another sack fly to get that guy in.

02:53Two outs given up for one run to be scored.

02:56That's what I'm interested in.

02:57But also understand this.

02:58Like the psychology, Joe, of this series has been incredible.

03:01You take a look at the first two games in Toronto.

03:03Seattle smokes and goes back home.

03:05It's like we're never getting back even for a game six to be played in Toronto

03:09and you find yourself in a game number seven

03:11because of all that momentum once again back on your side

03:14with a big performance last night, six to two game on Friday night.

03:17But it wasn't as if you had an unbelievable performance out of the play.

03:20Iohenio Suarez hit two home runs.

03:22One was a grand slam.

03:23Credit that.

03:23But that game probably should have been under two to one

03:25or even headed to extra innings at that point.

03:27And it certainly wasn't.

03:28So I look at this game and say, the momentum is clearly on Toronto's side.

03:32If you're just betting this game and say, you know, flip the coin.

03:36Home field advantage is a big advantage to have.

03:39Stating off elimination last night and riding it tonight,

03:41like even without the handicapped side of it, Joe,

03:44I am going with Toronto tonight as being able to win this.

03:47Never thought I'd say that after the first two games.

03:51Crazy, right?

03:52It's absolutely crazy.

03:54I mean, this call me nuts here.

03:56But again, I'm telling you the ability of the Blue Jays

03:59who have basically offensive statistics, Donnie,

04:03they are dominating Seattle across the board in the postseason

04:07and have played one less game.

04:09So it's not like Seattle's the better power-hitting team.

04:13They have just as many home runs as Seattle,

04:15if not one more, I think, now.

04:17So to me, this is all about the ability of guys to not strike out.

04:21How many times did Seattle strike out last night?

04:2413 times, Donnie.

04:25If you don't put the ball in play, good things don't happen.

04:29That's exactly what the Blue Jays do.

04:31I'm with you.

04:32At home, they've been the best team there all season long for a reason.

04:36Yeah, you take a look also here.

04:38The total seven and a half.

04:39We'll see where that winds up.

04:41But we are starting to see some of this movement here.

04:42BetMGM is at minus 135 right now.

04:45I don't know how much higher the line can go over 130

04:48because there isn't a distinctive advantage either side.

04:51And you're basically playing for home field advantage at this point.

04:54But for me, again, I do think Seattle wins.

04:56The total is very interesting to me because I'm always with you, Joe,

04:58in this series.

04:59Just look at the way it's gone since game number one.

05:01Over, over, over, over.

05:02So what changes tonight and all it takes sometimes is one swing of the bat

05:06in that first inning with a guy on base and it's two to nothing

05:08and away you go.

05:09But also, the longer this game goes, Joe, without scoring,

05:12the tenser it gets.

05:13And you love to see that as a fan.

05:15Good luck tonight watching that game.

05:17If you're a fan of Seattle, Toronto will certainly be watching along.

05:20What a show.

05:21What a show.

05:21What a show, people, on a Monday.

05:23This is how to start your work week.

05:24This is the way to get down to business.

05:26This is how you get caught up so you can hang around the water cooler.

05:29But also, when you listen to us, we still like to listen to you,

05:33the viewers, as well.

05:34How do we do that?

05:35With our Fade the Public Poll.

05:45Ah, yes.

05:46We like to reach out to the public, see what's on their mind.

05:49Some people ask, well, how do you do that?

05:50Well, you just got to go to X and follow at SportsGrid, our account.

05:53And we ask a simple daily question here on the early line each and every day,

05:57which comes out roughly around 6 a.m. Eastern.

06:00It was easy to have a decision today on which question to ask.

06:03Why?

06:03Because we've got a Game 7 in Major League Baseball in the ALCS.

06:06The question we asked of the people today was,

06:09who do you think will win Game 7 of the ALCS?

06:12There's only two choices, people.

06:14It's the Mariners.

06:14It's the Blue Jays.

06:15No line included.

06:17Just pick the winner, Joe.

06:19It looks like the public, and I agree with.

06:21It's going with the Toronto Blue Jays.

06:23It's close to live, 64.4% of the votes coming in on those Jays up there in the 6.

06:30Well, I mean, listen, they have been, in many aspects, the more dangerous team, right?

06:36Outside of a couple of home runs here, Seattle has not been a better defensive team.

06:43They have not been, certainly from a momentum standpoint here, it's all Toronto.

06:48And Toronto's going to be at home, where they've been the best team in the American League all year long there.

06:53So there's no reason to think that Bieber's not going to go out there and piggyback off of his best start all year long,

07:01which was, what, in Game 3 in this series?

07:03It feels like that's exactly why you went out and traded for him.

07:08It feels like it might be destiny here, and Seattle might come up just a little bit short.

07:13Yeah.

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