Assessing Value in Georgia vs. Ole Miss Wide Receivers

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00:00Joe, wide receiver position here.

00:01And I don't know if you're getting value here,

00:02but you're getting some equal numbers.

00:04You have Lee from Mississippi, 45 and a half.

00:06Wright from Mississippi, 49 and a half.

00:08Alexander from Mississippi, 45 and a half.

00:10And then we flip it over to Georgia.

00:12Zachariah Branch, the transfer from USC here.

00:14He's 44 and a half.

00:15And Colby Young, 44 and a half.

00:16Joe, a lot of guys in the 40s.

00:18Is there value?

00:19Again, I think there is, again, with the Georgia side,

00:22more so than with the Ole Miss side.

00:25Again, I would take a shot on Lee if you want the Ole Miss side.

00:29I think he could potentially step up.

00:31But for me, it's going to come down to the rushing attack for Georgia.

00:35That's why I'm on the props.

00:36But I like Branch.

00:37He's the home run hitter.

00:38Branch transferred in from USC.

00:40He's gotten more acclimated with the offense.

00:43Colby Young is a freshman.

00:45Again, he's the speedster.

00:47I think Ole Miss looks to take him away.

00:49Branch, they do a little bit more within the slot.

00:52I think Branch could have a breakout performance, 60, 70 plus,

00:55at plus money I think could be great value today

00:58for the Bulldogs.

00:59Let's take a look at the quarterback position here,

01:01but not from actually throwing the football.

01:02As you said, I like Chambliss under 250 and a half yards.

01:05How about the quarterback position, Joe, from a rushing perspective?

01:08You take a look here and say, all right, Gunnar Stockton, 34 and a half.

01:11Then you take a look at Chambliss, 44 and a half.

01:13If I gave you each one of those quarterbacks, over or under,

01:15who would you back in that situation?

01:16I probably would take Stockton because, again, when he runs,

01:21it's during critical situations to get first downs.

01:24He's not potentially running so much with RPO looks like Trinidad Chambliss

01:29and potentially with sack yards always into account, right?

01:32So we know that Georgia wants to be maybe a little bit more conservative,

01:36running the football, staying in manageable third downs.

01:39And then if Stockton runs, he's probably running with real estate.

01:44So that's why I would take a Stockton over the 34 and a half

01:47as opposed to Chambliss, which has designed RPOs,

01:51and we know that front seven is going to look to take it away.

01:54Pay dirt picks, Joe.

01:55Who's going to find the end zone in this game?

01:56If we're looking at a total with a decent amount like we have

01:58between Mississippi and Georgia, somebody's got to get in.

02:00But also, Joe, there's three guys on this card that are heavily juiced.

02:03It's Lacey of Mississippi, minus 190.

02:06Bowens of Georgia, minus 175.

02:07And Stockton, how about this?

02:09A minus 160 price for a quarterback, not to throw a touchdown,

02:12to run a touchdown in, Joe, and then plus money after that.

02:15Yeah, so Stockton has scored in big games.

02:18Scored last week against Auburn, scored against Tennessee.

02:21So again, in these top 10, top 15 matchups,

02:24he's shown a propensity to run the football inside the red zone.

02:27So not a bad look.

02:28Bowens has been used over Nate Frazier.

02:30But again, Frazier's a little more athletic.

02:33I think in this type of game, I did take Nate Frazier

02:36to potentially go through his rushing total and hit paid dirt at plus 105.

02:41So Lacey, again, is basically a mainstay for the Ole Miss offense.

02:45If you think they're going to run the football and have opportunities,

02:48Lacey, even though he's minus money in this ballgame and a favorite,

02:53it's still potentially good to lay it, even in a parlay,

02:57if you want to take it with somebody else.

02:58Let's call it 57, 57.5 is the total in this game.

03:00So somebody's going to have to score touchdowns.

03:02That's why you're finding some guys playing minus money and paying juice

03:04and a couple guys there, of course, that you would look at at plus money.

03:07But if I looked at the quarterback situation, Joe,

03:10to throw two touchdown passes, and we just look at both of them,

03:13Gunnar Stockton to throw two, it's plus 172.

03:15Chambliss to throw two, it's plus 182.

03:17If I gave you the option of taking one of those two quarterbacks

03:20to throw two touchdowns in this game, who is it?

03:23I would say it's chambliss because, again, we talk about the secondary being weak

03:30for Georgia, and we talk about what I believe Georgia's going to do.

03:34They're going to want to run.

03:35If they're running the football, that's going to be their bread and butter.

03:39For Ole Miss, they really need to dictate the tempo.

03:42That's through the passing attack.

03:43Last year, Jackson Dart basically had 199 yards in the first half

03:48against that secondary.

03:49So look for Lane Kiffin to play a wide-open offense

03:53and exploit that defense over the top.

03:55I'm not suggesting he's going to do it, but that is the game plan,

03:58so I would lean to Chambliss.

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