00:00So if we line this game up once again, Joe, quickly,
00:02eight and a half point as a favorite for Ole Miss,
00:03and a total of 50 and a half.
00:06Jalisi, Donnie right side, the SEC, the place to be.
00:09What do you got?
00:10Could be an upset.
00:11Could be an upset.
00:12Outright?
00:13Yeah, it wouldn't shock me if they get the victory.
00:16How good is Austin Simmons going to be on the road?
00:18They put up 63-plus points on Georgia State last week.
00:22He throws for 300 yards, three touchdowns, two interceptions.
00:25When we talk about the series perspective,
00:28last four games have been very close,
00:31have been decided by an average margin of victory of two and a half points per game.
00:35I told you last year, Luke Vandergriffen and Kentucky,
00:39as a 16 and a half, 17-point underdog,
00:42won the game outright 20-17 over Jackson Dart in the Grove in Oxford.
00:47So there's no guarantee that Ole Miss is going to walk in
00:50and just come away with the victory.
00:51This line opened up at 12 and a half,
00:54got as low as 8 and a half across multiple books.
00:56We're seeing buyback now, 9 and a half's in New Jersey,
01:00right here on FanDuel.
01:01I'm going to take a shot.
01:03I just think this is one of these games, Donnie,
01:05where you just say schools match up.
01:08It doesn't matter the talent per se.
01:10I understand Austin Simmons and Ole Miss are more explosive,
01:14but I believe in Mark Stoops.
01:16I believe in this Kentucky team at home in this spot.
01:19Give me the Wildcats.
01:21How about that?
01:21Wildcats for Joe Lisi at this point around.
01:23Let me just ask you a quick question before we get off of this game, too.
01:26Zach Calzada's passing prop is 160 and a half.
01:29If he doesn't get that, there's no chance they win this game, right?
01:32Well, again.
01:33It's going to be dead in the water.
01:34We're just going to run it all day?
01:35What are we doing?
01:36You look at some of the big games.
01:38What does that happen?
01:38When they have success, Kentucky, they run the football,
01:42and they sustain drives, and they keep the opposing offense on the sidelines.
01:47Go back a couple years ago with sweet baby Ray Davis.
01:49They abused Florida because he rushed for well over 200 yards in that game,
01:54single-handedly, and averaged basically like 11 yards per carry.
01:58Last week against Toledo, they run it for 220 on the ground.
02:03Calzada has 85 yards through the air.
02:06If they can run it, they're not going to get away from that.
02:10So, again, he doesn't need to get to 170.
02:13Will Levis, Joe.
02:14He'll only get to 170, Donnie, if Austin Simmons and Ole Miss jump up 14-0,
02:21then the rushing attack is nonexistent.
02:23Come on, let's whip it around now.
02:24Have a little Sam Leavitt action.
02:25Arizona State, super talented quarterback, passing prop 250 and a half, Joe.
02:29Rushing yards 41 and a half, passing touchdowns over 1 and a half
02:32at a minus 158 price.
02:34Sam Leavitt today, Joe.
02:34Quick thoughts.
02:35I like Sam Leavitt today, Donnie.
02:36Let's go, Sammy.
02:37How about this?
02:38Over the 1 and a half, passing touchdowns.
02:40Now, Stark Vegas, very difficult place to play.
02:43Last year, they raced out to a 30-0 first-half lead, Donnie.
02:48They held on 30-23.
02:50Yeah.
02:50So, you know, a lot of people like Miss State today.
02:53This line opened up at 10.
02:55It's down to 6 and a half, and sixes across multiple books.
02:59Here's the thing.
03:01I believe in Arizona State.
03:02They held Northern Arizona last week to basically 89 yards on the ground.
03:07That front seven has seven starters coming back.
03:10I think defense travels, and Miss State with Blake Sheepin still wants to run the football
03:15with Jeff Levy.
03:16I like Sam Leavitt to have a big day, potentially one of the best teams in the Big 12.
03:21SMU, Joe.
03:22How about this?
03:22Kevin Jennings.
03:23We take a look at last week through for 260 and two touchdown passes.
03:26This week, Joe, 268 and a half is the total on his touchdown prop.
03:29Over-under touchdown passes, one and a half, but heavily juiced.
03:33Yeah, so think.
03:34Yeah, go ahead.
03:34And I was just going to say, so think about this, 268 and a half, he should blow through
03:39that.
03:39It's Baylor, right?
03:41But what did Jackson Arnold do last week for Auburn?
03:43He rushed 16 times, Donnie, for $1.38 on the ground and touchdowns.
03:49Jackson Arnold only had 108 yards on the ground.
03:52Kevin Jennings, I believe, numbers in the area of 30, 40 yards today, 28, maybe 28 and
03:59a half.
03:59Last I looked, I got to get a number.
04:01He could blow through his rushing total today if they utilize some of the RPO game.
04:06I'm not so inclined to bet SMU and Jennings through the air.
04:11I like Baylor in the matchup.
04:13I am on Josh Cameron.
04:1554 and a half is his number.
04:17I think he could blow through that number today, 80 plus.
04:19I do like Baylor outright as a dog, plus 115, 120 in that area, catching the two and a half.
04:26How about lofty expectations here for our guy Sawyer Robertson, Joe?
04:29280 and a half is his prop, and his touchdown pass is to throw at two and a half.
04:34What are you getting plus money on that?
04:35Plus 144.
04:36Woo, Sawyer.
04:36He throws for 400 plus against Auburn, Donnie.
04:40Boy, he's got to get over this number today.
04:42I don't know.
04:43I don't know.
04:43That's lofty expectations.
04:45Come on.
04:45SMU lost multiple starters.
04:47SMU's known for their defense.
04:49I know.
04:50And they're 15 and one straight up at home in Dallas.
04:53Yeah.
04:54But I like Baylor today.
04:55Okay.
04:55Okay.
