Exploring Army vs. Navy Game Props & Key Player Performances

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00:00Let's take a look at some of the props in this game

00:02because we hit an hour number one.

00:03You always know this game's probably going to be close.

00:05It's going to be relatively lower scoring with that 38-and-a-half,

00:08and we get that, Joe.

00:09But look at the passing props in this game.

00:11Blake Corbett for Navy.

00:12Seems like an astronomical number, Joe.

00:15109-and-a-half.

00:15Then you need to have a look at Helms at 64-and-a-half.

00:19For me, Navy does have the better wide receiver.

00:22Do we see it open up a little bit?

00:23Because I do think, Joe, we're going to get a 40- or 50-yard passing play

00:26in this game.

00:27That might not be enough to even get either one of these totals.

00:29Donnie, I've gotten burned with this in the past.

00:32We're thinking that, like, Army's going to come out

00:35and throw the football, and they have.

00:37Just can't connect.

00:39No, they get it, but sometimes, like, in some of these games,

00:43it's, like, far and few between.

00:45You need to have chunk plays consistently.

00:48Now, Navy and Blake Corbett are a pass-heavy offense

00:52more so than Army.

00:53Army's only averaging 78 passing yards per game.

00:57Navy's 136 through the air.

00:59They like to utilize more play action in their passing attack,

01:03so that's why you get more chunk plays out of Navy.

01:05But if you're going to win this game and you're Monken,

01:08you would think that maybe you implement a little bit more passing.

01:1164 yards out of Helms?

01:14I probably would take that, Donnie.

01:17Could you?

01:18I mean, I probably would alt it to 80 right on his average, which is 78 yards,

01:23and hope that in this game you need a big play over the top.

01:28Yeah, I don't know if we have with some of the books I'm looking at,

01:30some of these more fun props.

01:31Was it his passing play?

01:32Was it, like, because I want to see, because I know sometimes a bet 365 will have,

01:36like, at least in the NFL, a game has over one-and-a-half touchdown passes,

01:39two-and-a-half touchdown passes.

01:41It probably would be a half in this game.

01:43But if you're looking at the quarterbacks to throw, Joe, Blake Corbett,

01:46a half of a touchdown pass, which, again, means one is plus 104.

01:49Helms to throw a touchdown.

01:50One of them.

01:51Plus 280.

01:52Yeah.

01:52That's incredible.

01:53I know.

01:54We can't roll out of the pocket and dump it off to the tight end.

01:57I think this happened last year.

01:59It was one of the games.

02:00I forget what it was.

02:01And they were getting down inside the goal line, and he was throwing.

02:05And I said, come on, guy.

02:07And he could.

02:08It was horrible.

02:09Watching the kickers as well.

02:11In this game, the kickers stick.

02:1336-yarders.

02:14Like, honestly, that's why if you're playing the over,

02:17you can't rely on field goals.

02:19You've got to get chunk touchdowns, defensive turnovers.

02:22I'm looking now.

02:23Team yards, Donnie.

02:25Yeah.

02:26Team yards.

02:27How much?

02:28283 and a half.

02:30That's all rushing.

02:31How about for Navy?

02:32What do they got?

02:34332 and a hook.

02:35I think the Navy's got a chance at that, Joe.

02:37I do.

02:37Their average right now is 424.

02:41Yeah, I think they've got a chance at it.

02:42That's 424.

02:44Navy's –

02:44Navy –

02:45You need a big play in there.

02:46You need 150-yard play.

02:47You got it.

02:48Navy's defense, to me,

02:49is not that great.

02:50I think they can be exposed.

02:52I think Army –

02:53I would probably take Army 283 and a half.

02:56Like, if you look at Navy's schedule, Joe,

02:57all the way up and down,

02:58I think, like, if you put the 38 and a half into –

03:00when I was checking it earlier –

03:01into perspective,

03:02like, every other game did go over.

03:05Like, there's only one game that stayed under 38 points,

03:07I believe, right?

03:07It's because their defense is terrible.

03:09Yeah.

03:09But the fact of the matter is,

03:10can Army actually –

03:11Look at these scores.

03:11Yeah.

03:11Can Army actually do anything, though?

03:13So, they beat Air Force 34-31.

03:15They beat Temple 32-31.

03:17They beat FAU 42-30.

03:20They give up points.

03:21Army, I mean, for the most part,

03:23you look at some of the teams that they have played right now.

03:26Like I said, East Carolina, they lost 28-6.

03:29But to hold ECU to only 28 points is really good.

03:33They beat up on UAB 31-13, Charlotte 24-7.

03:38They only lost to Tulane 24-17.

03:41Yeah.

03:41So, I think their defense, to me,

03:44I think I would take a shot on Army's yards

03:46and take a shot Army outright on the money line.

03:50How about this, Joe?

03:51Let's take a look again,

03:52because you're getting some props

03:53that you aren't used to seeing here.

03:54And what I'm talking about is the player receiving yards.

03:57Heidenreich is 42-1.

03:58But I know we love the alt market here,

04:00and he's the wide receiver for Navy.

04:01He's a pretty good wide receiver.

04:02He just doesn't get a lot of opportunities here.

04:04To get 100 yards today for Heidenreich, Joe, plus 750.

04:08110 yards, that's 10-1.

04:1150-plus yards is plus 122.

04:13Like, I look at this and I say to myself,

04:1542-1⁄2, I think this is legitimate here.

04:17But I would go to 50 yards, Joe,

04:18for the plus money for him, plus 122.

04:21I think it makes sense,

04:22because I think he's going to catch one deep ball.

04:24He's going to have one-on-one coverage all day, Joe.

04:26They're going to give him at least two targets

04:27on a deep route today.

04:29You might be right.

04:30I mean, but then why not take a shot on the Army guys?

04:34I'm just saying, like,

04:35because the Army guys have to have huge value.

04:38That's good.

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