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  • 4 months ago
There are two systems in the Atlantic that forecasters are closely watching for potential development into tropical storms right after the impacts of Hurricane Erin.

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00:00And this is just the beginning, Jeff, because Aaron is technically our first hurricane of the
00:03season, maintained, reached, I should say, category five status. But as you look at the
00:08calendar, take a look at this very impressive stuff here. We are right here, August 21st
00:12on the calendar. So for hurricanes, we're right about here. For named storms, we're right about
00:18there. But look what happens here as we go forward in time. You can see that for the number of
00:22hurricanes, they really start to ramp up. But for the number of named storms, those really
00:27put the pedal to the metal here as we go into the peak of hurricane season, which is right
00:31around September 10th. So these are going to be the kinds of numbers that we are forecasting
00:36for climatologically speaking as we go forward. So this is just the beginning. And the beginning
00:41was very powerful. So I mentioned earlier just how impressive Aaron was and how long we've
00:45been tracking this. We've been tracking this storm since it developed right off the coast
00:49of Africa. And you can see this long line that it's taken here so far on its path. And once
00:54again, on Sunday, it reached major category five status. And as of right now, still maintaining
00:59as a category two hurricane as it continues to make this northeastwardly track. But this
01:04is just the first hurricane we've had. Whenever it looks to the potential development of our
01:08next named storm, we have two areas that we are watching for high development potential
01:13on our Accuether development potential scale. And you can see one area is going to be for
01:18today and tomorrow, August 21st, 22nd. This is going to be this area here off to the east.
01:23As we head into the weekend, we're also going to be watching this area between August 22nd
01:27and 23rd. That's Saturday, Sunday. So as we head into the weekend from Bermuda, Puerto
01:32Rico, Turks and Caicos down to the Virgin Islands, we're going to be watching out for this potential
01:36area for more development as we head throughout the weekend. So two areas primarily. Now to
01:41the east, we have one storm that's now starting to move into that area. And that could be the
01:46storm that could possibly potentially develop into our next named storm. But the likelihood of
01:50that looks like the higher likelihood would be this cluster of storms right here as it
01:54moves into this region right here, which is going to be more advantageous. So that's what
01:58we're going to be tracking for that. But once again, Bermuda has been seeing bad impacts there
02:03from Aaron. But it looks like Bermuda can see some more impacts for this potential future storm
02:07that we're going to be tracking as we head throughout the weekend.
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