00:00In the tropics, the Atlantic is becoming much more active.
00:04It's kind of coming alive as we step into mid-August here.
00:06As we populate the map, you'll notice that we're no longer labeling Dexter.
00:11Dexter is officially no longer a tropical storm.
00:13It's still a storm system, but it's lost its tropical characteristics.
00:17It's way up there to the north, so we really want to focus on the future as opposed to the past.
00:21And we have two disturbances near the southeast coast,
00:24and then two that are way out over the tropical Atlantic, central and eastern Atlantic at this point.
00:30First, the storms that are closer to home, one's going to stay off the Carolina coast.
00:35You can see a trough is going to kind of scoop this up,
00:37and there's a window of opportunity, a medium chance for that to organize between Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.
00:43It'll stay west of Bermuda and east of the east coast,
00:46but there will be still continued rip currents as there's more traffic in the Atlantic,
00:50and this is one more reason for rip currents.
00:51Then to the south, another disturbance is going to take the kind of the western fork in the road
00:56and drift into the Caribbean into next week.
00:58And there's a small chance of development with this one beginning early next week
01:03into the northeastern part of the Gulf.
01:05But off the east coast here, still a medium chance for the next couple of days.
01:09And then as we step all the way out to the broader perspective, two separate tropical waves.
01:14Now, these are plotted in generally a similar area, but look at the dates.
01:17One of these is farther east.
01:19One is farther west.
01:20The first one is likely to organize and pull north fairly sharply here.
01:25The second farther south is going to take more of an east-to-west trajectory.
01:29So here's one tropical wave.
01:30Another one just exited the African coast.
01:33It's a pretty pesky zone of convection there.
01:35And initially, the Bermuda-Azors High is a little more constricted for the early part of the forecast.
01:41That'll allow the first storm to curve and head north.
01:43But as this area of high pressure flexes its muscle and drifts farther west,
01:48that'll likely steer the second storm into the Caribbean next week.
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