Tracking the tropics

AccuWeather

Barbara and Cosme are expected to impact shipping in the eastern Pacific. AccuWeather's Geoff Cornish explains the tropical activity brewing in the Pacific while the Atlantic remains quiet.

Transcript

00:00As you look at the big picture satellite loop here across the East Pacific and the Gulf, the Caribbean,

00:10things are very quiet in the Atlantic Basin here.

00:12We're kind of taking a big broad view here, and you can see the daily convection in Cuba.

00:16But there is very little going on.

00:18No tropical threats.

00:20In fact, we've actually removed our tropical potential for development here in the Western Caribbean for now.

00:25There's just nothing going on in the short term in the Atlantic.

00:27But in the Pacific, look at this.

00:29We've got two named storms on the map.

00:31We have Barbara, which became a hurricane today.

00:33Hurricane Barbara moving northwest.

00:36It will stay offshore.

00:37And then also Cosme.

00:39This is Cosme, tropical storm Cosme, a little farther out there.

00:42Looks a little more ragged here, but we do have some activity here in the East Pacific.

00:45Now, Barbara is the storm that we're focusing on a little more because it is closer to land.

00:49It's also a hurricane, first hurricane of the year for the East Pacific.

00:54And, again, this is not going to be lasting long.

00:56It won't be with us for too long because this water is pretty nippy.

01:00The ocean currents direct cooler water down along the coast parallel to the Baja California

01:05Peninsula, and that's going to chew this storm apart.

01:08Now, a little north of its footprint, you can see it's 60s.

01:10We look for water temperature to be 80-plus to support storms.

01:13It is admittedly a little farther south of Cabo San Lucas, but, again, you can see the flavor

01:18of even very southern latitudes way south of San Diego, 61, 65 degrees there.

01:24Pretty cool.

01:24Now, ocean water temperatures in the Atlantic are not our limiting factor.

01:28It's plenty warm out there.

01:29Ocean water temps are warm into the Atlantic Basin right now.

01:33Near average near Bermuda.

01:34If you're in the light blue, you're a little below average.

01:36Yellow, a little above average.

01:37We have some bigger dynamic changes here into the area off the northeast coast.

01:41But, again, there's not a whole lot cooking in the short term, but we do expect to see an active season.

01:47Remember, hurricane season goes all the way to the end of November, so we have plenty of time.

01:52And most active months, August, September, and October.

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