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BROWN URGES CAUTION, AMID OPTIMISIM
CCNTV6
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6 months ago
Economist and former Government Minister Mariano Browne welcomes reports that Shell Trinidad and Tobago Ltd is moving ahead with the Aphrodite project.
The offshore gas field, still under development, is projected to deliver first gas by 2027.
More from Nicole M Romany.
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News
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00:00
Speaking with TV6, The Economist says any development of this nature is significant,
00:07
particularly as it relates to boosting the country's gas production.
00:11
He notes that Trinidad and Tobago is currently operating below capacity in both LNG and the
00:18
petrochemical sectors, so any improvement in supply is a welcomed development.
00:24
However, he cautions that the country must confront the broader economic realities with
00:31
clear eyes and a grounded perspective.
00:34
This is a positive development, but we always have to keep in mind that we cannot depend only
00:40
on natural gas and natural gas derivatives to keep the economy afloat.
00:46
The reality is, and we have been in declining production mode since 2011, and Jupiter, Juniper
00:53
and LNG, which came on, only pushed gas production up by 10 percent.
01:00
Right now, at that stage of the game, we are operating at 3.6 billion cubic feet a day.
01:05
Now we are operating at 2.5.
01:08
Brown tells TV6 that while the progress on the Aphrodite project is encouraging, the country
01:15
must remain cautious as it moves forward.
01:18
He emphasizes the importance of careful planning and prudent management to ensure long-term stability
01:24
and growth in the energy sector.
01:27
Brown notes that in its release, Shell talked about barrel oil equivalence, but it did not
01:33
say how much gas this would be producing.
01:37
It says a significant contribution that does not translate into specifics.
01:42
So, you can't come to a definitive conclusion.
01:46
You can say that it's useful, it's important, it's significant, it's promising, it's helpful.
01:53
But at the same time, it doesn't say that it's going to come, how much it's going to produce,
01:58
and how much when these other projects will come upstream.
02:01
However, The Economist maintains that caution remains the most prudent approach as the country
02:08
navigates emerging opportunities.
02:10
I think the answer to that is about using methanol as a fuel to power the tankers in the
02:16
transportation of national gas and other products.
02:20
So, I think that's a positive.
02:22
I don't have a difficulty with that.
02:24
I think it's useful from that perspective.
02:27
But it's also, one has to still remember, we're still in the same position, right, dependence
02:32
on natural gas.
02:34
He notes that while this positioning is not necessarily a bad thing, it is only as beneficial
02:40
as the country's ability to replace the gas it uses with new gas discoveries.
02:46
Nicole M. Romany, TV6 News.
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