00:00flooding. You can see the 10-year historical average for weather fatalities, 48 for tornadoes,
00:05but 103 for flooding. And that's why we want to bring in one of our experts. Joining me right now
00:10is AccuWeather flooding expert Alex Szczesowski. Alex, thank you so much for being with us on
00:15AccuWeather Early, where we're going to break down the huge flooding threats. And this is fresh in a
00:19lot of people's mind because you're saying just a month ago, this is what we were dealing with
00:23in Kentucky. Yeah, it was pretty much a month ago to the day. We had significant flooding in central
00:28and eastern Kentucky. That was the apex of it. We have another flooding event coming up here.
00:33We don't think it's going to be necessarily quite as extreme as that, but we are going to have
00:38significant flooding with this, and most of that's going to stem from flash flooding, we think, this
00:43time. If you look at the past 30-day rainfall, you can see where some of that heaviest rainfall
00:48was centered up across Kentucky. And we also were coming off of ground being frozen. There was some
00:54snow up in the mountains, some snow cover on the ground. So that kind of added into that.
00:59So if we step forward here, we take a look at the drought monitor. There's actually some
01:03significant areas here where we can use the rain. There's been some wildfire activity going on,
01:07significant wildfire activity. So this rain coming in is going to certainly help that.
01:12And some of the dry ground here is also going to help the amount of rain that we're going to
01:16get here a little bit, kind of cancel it out. But that's not going to be the case everywhere.
01:20And so if we take a look at what we're expecting here in terms of flooding
01:25tomorrow, or on Saturday, the dark green area is the area of greatest concern where we could have
01:31widespread flash flooding in there. I think we're looking at a general 2 to 4 inches of rain in that
01:36dark green zone, 1 to 2 inches surrounding that. But within that dark green zone, there's a
01:41potential for 6 inches of rain to fall, and some of that could fall within 6 hours. So you're
01:46definitely going to get urban flooding from this. You're definitely going to get small stream
01:50flooding from this. Any low water crossings there or secondary roads along these small
01:54streams could be very dangerous. You don't want to try to cross them in this situation.
01:58There's also going to be some river flooding with this, mostly with the secondary rivers that kind
02:02of feed into the Tennessee and Cumberland rivers. Those secondary rivers here will see some
02:08significant rises with this, and that'll eventually work their way down the Ohio and Mississippi with
02:12some subtle to moderate rises. If we step forward here to Sunday, the main action then
02:19shifts to the I-81 and I-95 corridors. Travel probably along I-81 is going to be the worst.
02:26We think probably Sunday midday into the afternoon. Then along I-95, you're probably
02:31looking at urban flooding problems here later Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. Those
02:36will be the worst times to be on the road when there can be significant ponding and very poor
02:40visibility due to some gusty thunderstorms and also some torrential rainfall that's going to be
02:44sweeping through. Accular flooding expert Alex Zasowski, thank you so much again for joining
02:49us and bringing your expertise about the flooding that we'll be tracking through this weekend.
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