Assessing Justin Jefferson's Value in Daily Fantasy Football

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00:00 (upbeat music)

00:02 - Joe, let's start with some wide receivers now.

00:05 Justin Jefferson, obvious name.

00:07 So let's do it.

00:08 9,200 on Fandle, 8,100 on DK.

00:11 Is this depending on how many lineups you want to put in?

00:14 I mean, what are your thoughts on these prices

00:17 considering the size of the slate today?

00:20 - Well, look, we already talked about fading Tyreek Hill

00:22 and it's hard not to want to fade Justin Jefferson

00:26 at 9,200 in this slate.

00:28 Just because I'm looking at some of the scoring potential

00:30 for Mike Evans and, you know, okay,

00:32 that gives me a lot more.

00:33 And the next guy we're gonna talk about

00:34 is a little cheaper than Justin Jefferson.

00:35 It is Nick Mullins playing quarterback.

00:37 And I'm not trying to take shots at Nick Mullins

00:39 because last week, you know,

00:40 seven to 10 targets for 84 yards.

00:41 If he had a touchdown,

00:42 it would be a really good day for Justin Jefferson.

00:44 So he's okay to be starting,

00:46 but you have to understand that the price

00:49 and the cost of starting Justin Jefferson,

00:50 you're going to have to really go down a quarterback.

00:52 So you're gonna have to play the flackos of the world.

00:55 Geno, I think, is a great pivot, cheap.

00:57 That's another one too.

00:58 There's a couple of guys, Baker's relatively inexpensive.

01:00 So there are those guys you could do that with,

01:02 but then you also got to cheap out at running back too.

01:04 So that means you're gonna have to have Chuba Hubbard,

01:06 maybe taking a shot on Aaron Jones,

01:07 who's got a good matchup,

01:08 but Aaron Jones hasn't done anything

01:10 or looked healthy since week one.

01:11 So that's a big F.

01:12 Now you could throw that dart

01:14 and maybe it finds the bullseye,

01:16 but I don't know if it's going to necessarily.

01:18 So Justin Jefferson, we all know what kind of talent he is.

01:20 It's just a matter of, do we want to pay the price?

01:22 And I think looking at the price,

01:23 I think it's right on that bubble.

01:24 Tyreek Hill is more expensive.

01:26 C.D. Lamb is more expensive.

01:27 I'm sure that Lamb will be highly rostered too.

01:30 Even in the down week last week for the Cowboys,

01:32 he's still at 15 points.

01:34 So these guys being $200 apart,

01:36 it feels like C.D. Lamb is probably

01:38 the better investment of the two,

01:41 just because you know what you're getting

01:42 out of the quarterback play.

01:43 And I think that's something that

01:45 sometimes we don't think enough about.

01:46 Like we love the talented players,

01:48 but at the end of the day, wide receiver,

01:49 you've got to get a guy who can get you the football.

01:52 And if Nick Mullen struggles to get you the football

01:53 in the right spot, well, guess what?

01:55 You're going to have a tougher day.

01:57 Jefferson's investable.

01:58 I think I'd rather have C.D. Lamb

01:59 between the two high price guys.

02:01 I am going to fade Tyreek Hill, who's the most expensive.

02:04 And it's really because of the unknown about the ankle.

02:06 The last thing you can do is have too much exposure

02:10 to Tyreek Hill.

02:11 Tyreek Hill comes out of the game.

02:13 Tyreek Hill is more of a decoy.

02:15 And the next thing you know, it sinks your lineup

02:16 because it's so expensive.

02:18 It's so hard to fit all the other pieces in to that puzzle.

02:20 You can have a Tyreek Hill lineup,

02:22 but overexposure to Tyreek,

02:23 and maybe even overexposure to this Miami-Dallas game,

02:27 you should definitely have one lineup at least

02:28 that dips their toes into this water,

02:31 whether it be Lamb, Ferguson, Tua, A-Chan, Boaster,

02:36 like some combination of those guys.

02:37 It definitely makes sense to do that.

02:38 But if this game fails,

02:40 and if this game becomes a little bit more of an under,

02:43 then guess what?

02:44 Some of these other games that we're talking about,

02:46 like Seattle, like Tampa, some of these other situations

02:48 where those offenses could hit,

02:49 those are going to be the games

02:50 that really carry you over the pay lines

02:52 and all those exposure and the high Ross percentage

02:54 of games like the Dallas game,

02:56 that's going to bring everybody way below.

02:58 (upbeat music)

03:01 (bells chiming)

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