00:00 Let's take a look at the current
00:02 eyepath for Hurricane Lee.
00:03 Accuweather is the first source to
00:05 forecast this storm to become a
00:07 Category 5 hurricane and we were
00:08 the first source to issue any
00:10 forecast for this storm 24 hours
00:12 before anybody else. Accuweather
00:13 is the only source to provide a
00:15 forecast seven days out as well,
00:17 which is two days ahead of any other source.
00:20 But let's look ahead, Bernie.
00:22 It's time for the crystal ball.
00:24 Yeah, let's let's bring in our long
00:26 range Accuweather meteorologist Joe
00:27 Lumberg and then we'll bring in
00:29 our weather expert Joe Lumberg.
00:31 And you know, Joe,
00:32 before we take a look at what we're
00:34 going to be talking about and here's a
00:37 hit we're going to be talking about Lee.
00:39 What were we discussing this time last week?
00:41 Well, we don't have to guess.
00:43 We're going to pull the tape.
00:45 Take a listen.
00:46 Yeah, we're using the term Joe active
00:48 period of active rest in the Atlantic.
00:50 We're still going to be watching you,
00:52 Dahlia.
00:53 We think that's going to stay
00:54 off the eastern seaboard with.
00:56 There are going to be storms in the
00:58 central and eastern Atlantic,
00:59 but right now we're saying in the
01:01 September 10th this is a huge statement.
01:04 We don't have any concerns along the US,
01:06 but that could change after that.
01:08 Yeah, it die is probably not
01:10 going to be a problem whatsoever,
01:11 but keep an eye on this thing that's
01:14 about ready to come off the coast of
01:16 Africa as it moves westward.
01:17 We believe it will develop.
01:19 There's every reason to believe
01:20 it becomes a hurricane.
01:22 Yeah, and that of course Joe was
01:24 the tropical wave coming off Africa,
01:26 which we are now calling.
01:29 Cut category 5 hurricane Lee.
01:31 It's a powerful beast and it went
01:34 through rapid intensification overnight,
01:35 and you were talking about this yesterday.
01:37 Bernie about the pristine conditions.
01:39 I mean, yeah, you don't see category
01:41 five hurricanes very often and there's
01:43 a good reason for it because you need
01:45 ideal conditions for these things
01:47 to become that strong.
01:48 We had them bathwater in its way
01:50 that it was going over a very moist
01:53 environment and no wind shear.
01:55 So those three things combined allowed
01:57 this thing to become a monster.
01:58 Now as we go forward in time,
02:00 the three big things that we want you to know.
02:03 Well, obviously Lee is going to
02:04 be a huge threat down the road.
02:06 Will it be hitting the Northeast?
02:08 We don't know at this point in time,
02:10 but it certainly is going to threaten him.
02:12 It's going to be a horrible week
02:14 to go to the East Coast beaches.
02:16 I mean, rough surf,
02:17 very high rip current risk and lots
02:18 of highways and the other big story.
02:20 Probably some heat relief for
02:22 much of the north of much of the
02:24 fall on the northern plains next week.
02:25 Yeah, that big dip in the jet stream.
02:28 Of course this is the that dip in the
02:30 jet stream is also what we're honing
02:32 in on on where this will steer Lee,
02:34 but it does bring some big changes
02:36 to the north central US.
02:37 It really does.
02:38 There'll be a series of troughs that
02:39 are going to be coming from the
02:41 Northwest to the Southeast and
02:43 carving out this trough.
02:44 We don't know the depth of that trough
02:46 just yet, but its impacts at least
02:47 for the central and Western US.
02:49 Cooling down things all the way down
02:51 into the southern plains and parts
02:52 of the Northeast. Like I said,
02:54 it's gonna feel like falling here,
02:55 but this upper level trough also
02:57 means an opportunity for more shower
02:59 and thunderstorm activity along the
03:00 eastern seaboard and it will be
03:02 the steering mechanism for Lee.
03:03 Yeah, let's take a look at the
03:05 track Lee well east of Florida.
03:07 Category four as we get it in the
03:09 Wednesday, Tuesday and Wednesday, Joe.
03:11 But then where does it go from there?
03:14 We have already cleared southeastern
03:15 North Carolina down toward Florida.
03:17 You're going to be in the clear from
03:19 wind or rain far from the coast.
03:21 It's going to be a little bit
03:23 more windy than that.
03:24 But if you're going to be in the
03:26 wind or rain farther North,
03:27 it gets tricky. Yeah, it does.
03:29 I mean, you can see from that one graphic.
03:31 No wind or rain for impacts for the
03:33 Southeast Coast, but from Hatteras on North.
03:35 It's really going to depend on
03:37 this strength of this trough.
03:38 If it's weak and fast moving,
03:40 this system will be steered out to see.
03:42 It'll stay east of 70 degrees.
03:44 If however, this trough deepens more,
03:45 it allows this thing to get farther to
03:48 the West and anybody from Hatteras on
03:50 the coast. So really quickly, Joe,
03:51 let's go over some of the threat
03:53 probabilities and a percent chance
03:55 of wind and rain from that area from
03:57 the Outer Banks toward Newfoundland.
03:58 Yeah, early you were pointing out
04:00 that we want to rule these places out,
04:02 but we can't quite do that just yet.
04:04 But these areas no way there's just
04:06 no way you can rule them out.
04:08 And obviously wind and rain or two.
04:09 The biggest impacts that you're
04:11 going to be feeling from those
04:12 things if the storm gets close
04:14 enough and without question,
04:15 the beaches are definitely going
04:16 to be battered from this system.
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