00:00Now, it's not out of the question that this develops some tropical characteristics and could be a subtropical storm,
00:05but let's talk about what's actually going on in the tropics.
00:07Yeah, we're at least nodding to this storm here with our yellow zone off the northeast coast,
00:11where red could be classified as a subtropical system.
00:14Most likely, we're hedging our bets toward this just being a nor'easter,
00:17but maybe I shouldn't say just being a nor'easter.
00:19Nor'easters can be really damaging and bring a lot of high impacts,
00:22so we need to keep a close eye on this, probably the storm of the month so far
00:27for at least the United States and the east coast.
00:30Tropical storm Faye is less of a newsworthy situation here.
00:34We have the coast of Africa, the Iberian Peninsula, Portugal and Spain,
00:37and Faye is basically due east of the Carolina coast, close to a point maybe near Myrtle Beach,
00:43but way, way, way to the east.
00:44We're also watching a new strong tropical wave move off the west coast of Africa.
00:48Faye moving south-southwest at 3 miles per hour, drifting.
00:52Max sustained winds down to 45 miles per hour.
00:54It's in kind of a declining state right now.
00:57It peaked in intensity earlier this weekend, and it will likely be a tropical rainstorm,
01:01or at least just dissipate by the end of the week.
01:05Off the west coast of Africa, really impressive moisture here.
01:08These are healthy tropical waves departing the African coast,
01:11and there is a small window here with less wind shear over the eastern tropical Atlantic,
01:17but once we get farther west to the main development region,
01:20still stiff headwinds and very strong wind shear would disrupt anything that makes it that far west.
01:27Beautiful shot there from Acapulco.
01:29We're going to go there in just a moment, but overall across the western Caribbean
01:33and up into the area near Florida, a large draw of moisture being sucked northward
01:38from the western Caribbean.
01:39That's leading to more thunderstorms in Florida.
01:42We don't expect this to organize, but it is certainly a wetter pattern for many of you
01:46with, obviously, tropical influences.
01:49So Faye has been named over the weekend.
01:51The next storm on the list would be Gonzalo.
01:53Will we see Gonzalo?
01:55Well, we probably will at some point, but not anytime immediately soon.
01:59And by the way, among all of the past hundred years,
02:03the latest first hurricane formed, the very latest, the longest wait before a hurricane
02:09happened on today's date in 1941.
02:12Back during World War II, we had to wait all the way until September 21st to find our first hurricane.
02:16This year, we haven't even had a hurricane yet, and it's going to be September 22nd with no hurricane.
02:21So we're going to be challenging the true record for latest first hurricane,
02:25which formed back on October 7th and 8th in 1905.
02:28We don't know of any hurricanes from 1907, 1914,
02:31but in the early 1900s, we didn't have eyes on the whole Atlantic.
02:35We only were aware of what impacted its shipping routes and land.
02:38So we missed a lot of hurricanes back then.
02:40Right now in the Pacific, there's Hurricane Polo south of Acapulco.
02:44Tropical storm Odalis, lots of moisture with that one.
02:47Also a tropical rainstorm that's going to make a push to near the big island of Hawaii.
02:52This is going to bring some significant rain and flooding there.
02:56Whether it's named or not, we're calling it a tropical rainstorm because of the impacts.
02:59Eight to 12 inches of rain coming to the eastern summits of the Big Island's volcano, volcanic summits.
03:05And we're looking at moderate risk to lives and property here because of flooding.
03:10Here we have a huge field of moisture, and deep within the circulation there is tropical storm Odalis,
03:16with movement to the northwest at 8 miles per hour.
03:19Maxistane winds 50 miles per hour with that one.
03:21Hurricane Polo, though, ramping up, and this will continue to ramp up sharply off the southwest side of Mexico.
03:26So nearly stalled now.
03:28It'll become a Category 5 hurricane by midweek or late week and brush the coast of Mexico with huge impacts.
03:34We're looking at 60 to 80 mile per hour gusts, but the bigger story is going to be flooding rain.
03:39Accurate with a local storm, max up to 18 inches for this one.
03:42We're looking at a natural storm, max up to 18 inches.
03:42That's right.
03:42What we're looking at is your air.
03:42So, my grandfather is gonna be playing today.
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