00:00For the rest of this month in the early October, the area to watch for tropical development in the Atlantic
00:06Basin is going to be the Gulf in the southwest Atlantic.
00:09That's the one area where you don't have hostile conditions for development because what we call the MDR, the main
00:16development region of the Atlantic between the Lesser Antilles and the west coast of Africa, for the most part, is
00:23closed for business due to dry, dusty air and lots of wind shear.
00:27Now, that doesn't mean a tropical wave coming off Africa can't develop, but it will have a very difficult time
00:33busting through that wind shear and that dry air to have impacts on the United States.
00:39And quite frankly, right now, the Atlantic Basin is on pause.
00:42We haven't had a storm since Edward.
00:44Five named storms.
00:46That's it.
00:47None of them, by the way, are hurricanes.
00:49And we are running about a month to a month and a half behind.
00:53And notice, we should already have four hurricanes.
00:56We have none.
00:57And we may do something that we haven't done in over 100 years.
01:01That is, on Monday, September 21st, if we do not have a hurricane, it would be the latest first occurrence
01:09of a hurricane in the Atlantic Basin since September 21st in 1941.
01:15By the way, the record for the first occurrence, the latest occurrence of a hurricane, is October 8th, 1905.
01:21Of course, we're going before the satellite era.
01:24There we are.
01:25There we are.
01:25Hi.
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