00:00We're not dealing with any land impacts yet from Dali, so there it is, a slice of paradise, the Turks
00:05and Caicos,
00:06and that's an area where if residual circulation from Dali can make it there,
00:11that would be the area where things are more conducive for development.
00:14But right now, Dali is up against some headwinds.
00:17We've got some wind shear and some drier air around it, and our storm is cruising westward pretty quickly.
00:23There has been some convection this afternoon, but Dali was only a true tropical storm for 24 hours,
00:2811 a.m. yesterday to 11 a.m. today, Eastern Time.
00:31And now we're back to a rainstorm, tropical rainstorm, Dali.
00:35That's our phrasing here at AccuWeather that we use when we're tracking a system that will still be impactful,
00:40even if it doesn't fully meet the definition of a true tropical storm.
00:43The winds are not quite that strong.
00:44So we've got more wind shear in the path of this storm, more dry air,
00:48so it will remain a rainstorm as opposed to a true tropical storm through Tuesday.
00:52It will bring some helpful rainfall, though, into areas like Puerto Rico where a drought continues.
00:58You'll notice that we're forecasting this to totally lose organization by Tuesday,
01:02but if a fragment of it can drift north, that might help to see new development over the Bahamas
01:07or the Turks and Caicos.
01:08So we're doing something a little less orthodox here with our eyepath.
01:13We have this area where we're mentioning, this is an important part of the story,
01:16it may, maybe 30%, 40% chance that it may reorganize later next week.
01:21There will be some gusty squalls of rain, maybe gusts of 40-plus miles per hour over the Leeward Islands.
01:27The biggest benefit of this system, and really this is a win, not a loss,
01:30it's a win here for Puerto Rico, is that you could see 2 to 4 inches of rain.
01:35Now, one thing to keep in mind, it's a pretty narrow path that's going to see 2 to 4 inches,
01:39but it's possible that they cross right over Puerto Rico,
01:42and we're looking at an AccuWeather real impact scale rating for this system of less than 1.
01:47Rip currents might be the biggest life safety hazard associated with this.
01:52It's going to behave like a beefy tropical wave, but some heavy rain will accompany it,
01:56and that's why we're calling it a tropical rainstorm.
01:58The whole Caribbean's been basically shut down through most of August here.
02:02There's too much wind shear, some dry air.
02:04If the trend is that the storm kind of tracks a little farther south,
02:08it would be running into the paper shredder, and that would be it.
02:11But if it stays a little farther north and moves into an area north of the Bahamas
02:15or into the northern Gulf between Wednesday, September 2nd, Wednesday, and Saturday of next week,
02:21we've got a chance for some redevelopment there.
02:24We are forecasting rain and wind here as we move through the weekend
02:28and early parts of next week there in the northeastern Caribbean tied to this.
02:31And spin the globe to the eastern Pacific.
02:33We've got Lowell and Carina, two systems that are tropical storms,
02:37and then two more zones where development is moderately likely south of Hawaii
02:42but very likely south of southern Mexico.
02:44So this is going to remain a very active place into early September, the East Pacific.
02:50It's alive here.
02:51This is aligning pretty well with what you'd expect for an El Nino year.
02:55Sure is.
02:56We've had so many storms, so many bubbles on satellites in the East Pacific the last month.
