00:00That's what the New England Patriots people, their forecast for wins on the Cal State marketplace, 9 plus, 10 plus,
00:0711 wins.
00:08Joe, they cruised last year, but apparently people looking for maybe not to be so successful this year as they
00:14actually play a decent schedule.
00:15No, where do we go on the win totals here on the Cal State marketplace?
00:18Well, again, keeping in mind, you know, they forecasted about 9.7, I think, total wins here.
00:25But keep in mind, you know, when you dive into these future markets like this and the prediction side, you
00:31know, you're always looking for value where you can you'll have an opportunity to get out, make a profit, Donnie,
00:39because the market has got to reprice as the season moves along.
00:43You know, the Patriots are sitting here nine and a half wins.
00:47I think you can even see 10 plus wins on their card here.
00:51I mean, they're pricing them now like they're a real contender and not this cute sleeper team that had an
00:58easy schedule last year because the schedule much more difficult.
01:02The noise much more this year than in past year travel mileage, totally different.
01:09So I don't see a lot of value in expecting them to win 10 or 11 games.
01:14I see the value in them not living up to the potential.
01:17And I see the under is the where the value is.
01:20Yeah, it looks like nine plus wins, Joe, currently with a 57% chance to have that happen.
01:25But the yes contract there is actually at 66 cents, which means $100 investment on the Patriots winning 10 or
01:30nine plus games, I should say, gets back $152.
01:34Let's take a look at the opening game that New England's going to play against the Super Bowl champions from
01:39a game we just saw in the Super Bowl.
01:42New England versus Seattle.
01:43Currently right now, Seattle, Joe, and Kelsey just to win the game.
01:4666% chance with a yes contract of $0.68.
01:50Always hard to go on the road.
01:51Emotional atmosphere on opening night all the way out in Seattle.
01:55That's going to let you know how dialed in those New England Patriots are.
01:58And also, any off-field, off-season happenings could interfere with game number one.
02:04We'll find out.
02:05But the heavy favorite right now are those Seattle Seahawks, Joe.
02:08Well, here's the deal, Donnie.
02:10The market we just talked about there regarding New England and their win total, well, I tell you right now,
02:17if they win this one to open up the season, Donnie, that market's going to reprice and adjust in a
02:22big way, right?
02:23Same thing for Seattle.
02:25If I just need who's going to win this game, I would much rather have Seattle here than anything else.
02:32Traveling across country, 12th man, all of that good stuff there.
02:37Yeah, but again, Seattle's market, I don't know what their win total is, Donnie, but it will likely have to
02:43reprice as well after this game.
02:45So those two markets, I think, correlated with game one, depending on which side you think is going to win.
Comments