AFC Championship Odds Analysis: Best Bets and Team Insights

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00:00Let's take a look to win the AFC.

00:02New England plus 420, Denver plus 470.

00:06The bill's still there to me until Josh Allen's not playing.

00:10I mean, I guess that's where I would still lean here, Mark.

00:12And I think this is probably the best odds you'd get on Buffalo in a long time.

00:16Kansas City's odds are still there as well.

00:19I don't know what's going on with Lamar Jackson in Baltimore,

00:21so I can't side with them.

00:23But, I mean, Mark, you've been doing this a long time.

00:26It's December.

00:27The favorite in the AFC.

00:28Forget the name of the team.

00:30It's 4-1 on FanDuel.

00:32Not minus.

00:33Not plus 110 or plus 200.

00:364-1.

00:37Which tells you where odds makers really know the variance that sits around here.

00:41And to your point, I'm with you.

00:43The bill's at nearly 5-1 is where you look, right?

00:46That's the best bet you're going to get on the board,

00:49given the amount of playoff experience they have relative to everybody else

00:52who's above them.

00:53And so I'll have to lean on the fact that those teams and those players

00:57who have already done this playoff thing before have a little bit of edge

01:01over those that don't.

01:02And to your point about the Broncos, you know,

01:04they have a plus 66-point differential.

01:0745 of those points came in the two wins over the Cowboys and the Bengals.

01:11So that means their other eight wins are combined by a combined 21 points.

01:17So you do the math right there on what that is and how razor thin the margin is

01:21for the Broncos.

01:22Now, people will tell you, hey, look, good teams get good breaks,

01:26they get good wins, and they win close games.

01:28Those things are all true.

01:29But when we talk about it from a betting perspective,

01:31when those teams go into the postseason, I mean,

01:34this may be one of the weirder postseasons we see that nobody in the wildcard round

01:38is a double-digit favorite because I don't know right now

01:42who I would make a double-digit favorite in the wildcard or anybody else.