00:00And Michael Penich Jr., who was really undergoing his first full year as a starting NFL quarterback
00:05struggles, then there is always going to be that idea of the elephant in the room.
00:10Should we go to Kirk?
00:11Does he make us better?
00:12This is a winnable division in the NFC South.
00:15So let's talk about the idea of success for the Falcons this year.
00:19Atlanta's win total is seven and a half, entering 2025.
00:23Some slight juice on the over.
00:24A plus 146 price to reach the postseason.
00:27Second best number to win the NFC South at plus 230.
00:30Again, still a winnable division that is not overly difficult entering this season.
00:36So Zinno, let's talk about the ceiling for the Falcons.
00:39What does success look like in Atlanta?
00:43They have to make the playoffs.
00:44This is not negotiable.
00:46If they don't, Terry Fontenot's getting fired and Raheem Morris might be gone with him.
00:50I mean, Raheem Morris was handed a NFL playoff caliber roster when he took over
00:56because Arthur Smith had helped make them that, but he just had no quarterback.
01:00So Raheem Morris got a quarterback and got it fixed pretty immediately for them to go
01:06be able to do it.
01:07They did not last year.
01:08It fell apart on them down the stretch.
01:10Obviously, Kirk Cousins played poorly.
01:12He got benched.
01:12We know how it all went.
01:14But this team has to make the playoffs.
01:16When you showed those lines earlier, I would just bet them to win the NFC South.
01:19That's the best value because likely whatever they win, if it's not the division, there's
01:26not another NFC South team that looks like it would get a wild card.
01:29There are too many other good teams in the NFC that are going to win 10, 11 games that
01:33are going to snag the wild cards that a nine-win Falcons team would end up getting the wild
01:39card.
01:39So it just makes more sense to bet them to win the division from a value perspective and
01:43a return on your investment perspective.
01:45But if they miss the playoffs, heads are going to roll.
01:48Terry Fontenot, who's been the GM for this team for now five years, hasn't made the playoffs
01:52once.
01:53And some questionable draft picks.
01:54You start with Kyle Pitts.
01:56And again, the signing of Kirk Cousins and the drafting of Michael Penix, all that.
02:00I mean, it's not going to be good.
02:02If they don't make the playoffs this year, Fontenot's gone.
02:04And Raheem will be on a very, very hot seat if he's not gone with them.
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