00:00There's a growing chance of a Super El Nino this year, but what does that actually mean for you?
00:04Well, first, hurricane season. El Nino strengthens winds over the Atlantic, which can tear storms apart.
00:09So we're forecasting a near to slightly below average season overall.
00:13Our outlook calls for 11 to 16 named storms, including 4 to 7 hurricanes and 2 to 4 major hurricanes,
00:20with 3 to 5 direct U.S. impacts still possible. So fewer storms doesn't mean zero risk.
00:25Outside the tropics, El Nino helps heat things up. It releases extra warmth into the atmosphere,
00:31increasing the risk of more heat waves, warmer nights, and higher humidity across the U.S.
00:35The south can trend wetter and more unsettled, while parts of the plains could see some drought relief from increased
00:41storm activity.
00:42But in the southwest, the monsoon can weaken at times, raising wildfire risk.
00:46And when you put it all together with our summer forecast, we're expecting a volatile season with widespread heat,
00:51severe storms, and flooding risks.
00:53The hottest conditions will focus in the west and northwest, while severe weather ramps up from the plains to the
00:58east,
00:59especially early to mid-summer.
01:01Bottom line, El Nino isn't the only factor, but it's stacking the deck for a hotter, stormier, and more unpredictable
01:07summer.
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