00:00Are we going to try to sift through the rumors here now?
00:02Are we going to really sift through the smoke?
00:04I know you're stealing this bit, but that's okay, Ryan.
00:06Yeah, no, we're stealing it from, I believe it's Rigo's rag.
00:09Okay.
00:10So I believe they had it out there yesterday.
00:12You're crediting who you stole it from.
00:13That's all good.
00:14And JP, Beamage, and I, we saw it on air yesterday.
00:17JP was the one who was like, let's steal this for tomorrow.
00:20So we did, and now we're doing it.
00:22So it was a good idea, so let's get into it.
00:24We'll just borrow it.
00:25Borrow it.
00:26Yeah, we're not stealing anything yet.
00:28But so one through 10, the AP smoke meter.
00:33All right.
00:34One to 10, how serious is this rumor of this player getting drafted to Washington?
00:38Number seven.
00:39So let's start off with Reuben Bain Jr., Beamage, one through 10.
00:44What's the smoke index?
00:45I'm going to go eight because if he's there, they're not passing by him.
00:49I'll go seven because you'd at least hear a little bit more.
00:53It's rare that a player never linked to a team picking this high ends up getting drafted
00:57by them, but it's not unprecedented.
00:59I'll go seven.
01:00Okay.
01:01Now, how about Edge Arbel Reese from Ohio State?
01:05The other thing, he's going to drop there.
01:07I think he won't drop there.
01:09But if he were to be there, I don't know how they can pass by him.
01:13So what number do you give it?
01:15I'm going to give it down to seven because the thing about it, they talk about what the
01:19possibilities are, you know, maybe the best athlete, but they didn't say maybe it's the
01:24best pass rusher.
01:25So I'm going to go seven.
01:26Yeah.
01:27I mean, because I don't think he's going to be there, I'll put it at like a three, but
01:31that's also because I just don't trust him falling that far.
01:35I mean, again, there could be absolute chaos in this draft.
01:37I don't trust him to fall there, but I'm just saying if he's there.
01:39You're saying if he's there?
01:40Yeah.
01:41Yeah.
01:41I mean, listen, I'd love for him to fall there.
01:43He's a little, he's a little bit more raw, but that's also a talent that this team could,
01:48you know, certainly utilize, but I probably go three just because I don't, I don't think
01:51he's going to be there.
01:51And I, I just, I see a team trading up, even if that's going to be the case, they won't
01:55get him at seven.
01:56Well, maybe speaking for a team trading up, you could see a team trading up for Jeremiah
02:00Love, Notre Dame running back one through 10.
02:02What's smoke index say?
02:04I'm going to go with about a four or five, 4.5.
02:08Oh, we're doing, we can do halves.
02:10We can do halves.
02:11Give it halves.
02:11All right.
02:12I'll give it, I'll go with six and a half just because I want to do a half, just like
02:15B. Mitch did.
02:16Look, if, if, if, if Jeremiah Love is on the board, there's no way this team doesn't consider
02:20it, but it's again, like I said, it's a luxury pick that they can't afford right now when
02:24there's just, but you're, again, you're talking to somebody here that is defense, defense,
02:27defense.
02:28All I want this team to do is draft somebody that's going to help this damn defense because
02:32I can't watch this team try and come back from 14 down after the first quarter
02:36again.
02:36I can't take it anymore.
02:37It's embarrassing.
02:39So I'm begging them to remember how awful this defense, we're talking about a defense
02:43that could not tackle, could not, a Jeremiah Love could be amazing, but Jeremiah Love can't
02:48tackle.
02:48They need people that can do the basics defensively tackle.
02:51So go, go defense, but I'll go six and a half because I know if he's on the board,
02:56you're Adam Peters and you're David Blau.
02:58You're looking, you're going, Ooh, I don't know.
03:00So this would be a shiny new toy for us to have.
03:03So I at least have to give him a six and a half for the smoke there.
03:06Well, you know what?
03:07There's a guy who likes to tackle.
03:09It's Caleb Downs.
03:10B Mitch one through 10.
03:11What does the smoke index say?
03:14Seven, five.
03:16Ooh, why?
03:17I just think that that position, he, he, he, he gets the grade as like one of the smartest
03:27and, and, and best leaders in the draft.
03:29But I just think that when you go that high, you're looking for certain numbers, like measurables.
03:37And I don't know if he has those like a, like a Sean Taylor.
03:43So I'm going to, if I'm looking here now, so Caleb Downs going seven to the commanders.
03:50I've seen, you know, so if you're looking at a lot of these different mock draft consensus
03:54ones, I, you actually don't, again, I know mocks are dangerous.
03:58I get it.
03:59I feel like that's less and less likely because they could probably go monster or delaying instead.
04:03I'll probably go.
04:05He's more impactful.
04:06Yeah.
04:07I think just because it's a safety and there's some, I'm going to go.
04:11I feel like it's the name is mentioned because the commanders need that help there too.
04:16But there are so many other names that could go higher on the list for them again.
04:19Like this is what I hate about it for the love of God.
04:22They, this is shows you how much they still need.
04:24I just wish they had more picks in this early in this draft, but I'll probably go a little
04:29bit lower with Caleb Downs because there's at least, there's a strong chance that either
04:33a Sonny styles or a David Bailey, or, you know, a bunch of other defensive players are
04:38going to be on the board for them that I think they would go over Caleb down.
04:41So I'll probably go five.
04:43Okay.
04:44That's fair.
04:44And Nick, you want defense, right?
04:46Yes, I do.
04:47Well, here we go.
04:47How about Carnell Tate?
04:49One through 10.
04:50Smoke index.
04:51Wide receiver, Ohio State.
04:53What does a smoke index say, Beamish?
04:56Mine say nine.
04:58Oh, I don't think they're letting him slide by him if he's there.
05:04I'm going even higher.
05:05I'm going 10.
05:06Like I, I know, I know this team loves him.
05:09They love him.
05:11It's really just a matter of if he's available and who else is like, again, if, if it's down
05:15to the point where the most impactful defensive players that you're looking at are off the
05:19board and it's a heavy defense in the top six, Carnell Tate, they'll just run his name up.
05:25Remember, you got eight minutes and not 10 to make your first round pick.
05:27So they have even less time to just make that decision and run up there.
05:30It's going to be Carnell Tate if he's on the board and defense.
05:33What I question is if you've got one or two very impactful defensive players, how are you
05:38going to make that decision?
05:39And what's the pitch going to look like in the war room?
05:41But in terms of the smoke and the interest, oh, it's a 10 with Carnell Tate.
05:44Well, JP asked me this yesterday.
05:46I'm going to ask you this.
05:50How many minutes you think it's going to take the Raiders before they pick Mendoza?
05:55It'll be about 30 seconds, which actually would be nice.
05:57Can we just cut an extra second?
05:58Will they push all the way through it though?
06:00Will they go the whole eight minutes?
06:02Honestly, I think they will because it's just going to be, let's see if somebody offers
06:05us something crazy in a trade last minute.
06:07No, I just think the NFL tells me they got to throw the whole time.
06:11Why would they do that?
06:12Because they got all these.
06:14Just to drag it?
06:14Bro, no, they making their money.
06:15They got people.
06:16They got plenty of other picks to drag this thing out.
06:18It's fine.
06:18You're probably right.
06:19They sold these damn commercials and all that.
06:21They got to get them all in.
06:22I know.
06:23Yeah, but there's not a lot of commercials during the first pick.
06:25The eight minutes will probably, they won't go to break at all for the first pick.
06:28Well, they got to give their people time to talk about them.
06:31Yeah.
06:31Well, they got plenty of time.
06:32Because I've never seen a person already pick them.
06:34But the funny thing is, he's not going to be there.
06:37Oh, yeah.
06:38Fernando Mendoza?
06:39Yeah.
06:39Yeah.
06:39Not even going to be there.
06:40You're right.
06:40You're right.
06:41Did you give us all of them?
06:42We still have more.
06:43Well, we have one more here.
06:44And this is actually a pretty big one.
06:46Sonny Styles.
06:47One through ten, the AP smoke.
06:49And Nick was sitting on this one.
06:51Brian, we'll start with you, though.
06:54Sonny Styles.
06:55Sonny Styles.
06:57I don't think he's going to be there.
07:00But if he's there.
07:03And listening to Durante talk about how he likes that flexibility.
07:099-5, the highs I'm going.
07:11I'll go 9 right there, too.
07:12If he's on the board.
07:14And again, I know this contradicts what I said.
07:15Or like Arvel Reese.
07:16But I don't think Arvel Reese is going to be there.
07:18I think there's a much better chance that Sonny Styles is available at 7 than Arvel Reese is.
07:22So I'm just going to go with it.
07:23I'm going to go Sonny Styles there.
07:25I'm going to go 9.
07:26I think there's.
07:26And listen, he fits that defense.
07:27He's so versatile.
07:28I think there are so many pieces that he can kind of fill.
07:31Depending on what the defensive scheme looks at that moment.
07:33I think he's a great fit for them.
07:35I would run up to the podium or hand it to the people that take it to the podium.
07:38In those 8 minutes.
07:39Yeah, you know what?
07:40I love that.
07:40He'll get that quicker than the damn whoever's going to make the name.
07:42Just scurrying his way up there.
07:44I think Rip's going to be making a call, right?
07:46God, I can't wait for this to happen.
07:47I think Mark Rippin will be doing one of the picks.
07:50I don't know if it's that one or not.
07:51It's not the first round.
07:52It's one of the later.
07:53He'll be doing pick 71, round 3.
07:55Yeah.
07:55He'll be doing that one.
07:56Yeah.
07:56Because at that point, Roger Goodell's like, I'm done.
07:58I don't need to do it anymore.
08:00I mean, I think Styles will be ripped up there.
08:02We know that no matter who the commanders pick, though, there will be people pissed off.
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