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Actualités : LIVE Russia-friendly Radev wins in Bulgaria, what does it mean for Europe Europe Today #88 (1)
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00:00Sous-titrage Société Radio-Canada
00:30Bulgaria's Russia-friendly former president Rumen Radev and his progressive Bulgaria party have won a landslide victory in Sunday's parliamentary
00:39elections.
00:40The latest estimates suggest he's around 30 points ahead of his nearest rival.
00:46We ask what the result means for Bulgaria and for Europe.
00:50And the EU and the incoming Hungarian governments have agreed to work together to swiftly release billions of euros in
00:59EU funds to Hungary.
01:01Meanwhile, outgoing Prime Minister Viktor Orban has hinted he could lift his veto on a 90 billion euro loan to
01:08Ukraine if Russian oil flows resume this week.
01:13We'll bring you all the details.
01:14And Tehran has, quote, no plans for now to participate in a second round of peace talks with the U
01:22.S. expected today in Pakistan, according to Iranian state media.
01:26It comes amid a deepening standoff over the Strait of Hormuz and amid reports that the U.S. earlier seized
01:33an Iranian-flagged ship near the Strait.
01:36We'll have more details.
01:38But first, we're taking you to Bulgaria, where the former president, Rumen Radev, an EU critic who has been described
01:46as sympathetic to Russia, has won a convincing victory in Sunday's parliamentary elections.
01:52His centre-left coalition has vowed to stamp out a, quote, oligarchic governance model after years of political gridlock in
02:01the country.
02:01We can now bring in Euronews' Marina Stojimenova, who has been following events for us there overnight in Sofia.
02:08Great to have you with us, Marina.
02:10Good morning.
02:11I know there are votes still being counted as we speak, but talk us through where we are as things
02:18stand right now.
02:21Good morning from Sofia Amaret.
02:23Indeed, the results are already shaping up to be extremely interesting here.
02:28Although the counting is still underway, one thing is clear, Rumen Radev, the former president who stepped down in January,
02:34is winning the elections and more.
02:37For the first time in nearly 30 years, Bulgaria will have a government with a full parliamentary majority, which means
02:45that this might put an end to a very long, long political crisis here in the country.
02:49Rumen Radev is leading with almost 45% far ahead of his competitors.
02:56Former Prime Minister Boiko Boriso, very well known in Europe, this is a very interesting fact, may even fall to
03:03third place.
03:04And another key factor is the vote from abroad, which has yet to be fully counted.
03:09It is expected to favour Rumen Radev's progressive Bulgaria.
03:13If that holds, he could edge closer to 50%.
03:17And Marina, we know Brussels will be watching this result very closely, of course.
03:23What could this mean for Europe?
03:28Well, he is certainly perceived as more friendly toward Moscow, largely because of his statements during his presidency.
03:35Rumen Radev has opposed many times the decisions of Bulgaria to support Ukraine.
03:41And even yesterday, he said that he hopes Bulgaria will develop practical relations with Russia based on mutual respect and
03:49equal treatment.
03:50At the same time, his tone last night was a bit different.
03:54He was seeking for the questions of foreign media because he wanted to bring a message to Europe.
03:59And this message was very clear.
04:00Bulgaria will remain firmly on its European path.
04:04And still, he didn't shy away of criticizing the European Union.
04:09Let's hear what he said last night.
04:11Bulgaria will pay efforts to continue its European path.
04:18But believe me, strong Bulgaria, in strong Europe, needs critical thinking, needs pragmatism.
04:27Because Europe has fallen a victim to its own ambition to be a moral leader in a world without rules.
04:39Rumen Radev, the winner of the Bulgarian election on Sunday.
04:46And thank you, Marina Stoymenova, for that update for us from Sofia.
04:51But now for more on the significance of this result for Bulgaria and also for Europe,
04:57we can bring in Martin Vladimirov, who is an expert analyst for the Center for the Study of Democracy.
05:03See, Martin, good morning.
05:04Really good to have you with us on the show this morning.
05:07Assuming Radev does form a government now, and I think we can assume that based on the results,
05:13what do you expect from him in terms of his foreign policy and his approach towards the EU?
05:19Well, before the election results came out, which are really a landslide, unprecedented victory for one party,
05:27We have been monitoring his and his party's social media engagement, and the data is very clear.
05:36There have been a huge increase in pro-Russian narratives disseminated by his social media accounts.
05:44He has been staunchly kind of anti-sanctions and anti-countering Russian influence in Europe over the last decade or
05:55so.
05:56There have been reports back when he was being voted in as president that his campaign was coordinated with the
06:04former security services of the Kremlin.
06:08So a decade later, we may see a pragmatic Bulgarian leader who will remain pro-EU on the surface.
06:18But as in previous times, we have seen Bulgaria being a very practical Trojan horse for the Kremlin.
06:26Even when they talk pro-EU and pro-NATO policies, underground or underneath this rhetoric,
06:33we can see actions that undermine, for example, the phase-out of Russian oil and gas in Europe,
06:39or undermining the sanctions policy against Russia and the support for Ukraine.
06:43Okay, it's very interesting what you say.
06:45So based on that, can we expect him to step into the shoes of Viktor Orban, for example,
06:50or do you expect him to be more collaborative on the EU's Ukraine policy?
06:55I think Mr. Radeff will be much more collaborative than Mr. Orban.
07:00He will not be openly anti-EU policy.
07:03He will probably vote in favor of many of the EU actions, but I don't doubt that there will be
07:10attempts on his part and on his government
07:13to undermine the strength of these actions, similarly to what Mr. Fitzgerald has been doing in Slovakia,
07:22nominally supporting EU policy, but trying to undercut and find loopholes and gaps into this policy.
07:29So this is a major win for the Kremlin, I think, a culmination of a long strategy of Russia to
07:37solidify its influence in the country.
07:39But I don't think we should over-exaggerate this process.
07:45We're about to see what will happen.
07:48Anti-corruption policy would be his first item on the agenda.
07:52So I think domestic politics would trump foreign policy in the beginning, at least.
07:55OK, thank you so much, Martin Vladimirov, an expert analyst for us there.
08:01But moving on now from Bulgaria to Hungary, where the incoming government of Petr Magyar held initial talks
08:08with senior officials from Brussels over the weekend, raising expectations that EU funds to Hungary
08:14frozen under the leadership of Viktor Orban could be unblocked.
08:18Our correspondent, Sándor Shiros, is here to tell us more.
08:22Good morning, Sándor.
08:23Good morning.
08:23Listen, I know you've been speaking to officials about these talks over the weekend, which are quite significant.
08:28Tell us more.
08:29Yes, it's a very unusual and very symbolic visit, in my view,
08:33because I have never seen a European Commission delegation visiting a country
08:38and not sitting down with the actual government, but with party officials
08:42who are trying to set up a government in one month.
08:46But the clock is ticking, and this is the main issue, because if Hungary and the future government of Petr
08:52Magyar
08:52does not agree with the allocation of 10 billion euros under the recovery funds by the end of August,
09:00this money will be lost.
09:02But now what we have seen over the weekend is that both parties,
09:06the Commission and the TISA party is willing to work to find a solution how to get these funds for
09:13Hungary.
09:13And, you know, remember, if they ever get this, it's a symbolic step,
09:17because, you know, the Commission could say that we are supporting a pro-European government,
09:22but also it's a huge, huge money injection for the Hungarian economy,
09:27because 10 billion euros is more than 4% of the Hungarian GDP.
09:32So let's take a look at what Petr Magyar said after the talks over the weekend.
09:38He said,
09:39Real work must begin so that the EU funds due to the Hungarian people finally arrive in Hungary.
09:45The consequences of the mistakes and crimes of the outgoing government will not disappear overnight.
09:52And, Sándor, at the same time, Viktor Orbán hinting he could, in fact,
09:57lift his veto on that 90 billion euro EU loan to Ukraine.
10:01Yes, exactly.
10:03So Orbán tweeted yesterday that he received information that Ukraine could resume the oil flows via the Druzhba pipeline.
10:11This issue caused a lot of troubles between Hungary and Ukraine,
10:16and also on European level, because, you know, Hungary blocked the EU's 90 billion support package for Ukraine because of
10:23this pipeline issue.
10:25Now, one week after the election, finally, everything could be resolved,
10:29and Orbán could finish his mandate by resolving this huge issue.
10:34It's very significant politically for me that everything is happening in such a big speed.
10:40Let me quote Orbán here.
10:42Hungary's position has not changed.
10:44No oil, no money.
10:46Oil deliveries are restored.
10:48We no longer stand in the way of approving the loan.
10:51Now, the next question is what Peter Magyar will do with the Russian oil and gas supplies.
10:58Is he willing to decouple from Russian fossil fuels?
11:02It's not clear for the moment.
11:03OK, Chandor, thank you so much.
11:06And I'm sure we'll be hearing more from you, including on that Druzhba dispute very soon.
11:11Now, there is a president to releasing EU funds frozen over rule of law concerns,
11:17and that is the Polish experience following Donald Tusk's election in 2023.
11:23Our Jakob Janis explains.
11:27Peter Magyar has made his first diplomatic priority clear.
11:31Before Brussels or Vienna, Hungary's prime minister-elect is heading to Warsaw to meet Donald Tusk.
11:37And in late 2023, the Polish prime minister wrote the modern playbook
11:41on unwinding years of entrenched illiberal rule.
11:45Now Magyar is looking to apply it,
11:47especially as the two leaders expressed a similar to-do list across three key areas.
11:52What are they?
11:54To bypass an opposition president,
11:57Tusk's government used a parliamentary resolution
12:00to instantly dismiss state broadcast management,
12:03literally taking the network offline overnight.
12:06And Magyar is threatening the exact same shock therapy.
12:10Following a heated interview last week on public television,
12:14which he linked to North Korean propaganda,
12:17he explicitly vowed to suspend the national broadcaster's actual signal
12:20the very moment he takes office.
12:22And for judiciary, both leaders may join European Public Prosecutor's Office a day one priority,
12:28reversing their predecessors' refusals to participate.
12:32However, Tusk is still struggling to implement a full judicial reform.
12:37He has faced a severe gridlock,
12:39requiring complex legal acrobatics to bypass presidential vetoes.
12:44Magyar, however, wields a two-thirds constitutional majority.
12:47EU officials are already in Budapest negotiating the release of over 10 billion euro in recovery funds,
12:54knowing Magyar has the parliamentary numbers to push the necessary reforms.
12:58Finally, Tusk rapidly purged the management boards of state-owned enterprises,
13:03with the oil giant Orlen being the most famous example.
13:07And Magyar is preparing a similar sweep across Hungary's state-backed institutions.
13:11He plans to recover state assets and cut funding to ideological networks,
13:17like Matias Corvino's Collegium, or MCC.
13:20However, this strategy could have downsides.
13:23Rushing invites legal missteps,
13:26and advocates of the outgoing governments argue that neither Orban nor Morawiecki directly obstructed the transition.
13:33One thing is certain, from illiberal to liberal transitions,
13:38the new approach seems to rely on shock therapy to dismantle the old system overnight.
13:48Jakob Yanis reporting there.
13:50Now, to the Middle East next,
13:52where Iran is yet to confirm its participation
13:55in a second round of peace talks with the US in Pakistan.
13:58It comes amid a deepening standoff over the passage of vessels through the Strait of Hormuz.
14:04For more, we can bring in our correspondent in Dubai,
14:08Jane Witherspoon, who's standing by for us.
14:10Good morning, Jane. Good to have you on the show again.
14:13Reports this morning that an Iranian-flagged ship has been seized by the US near the straits.
14:17Tell us more.
14:20Good morning. Yes, US forces have seized that Iranian-flagged cargo ship
14:26in the Gulf of Oman.
14:27It was the ship called Tuska.
14:29A video released by US Central Command showed USS Spruance
14:35issuing warnings to the Iranian ship to stop.
14:37They ignored and were subsequently fired upon.
14:41Now, US Marines have custody of that vessel.
14:44Of course, President Trump took to his social media to share the news.
14:48And this comes, obviously, only a few hours after accusations
14:51of cease-fire violations in the Strait of Hormuz were made.
14:55Iran's military have said that they will be responding soon.
14:59They're calling the seizure an act of piracy.
15:02And again, this is going to cloud the chances of further peace talks happening in the region.
15:07Jane, briefly, we're also seeing intensifying diplomatic contacts
15:11between European leaders and leaders in the region.
15:16Of course, the British military have actually just raised its top alert level in the Strait of Hormuz.
15:21They're calling the situation critical.
15:24In addition to that, British Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper was here in the UAE
15:28on Saturday, hosting a bilateral talk, cementing the relationship between the UK and the UAE.
15:36Later today, I will be heading down to Abu Dhabi to do an exclusive Euronews interview
15:42with the British ambassador to the UAE, Ed Hobart.
15:46So I'll be bringing you all the latest lines from that throughout the day.
15:49Okay, Jane, thank you so much.
15:51We'll be keeping an eye out for your reporting during the day, of course.
15:54But moving on now, over the weekend, Spain's Pedro Sánchez rallied global leaders in Barcelona
16:01at a convention billed the Progressive CPAC.
16:04While the Spanish prime minister is applauded abroad, he's facing mounting challenges at home.
16:10For more, our Europe editor, Maria Tadeo, is here with me in the studio.
16:14Good morning. Great to have you back.
16:15You were in Barcelona over the weekend.
16:17What did this convention achieve, if anything?
16:20Well, yes, Mary, I was there for the two days.
16:22Big convention, obviously big names too.
16:24The Spanish prime minister was the host, but you also had the president of Brazil, Lula,
16:29the Mexican president, the Colombian president, the president of South Africa, Ramaphosa.
16:33Obviously, they have all clashed one way or another with President Trump.
16:38In terms of the convention, what did they achieve?
16:40I would argue they achieved a photograph, a moment.
16:43And that, obviously, we're seeing there in the pictures.
16:45That matters in politics because politics is about the optics and it's about the symbols too.
16:50And ultimately, coming out of this convention, what they argued is that there is an alternative to global MAGA,
16:56which, of course, they suggest is fueling hate, sexism, war, tariffs, commotion in the world.
17:03So I think what they've shown now is, politically, the pendulum has really shifted from the left to the right.
17:09And they're seeking now to say, look, there is an alternative and perhaps we can now bring that pendulum back
17:14to progressive ideas.
17:15It was also relevant because over the weekend, and perhaps we can put it up on the screen,
17:20there was a battle of rallies too in Europe.
17:23In Madrid, there was an opposition rally that took place in the capital city.
17:27But also in Milan, there was a rally of the far right of the European Parliament.
17:31So the hard right in the European Parliament going from Jordan Bartela to Matteo Salvini saying the complete opposite,
17:37that Europe is now facing big issues with illegal migration and security.
17:41But the goal of this convention in particular, the one led by the Spanish Prime Minister,
17:44was to really show that picture that there is an alternative.
17:48And at the same time, Maria, Spain leading calls to review or even suspend the EU's broad association agreement with
17:55Israel.
17:55Yeah, indeed. So that was another idea put forward by the Spanish Prime Minister,
17:58who's obviously trying to boost his profile in international politics,
18:02suggesting yesterday that Spain will present tomorrow at a foreign affairs meeting.
18:07of the idea of suspending now fully this association agreement with Israel.
18:12Obviously, this is not a new idea. It has been pitched in the past.
18:15It always hits a wall. Even the idea of a partial suspension has been complicated.
18:20But again, a lot of this is about the image of the Spanish Prime Minister.
18:23This is an idea that plays very well with the European left,
18:27because it is incredibly clerical of Netanyahu.
18:31And for the Spanish Prime Minister, it's also a way of changing the conversation.
18:34The past week, it's been very difficult on a legal basis.
18:37For Pedro Sanchez, his wife, his brother, obviously, are all facing legal issues.
18:42And he needs something that can really catapult his profile going into 2027.
18:47I spoke with his entourage over the weekend, and they all told me the same thing.
18:51One way or another, he is going to run in 2027.
18:54There is absolutely no way at this stage
18:57in which he will not contemplate being the lead candidate for the Socialists.
19:01And now he's winning internationally.
19:03He needs that domestically because his position is so weak in Madrid.
19:08OK, Maria, thank you so much for that update.
19:10And we'll keep a close eye on those talks in Luxembourg
19:12between EU foreign ministers tomorrow.
19:14But that's it for today.
19:16Thank you so much for tuning in.
19:18We'll be back with more news and analysis at the same time, same place tomorrow.
19:22In the meantime, do get in touch with us.
19:24Send us your tips and questions to europetoday at euronews.com
19:28And we'll see you very soon here on Euronews.
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