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AccuWeather's Alex DaSilva takes a look at the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast and which areas are most at risk in the United States for direct impacts.
Transcript
00:00AccuWeather's 2026 Atlantic hurricane season forecast is out.
00:04The big question, how active is it going to be this year?
00:07AccuWeather is forecasting 11 to 16 named storms, 4 to 7 of which we expect to become
00:13a hurricane, and 2 to 4 we expect to become a major hurricane.
00:17That's category 3 or higher, along with 3 to 5 direct impacts on the United States.
00:24Taking a look at all of the data, we had 14 analog years, which are years that are similar
00:29to what we expect this year to become.
00:32We took a look back at those years and we plotted all of the landfall points of the tropical storms
00:37and the hurricanes, and what we found was a lot of clustering in the northern and northeastern
00:43Gulf as well as across the Carolinas.
00:46So it's these areas, the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast and the Carolinas that I think are
00:52at an increased risk of direct impacts this season.
00:55It's very important that everybody from South Texas all the way to Maine prepares equally
01:01for each and every hurricane season, regardless of what the official forecast is.
01:06We have seen seasons in the past, 1992, primary example.
01:11Only seven named storms in 1992.
01:13But the big storm of that year, Hurricane Andrew, category 5 hurricane that hit South Florida.
01:19And again, that is the reason why we need to pay attention.
01:22Even if it's expected to be a slightly below average hurricane season, we can still see
01:27major hits.
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