00:00Let's take a look at the south central. We're going to kind of go from a quiet warm forecast to
00:04trouble over the next few days and it's the northern fringe of this area. It's hard to talk about the
00:09south central without also addressing the flood concerns on the northern fringe of that air mass. We got repetitive rounds
00:16of rain to kick this off in the Ohio Valley here Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Some flood concerns on the
00:21northern fringe of that big warm air mass and here we are with two to four inches of rain at
00:26midweek Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.
00:28Some of this may be accompanied by some severe thunderstorms at times in Missouri and Arkansas but the flooding is
00:34one concern and then we step into another flood risk that's focusing a little farther south beginning this weekend into
00:42next week with round after round of repetitive thunderstorms, urban and street flooding, flash flooding, river flooding eventually as well.
00:49It's going to be escalating as a big concern.
00:52So how do we get here with this shift from storms and repetitive thunderstorms in the Ohio Valley that eventually
00:58more trouble farther south? You can see the front that's draped across the Ohio Valley will bring a very limited
01:03severe weather risk initially Tuesday, Wednesday, a few more storms. A few of these to the south could be severe
01:09but the most repetitive rains farther north.
01:11Then into Thursday you can see more rounds of rain but look at the end of this loop here. This
01:15is a totally new setup here in the plains, the western plains as a dip in the jet stream emerges
01:19over the panhandle region and that becomes the scene setter for some severe thunderstorms Thursday.
01:24Wednesday we're into it in the Ohio Valley. Some rain farther south as well. Some of these storms Wednesday in
01:31Indiana and Illinois could be gusty with damaging winds and that flood risk and then farther south an isolated tornado
01:37threat all the way down into Texas, Oklahoma and Arkansas.
01:40And then as we watch a big dip in the jet stream begin to slide east across the four corners
01:45region. Temperatures upstairs begin to chill down. We've got warmth coming out of the Gulf and humidity and that focuses
01:51this severe thunderstorm threat Thursday evening and then into Friday.
01:55And if we take it day by day Thursday we're looking at the panhandle region and the southern plains. Then
02:00into Friday we're looking at areas like northeast Texas and into areas around Missouri as well.
02:05So it's really three days here. There's the Wednesday risk area, Thursday, and then Friday. It's kind of Wednesday a
02:11little farther east. Focus is back to the west for severe storms Thursday and then Friday that translates east again.
02:16And that's often how it goes here as we get into severe weather season.
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