00:00Right. And in terms of how we interpret where they think they are, I mean, the the Iranian foreign minister said on Monday, we're in absolute control of this, this situation.
00:09And subsequent analysts we've spoken to have said that if you have to say that, it probably means you're not in absolute control.
00:14I mean, have you seen anything or heard anything that sounds like a crack in the in the in the facade or something that perhaps could be exploited by by the Americans?
00:24Well, I think the the regime media have been triumphalist and that that's fair to say that there are ways you can crack this by other means.
00:34So, for example, in 1988, it was an American kinetic action by a thing called a nimble archer, which collapsed the the golf, the gas and oil platforms of the Iranians.
00:49And you could do something that on Carg to stop the two point two million barrels of oil that are coming out.
00:56They'd have to calibrate that quite carefully in strategic terms, because it's always been that there have been three strategic objectives really for America and the West.
01:05And that includes keeping the sea lanes open and not having the Strait of Hormuz closed alongside deterring regional war and preventing nuclear proliferation.
01:14It could be that part of the deal that is done is to have some sort of compliance with what was formerly the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.
01:22But it's also worth saying, of course, that it was Trump who withdrew America from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.
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