00:00If we just kind of focus in on the day here, starting at 10 a.m. Eastern, 9 central, we'll have some showers that we will have kind of inherited from the previous round, pulling up through the Ohio Valley, even into western New York.
00:10Milder there, rain instead of snow, but these thunderstorms will really get more robust into the afternoon and evening.
00:16Here we are at 5 eastern, 4 central time, drenching thunderstorms in Mississippi, northwest Alabama, moving into areas around really most of Tennessee at this point, still eastern Arkansas.
00:25Look out for a secondary, really a third system to produce a couple of areas of rain and snow in the Panhandle region.
00:33But the main event is this big slug of rain with the farther southern part of this squall line where we see widespread wind potential with severe thunderstorms.
00:42Even a few isolated tornadoes will be possible, and this marches east then into Saturday for more of the mid-Atlantic states.
00:48So it's a pretty dynamic storm system, and Friday is the day with the greatest impacts.
00:53Drenching thunderstorms will be the main concern here into the lower Mississippi Valley, and areas like eastern Arkansas into middle and western Tennessee facing some of the heaviest rain.
01:03And the greatest wind and also isolated tornado potential will be into areas like northeast Louisiana into central Mississippi.
01:11So we're going to go with a 2 out of 4 on the AccuWeather Threat Level Index.
01:14That's a moderate risk for damaging wind, hail, and really the main drivers between this being a moderate versus a minor for us is the wind and flooding with secondary concerns tied to small hail and isolated tornadoes out there.
01:29And there will be some very heavy rain on the northern side of this zone.
01:32So just from the main severe risk area to the northeast, highest flood risk including Tennessee, even southeast Kentucky, flash flooding.
01:41One to two inches of rain in the light green.
01:43Two to four inches of rain from Jackson to Muscle Shoals to Huntsville and to eastern parts of Tennessee, Crossville, Cookville, and into far southeast Kentucky.
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