00:00By the way, if we are looking at the quarterbacks, Joe, because we have two really good defenses, not a high total.
00:05Gunnar Stockton's passing prop, 220 and a half.
00:07Arch Manning's passing prop, 220 and a half.
00:10If you had to back one of those guys, Joe, over or under, who would it be on their passing?
00:14It would be Gunnar Stockton.
00:15And again, I know the MO of Georgia is to potentially run the football, but you're going right into the strength of Texas.
00:23Texas has one of the best rush defenses, 78 yards per game, only giving up 173 passing yards per game.
00:30But again, I think Georgia takes the approach, playing at home, utilize Stockton over the top to open up the rushing attack.
00:36For Arch Manning, again, what is their identity?
00:39We still don't know.
00:40He's coming on in back-to-back weeks, but at the end of the day, this team has struggled against better competition, especially in road environments, and that's a cause of concern.
00:49Let's take a look at the rushing props in this game, because both of these quarterbacks are mobile, Joe.
00:53You take a look at Arch Manning, 21 and a half is his rushing prop today.
00:56Gunnar Stockton, 30 and a half.
00:58But the running backs, Weisner, 54 and a half.
01:00Bowens at 38 and a half.
01:02And then you take a look at Nate Frazier, 54 and a half.
01:05I know you like the Georgia Bulldogs angle here.
01:07Frazier there sitting at 54 and a half.
01:09We going with top dogs today?
01:10We going with quarterbacks?
01:11What gives?
01:11Well, I think I would take Arch Manning rushing.
01:15Okay, light number, but I think he's got to get through that.
01:17They have to implement some RPO into the game to take the pressure off of him in the passing attack.
01:2221 and a half, you're risking sacks.
01:25But Georgia hasn't gotten a lot this year.
01:27They did get three last week.
01:29Only 11 on the year.
01:30Still would lean to Arch Manning over the 21 and a half.
01:34You just look at these performances, though, Donnie.
01:37303 rushing yards out of Georgia on the ground against Miss State.
01:41Over 220 against Alabama.
01:44Over 200 against Ole Miss.
01:46They're a dominant rush-heavy attack.
01:49I would take Nate Frazier again.
01:51He's the more athletic running back over Bowens.
01:54Bowens is the grinder between the tackles.
01:56But you might get those yards in the second half of this game.
01:59Taking a look here, Joe, at some of the receivers.
02:01Because you are getting some bonuses here.
02:03And again, not a high total in the spot.
02:04A lot of good defense is supposed to be played.
02:06High man on the totem pole, Joe.
02:08Ryan Wingo for Texas.
02:0958 and a half.
02:10And then you take a look at UGA.
02:11That's Zachariah Branch.
02:1262 and a half.
02:13But a lot of those other guys, Joe, the 20s and 30s in that range.
02:17Who can we look at or count on, I should say, as a wide receiving option?
02:20Well, out of all the wide receivers, I do believe in Zachariah Branch.
02:24Stepped up somewhat last week.
02:2762 and a half.
02:28I think he can get to potentially 70, 80, or 90 today.
02:32He's a big play home run hitter.
02:33Transfer from USC.
02:34On the Texas side, even though Wingo has the better numbers, Livingstone potentially is the go-to guy in a crunch.
02:43And I like DeAndre Moore.
02:44He hasn't hit pay dirt in a while.
02:46But DeAndre Moore is a big-bodied receiver that I think could potentially have value today.
02:51Now, we talk about pay dirt picks here, finding the end zone here in this SEC tilt.
02:55Nate Frazier in the club pass as the leader in the odds market, Joe, roughly a minus 120.
02:59Everybody else is plus money.
03:01Stockton, Wisner, Bowens, Branch.
03:03Who do we look at today?
03:04Well, I'm on Frazier because, again, he was the home run hitter last week.
03:08He's going to get, I believe, multiple looks in the rushing attack today.
03:12But don't count out Gunnar Stockton.
03:14Again, Gunnar Stockton in big games has chosen to run and hit pay dirt.
03:19I think he's got great value.
03:20But I like Georgia in the matchup, so I'm only looking Georgia props right now.
03:24Zach Branch, Stockton, and Frazier would be my big three.
03:28If we were looking at Georgia-only props, Joe, I'm going to give you this one.
03:32Georgia total yards today over-under.
03:34Now, I'm not going to tell you what the number is.
03:36What would you think today Georgia would be as an over or under for team total yards?
03:42I would say 325.
03:47379 and a half, which means you're banking on 400 yards of offense.
03:51If I flip it over, Joe, to Texas, that's 354 and a half for Texas.
03:56That's doable.
03:57That sounds doable.
03:58It does sound doable, but keep in mind, Donnie,
04:00I don't know if Texas is going to be able to run the football,
04:04and that is the cause of concern when you look at Texas big picture.
04:07We talk about the difference this year as opposed to last year.
04:10They were 25 rushing yards more higher last year than they were this year.
04:16Inconsistent at times.
04:17They haven't run it in big games, right?
04:20Even look at the game against Vanderbilt.
04:22They really struggle running the football.
04:25Again, we know Vanderbilt has a very good solid front seven.
04:28Georgia's only allowing 100 yards per game,
04:31but they've been getting after it as of late.
04:33It's got to come through the air with Arch Manning.
04:35Knowing that Georgia's at 379,
04:40I like Georgia's number much better than I do Texas.
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