John Mearsheimer argues that the world has moved from unipolarity to multipolarity, with the United States, China and Russia now operating as three great powers — fundamentally changing global strategy.
In this address, the renowned realist scholar explains why China, not Russia, poses the primary long-term challenge to U.S. power, and why Washington’s focus on Europe weakens its ability to contain Beijing in East Asia. Mearsheimer contends that Russia lacks the capability to dominate Europe and warns that maintaining a large U.S. military presence there drains resources needed elsewhere.
He also examines how America’s unique relationship with Israel shapes U.S. military commitments in the Middle East, further reducing Washington’s willingness to act as Europe’s security guarantor. According to Mearsheimer, NATO expansion and the push to bring Ukraine into the alliance were strategic mistakes that provoked a costly war and increased instability on the continent.
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