00:00Let's get to what happened yesterday on that show, because when you're correlating market show, which we love to do, it's good to see that when everything came down, Vegas, FanDuel, DraftKings, they were all wrong.
00:12Right up until the show, you watch some of the numbers go, Joe.
00:16Miami was as low as, let's just call it a plus 130 to make the college football playoff.
00:20And within minutes, 15 minutes, 10 minutes, five minutes before that show kicked off, Miami's odds got progressively worse.
00:26So I'm tweeting out, this is probably not a good look for Miami.
00:29They're probably out.
00:30Somebody knows already.
00:31The graphics guy knows.
00:32You even had, Joe, because I know you were watching, Joey Galloway opening up that thing when they threw it to him on the show, basically told you Miami is out.
00:42So I'm like, wow, he just tipped it right there at this point.
00:44Notre Dame was a minus 3,000 to make the college football playoff before that show began.
00:51Notre Dame ended up getting left out, Joe.
00:54So before we go to the seedings and what was right and wrong, how did you feel about the odds shifting here before that show?
00:59And we actually got totally shocked.
01:02I don't know that I wasn't shocked that Miami got it.
01:07And here's why I wasn't shocked.
01:08Because of that last show and how ridiculous it was that they moved Alabama up to nine and they sandwiched BYU.
01:17All Miami did was go and beat a top 25 team, pulverized them in a place they couldn't win, right, Donny?
01:25Because Miami can't win in 30 degrees.
01:28Oh, my goodness.
01:29Pitt's going to.
01:29Yeah.
01:30How did that work?
01:30They beat them worse than Notre Dame beat them.
01:35And yet they landed exactly the same spot that they, it sunk altogether from the last one.
01:42They were looking for a reason and covering their own, you know what, right?
01:46CYA is what that committee was doing because they had a feeling that, hey, listen, if BYU beats Texas Tech, we don't have to have this argument.
01:55BYU is in, right?
01:56But if BYU is to lose and the unthinkable happens, well, we'll always have to head-to-head with Miami against Indiana.
02:03There's no way to dispel the head-to-head if it came down to it.
02:08It always had to be Miami.
02:10As much as they love Notre Dame and Notre Dame is the cash cow, if it came down to Miami, one spot between Miami and Notre Dame,
02:18there is no reasonable explanation that Miami, since they had the head-to-head win, should not have been in.
02:25And ultimately, the way it all fell down, that's ultimately what it came down to.
02:30Exactly.
02:31And the only way, Joe, that we got in trouble as watching that show was because they weren't giving you proper explanations.
02:37But as Joe points out, he is 1,000% correct.
02:40The fact that they pushed Alabama above Notre Dame, you knew what was going to happen.
02:45And sometimes you sort of play into it because you have to have an operation structure that is going to last for 15 years in the college football playoff.
02:53The one thing we do know, Joe, is when two teams play side-by-side and are equal, you always give the tiebreaker to the head-to-head opponent that won.
03:02Can you imagine a thought process with this weekend that would have had everything play out the same and Notre Dame made it in over Miami?
03:08Because that would have sent Richter scale absolute shocks through the next 10 years because you know what that would have done?
03:15Oh, hey, Florida State-Miami played, Florida State won.
03:18That doesn't mean anything.
03:19Like, we're just going to wait until the end of the season and strength of schedule is the only thing that matters.
03:22Because head-to-head, if you want to say, Joe, is the most meaningful tiebreaker you could possibly have where you don't need an eye test, you don't need strength of schedule.
03:32You just have to look at the final score and say, who won?
03:34Not who gained more yards, who won that game, and who moved past it here.
03:38And, of course, the old structure of, well, we want the best team that's playing now.
03:42That doesn't make any sense.
03:43The season is continuous, and we understand late losses do count more than early losses.
03:48But you know what they never erased, Joe?
03:50A head-to-head loss.
03:51If Miami, or excuse me, Notre Dame would have lost to A&M and USC the first two games, then beat Miami in week four, there's no issues here.
03:59Two losses, and they beat Miami, they move forward.
04:02But the interesting part here going forward, Joe, also, was the thing that most people are getting upset by, and maybe rightfully so.
04:09Joe, BYU playing in the game, they got hammered twice by Texas Tech, who's really damn good.
04:14They dropped.
04:16Alabama got destroyed in their football game.
04:19They stayed the same.
04:20That was actually shocking to me, Joe.
04:23That was when you knew Miami was in and Notre Dame was out.
04:28The minute they flashed Alabama at number nine, again, that was it.
04:33It was over.
04:33Because the only question was, and what everyone was assuming, was that because of that epic beatdown and how bad Alabama looked, and not just against Georgia, but we've never had a three-loss team in this college football playoff, right?
04:49We've never seen this before.
04:51And it's not like, hey, they were amazing, and they had one bad game against Georgia.
04:57No, they have been leaking oil for a month now, and they are just, they were not good, and they got exposed again, and they stayed exactly the same.
05:06Because the question should have been, all right, so Alabama jumped Notre Dame for what reason, we still don't know, and then Notre Dame dropped back.
05:15If Notre Dame should have showed up at nine, and then I'm like, Notre Dame and Miami are in.
05:21Alabama showing up at nine means the committee had no choice at that point, but they used a head-to-head, and you knew Miami was getting it.
05:27Maine was getting it.
05:28And for a moment, people should not know, and who were not going to need to be out at the edge.
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