Who Should Win vs. Who Will Win at the Golden Globes in Film | THR News - video Dailymotion

Hollywood Journal

THR film critic Todd McCarthy makes his case for 'Call Me by Your Name' and 'Lady Bird,' while awards analyst Scott Feinberg calculates the odds.

Transcript

00:00Awards season kicks into high gear this Sunday with 75th Golden Globe Awards.

00:04So when it comes to the movie categories who should win and who will win,

00:08we turned to The Hollywood Reporter's film critic Todd McCarthy and awards analyst Scott Feinberg to break it all down.

00:14First up, let's talk about best picture drama. McCarthy says,

00:17Call Me By Your Name should win. The critic favors the film for its casual intelligence,

00:22the slow burn of its gathering eroticism and intense sensitivity to the vagaries of love and sexual attraction.

00:28But Feinberg believes three billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri will win. He reasons,

00:33Call Me By Your Name has no directing or writing nom and Dunkirk has no acting or writing nom.

00:39The Post, The Shape of Water and three billboards each have acting, directing, writing and score noms.

00:45Shape has the most for acting and total, but I hear Searchlight's other title, Billboards, is slightly preferred.

00:50And for best picture, musical or comedy, McCarthy and Feinberg are in agreement.

00:55They think the Sacramento-set film about teen angst, Lady Bird, should and will win.

01:00Lady Bird? Is that your given angst? Why is it in quotes?

01:04I gave it to myself. It's given to me by me.

01:07McCarthy calls the movie one of the most completely satisfying American writer-director debuts of recent times.

01:13And when looking at the odds, Feinberg places Lady Bird as one of the best bets,

01:17as it's the only contender that also got a writing nom.

01:20For best director, McCarthy believes Christopher Nolan should win for Dunkirk. He writes,

01:25For me, the race is between Christopher Nolan and Guillermo del Toro. Flipping a coin? I'll go for Nolan.

01:30But Feinberg apparently got the other side of the coin. He thinks del Toro will win for The Shape of Water,

01:36but adds, any of the five are plausible. Now, let's talk about the performance categories.

01:40For best actor drama, McCarthy and Feinberg agree that Timothee Chalamet should and will win for Call Me By Your Name.

01:47According to Feinberg,

01:49This is between Darkest Hour's Gary Oldman, who has a history of slamming the HFPA,

01:53and the youngster who keeps beating him, Chalamet.

01:56The HFPA has long memories, loves rising stars, and much preferred Call Me By Your Name to Darkest Hour.

02:02So this could be Oldman's Waterloo, but it will be close.

02:05Call me by your name and I'll call you by mine.

02:09McCarthy and Feinberg also agree that Frances McDormand should and will win Best Actress Drama

02:15for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. McCarthy feels it's actually a toss-up between McDormand

02:20and Sally Hawkins for The Shape of Water.

02:22But I'll go for McDormand simply because I've thought of her performance more often and with deeper gut pleasure.

02:27The film critic and awards analyst continue to be on the same wavelength for our next category,

02:37Best Actor, Musical, or Comedy, saying James Franco should and will win for The Disaster Artist. McCarthy writes,

02:43The nominee who really took control and achieved his own career-high watermark was James Franco,

02:49who was uncanny and remarkably engaging as Tommy Wiseau.

02:52This town, Greg. They don't want me. Wish we could just make our own movie. That great idea.

02:58And finally, for Best Actress, Musical, or Comedy, McCarthy believes Saoirse Ronan should win for Lady Bird.

03:04But Feinberg thinks Judi Dench will win for Victoria and Abdul.

03:08Our analyst warns that although most see this race coming down to Ronan vs. I, Tonya's Margot Robbie,

03:13beware of Dench. Voters loved her perf as a queen and appreciated her attendance at their Venice soiree.

03:18Now, I want to hear from you. Who do you think will win big in the movie categories at this year's awards?

03:23Be sure to let me know in the comments. And stick with THR News as we'll be bringing you full Golden Globes coverage all Sunday night long.

03:30For The Hollywood Reporter News, I'm Tiffany Taylor.

Who Should Win vs. Who Will Win at the Golden Globes in Film | THR News

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