Which Film Is Likely to Win Best Picture at the  2019 Oscars? | THR News - video Dailymotion

Hollywood Journal

The 2019 Oscars are right around the corner, so who are the frontrunners going into the big  night? THR's awards analyst/columnist Scott Feinberg assesses the major categories.

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00:00This segment is powered by Microsoft AI. The Oscars are right around the corner,

00:04so who are the frontrunners going into the big night? I'm Tiffany Taylor for The

00:08Hollywood Reporter, and I'm joined by THR's awards analyst Scott Feinberg, and

00:12he is going to break it all down for us. Scott, it's a huge week for you, so

00:16thank you so much for being here.

00:17Thank you for having me.

00:18First up, let's talk about Best Actress. The nominees are Yalitza Aparicio,

00:22Glenn Close, Olivia Colman, Lady Gaga, and Melissa McCarthy. So what are your

00:27thoughts going into this category?

00:29You know, right now it looks like it's breaking in favor of Glenn Close. She

00:32has never won before. She's had a very long career, and is actually the most

00:36nominated living actor or actress who hasn't won. This is number seven, so

00:41it would extend that record if she doesn't win, but it looks like she'll get it for

00:44The Wife. It's a little movie, but she's popped with SAG. She's popped with the

00:48Golden Globes, Critics' Choice, everywhere. Olivia Colman is the likeliest spoiler.

00:54She's in a Best Picture nominee, as is Lady Gaga, but it just seems at this point that

00:58the momentum is clearly with Glenn.

01:01Next up, Best Actor, and the nominees are Christian Bale, Bradley Cooper, Willem Dafoe,

01:06Rami Malek, and Viggo Mortensen. So what are your thoughts about this category?

01:10Everything appears to be going in Rami Malek's favor. He is playing Freddie Mercury in

01:16Bohemian Rhapsody. Christian Bale is also terrific in Vice as Dick Cheney, almost unrecognizable,

01:22but he has won before. Rami's never won, and Rami has certainly been out on the trail

01:26campaigning a lot more than Christian Bale. Christian Bale does the bare minimum.

01:30There's always a remote chance that Bradley Cooper for A Stars Born or Viggo Mortensen for

01:36Green Book could swoop in here if those other two somehow split or whatever, but I think it

01:40looks pretty likely that Rami is going to be a first-time Oscar winner.

01:43And finally, Best Picture, and the nominees are Black Panther, Black Klansman, Bohemian Rhapsody,

01:49The Favorite, Roma, Green Book, A Star is Born, and Vice. Now this category at the Oscars this year

01:55seems to be the most up in the air. So going into Sunday, what do you think is going to happen?

01:59I'm going to go with Roma because I think there's weirdly the most reason to pick that over these

02:06others, but again, we're betting against 91 years of history there, so that's always a scary thing to do.

02:11The thing that you have to keep in mind with the Oscars is that the Best Picture ballot is not like

02:16most others where it's, you know, movie gets the most votes and it wins. There is a preferential

02:21ballot where you have to rank your Best Picture nominees in order of preference, and then there's a

02:25very complex system of counting backwards to try to make sure that the movie that is at least liked

02:31by the most people wins. And it's very hard to game it out, but based on what I can try to cobble

02:38together like everybody else and the indicators that usually are correct, I would put my chips

02:43on Roma, but I can't say I'm particularly confident this year. There are strong arguments

02:47to be made for Green Book. Also, Black Klansman's had late momentum. Black Panther would be a

02:52historic choice. It's all over the place this year.

02:54And now we want you to get involved with everything Oscars, so we encourage you to check out

02:59Awards Predictor. It's a new feature of THR's website powered by Microsoft AI and generated

03:04with Bing Predicts technology, which uses its own formula to project who will take home an Oscar

03:09on Hollywood's biggest night. You can learn more about Bing Predicts and vote for your favorite

03:13cast and crew by visiting Hollywoodreporter.com slash Awards Predictor. Scott, thank you so much

03:18for being here. And for everything from Scott on the latest Awards news, be sure to go to THR.com

03:23slash TheRace, right?

03:24Thank you very much.

03:25Of course. And be sure to stick with us as we'll be keeping you updated on everything

03:28Oscars through Sunday night. This segment has been powered by Microsoft AI.

Which Film Is Likely to Win Best Picture at the 2019 Oscars? | THR News

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