APT Opinion: The Negotiation That Delivers Putin Crimea, Donbas, and a Demilitarized Ukraine

3 weeks ago
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APT Opinion: A leaked backchannel peace plan — born not in Brussels or Kyiv, but in a luxury suite in Miami — is now threatening to redraw the map of Europe. Tonight, we break down the explosive 28-point proposal tied to Trump’s envoys and Russian sovereign wealth chief Kirill Dmitriev, a deal that could hand Russia Crimea, Donbas, and a demilitarized Eastern Ukraine in exchange for a fragile “NATO-lite” guarantee.

As Ukraine watches its future negotiated by people who aren’t even in office yet, Washington erupts, Europe fractures, and Moscow quietly calculates its biggest diplomatic victory in a decade. Critics call it appeasement. Supporters call it realism. But the truth is darker: this plan exposes a West that is tired, divided, and no longer able to agree on what “victory” even means.

Tonight’s APT Opinion asks the only question that matters: If ending the war means accepting a map rewritten in Russia’s favor… would you take the deal, or fight on? Your answer reveals more about the future of this conflict than anything a diplomat, president, or general will ever say.
Drop your thoughts in the comments — the world is watching, and so are we.

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Transcript

00:00Here's my question and tonight I want all of you, every single one of my viewers to tell me

00:07what you think in the comments because your answer says more about the future of this war

00:13than any diplomat, president or general. Here's the question. If ending the Russia-Ukraine war

00:21means accepting a map where Russia keeps the territory it controls, would you take that deal

00:27or would you fight on? Because the truth is that's the uncomfortable shadow hanging over the entire

00:35Trump peace plan. The leaked 28-point proposal that is already tearing through Washington,

00:42Brussels, Kiev and Moscow like a political earthquake. Welcome to APT Opinion. If you're

00:48new here, hit subscribe because this is where we talk about the stories everyone else tiptoes around.

00:57Now, let's slow down and walk through this carefully. This entire diplomatic drama did not begin in a

01:25summit room. It did not begin with a UN vote. It didn't even begin with Zelensky or Putin.

01:32It began in Miami during back-channel conversations allegedly involving Trump envoys and Kirill Dmitriev,

01:40the Russian sovereign wealth fund chief and one of Putin's closest financial operators. Let that sink

01:46in. The future map of Europe might have been decided in a luxury suite in Florida. This is not traditional

01:54diplomacy. This is politics rewritten in the style of a Netflix thriller. And the leaked blueprint,

02:01it's even more dramatic. The plan says Russia keeps Crimea. No debate, no ambiguity.

02:09Two, Russia keeps Luhansk and Donetsk, even though Ukraine still controls close to 15% of that land.

02:16Three, eastern Ukraine becomes demilitarized, meaning Ukraine would have fewer troops on its own

02:22territory. Four, Ukraine caps its army size and missile range permanently. In return, the US gives

02:31security guarantees. A NATO light umbrella. But here's the twist. Ukraine would have sovereignty but

02:38not borders. Russia would have borders without acknowledging Ukraine's sovereignty. The US would

02:45have influence without responsibility. A compromise that satisfies no one. Well, except the US, but still could

02:54redefine everything. Zelensky's government sees this as a betrayal wrapped in paperwork. For two years, Kiev was

03:02promised this. We'll arm you to win. We'll support you for as long as it takes. We won't negotiate over your heads.

03:10But today, Ukrainians are waking up to find Turkey and Qatar, not the EU, at the center of talks. And they're

03:18discovering that their future is being negotiated by people who aren't even in office yet. Imagine fighting a

03:26war for survival while someone else negotiates your survival. Ukraine feels cornered. And honestly,

03:33it's hard to blame them. Inside Washington, this peace plan has detonated a political grenade. Former

03:41Ambassador Michael McFaul says he is shocked the US would push a plan built around Russian demands.

03:47Republican Congressman Don Bacon has compared it to Munich 1938, aka the infamous appeasement of Hitler.

03:55Others warn that limiting Ukraine's military size is the same model that Russia used to trap Georgia

04:02after the 2008 war. But here's the counter-argument. This ends the war. This saves Ukrainian lives.

04:11This stops American money from disappearing into a forever conflict. This forces Europe to take

04:18responsibility. And this is where public opinion matters. Which is why I asked you that question at

04:24the start. So if you haven't already, put it down. I'm going to be reading every comment.

04:30Now, Moscow. The Kremlin's reaction has been subtle. Almost too subtle. They're not rejecting it.

04:40They're not embracing it. They're just repeating the same line. We are open to negotiations.

04:45Kiev is not. Now, this is classic Russian leverage psychology. To win the narrative before the

04:52negotiations even begin. Because to Moscow, this plan is not about peace. It's about validation.

04:58Validation that Crimea is theirs. Validation that the Donbass is theirs. Validation that the West is

05:05tired. Validation that Russia can reshape borders in the 21st century. You don't need tanks to win a war

05:13if you win the diplomacy, right? Now, let's talk about Europe. The continent most affected by this deal.

05:20And yet, the least consulted. France is uncomfortable. Germany is panicking quietly.

05:28Poland is furious. The Baltics are alarmed and Hungary. Hungary is celebrating. A senior Hungarian

05:35official told Newsweek they fully and unconditionally support Trump's peace plan.

05:41This is unquestionable evidence of a very uncomfortable truth. Europe is no longer

05:47a united bloc on Ukraine. Europe is fractured. Politically, militarily, psychologically.

05:54You know, that alone changes the war. And here's something that analysts keep ignoring.

05:59Japan didn't lose to China. It lost to the United States. Russia will not lose to Ukraine. But it can

06:06lose to the West provided the West stays united. But the West is not united anymore, evidently. And that's

06:14why this peace plan may succeed where others failed. Not because it's brilliant, but because exhaustion is

06:21defeating conviction. Zelensky defined victory as returning to 1991 borders. Putin defined victory as

06:29denazification, demilitarization and control of the Donbass. Europe defined victory as stability.

06:37The US defined victory as not losing face. And Trump defines victory as ending the war under my watch.

06:45No matter what he has to do or promise to achieve that. But here's the plain truth. And tell me you're

06:51seeing this too. Every definition of victory contradicts the others. And when goals collide,

06:58peace becomes the battlefield. So here's my final APT opinion question. And I mean this. Is this peace

07:06plan the beginning of the end of the war? Or the beginning of the end of Ukraine as we know it?

07:12Will history remember this moment as diplomacy saving lives? Or as real

07:17political political redrawing borders at gunpoint? Tell me in the comments because your voice matters

07:24more than any geopolitical experts. Hit subscribe. We're just getting started and we need your support.

07:31This is APT opinion and the world is watching.

07:47a

07:58storm for a few words

08:02we don't even see in the над sulomائί to avoid any ke Noch37 specific doing a few

08:04perspectives.

08:05We'll see you in the comments.

08:06Hello, everyone.

08:07They don't give us a look.

08:08They're even equipo soumisely.

08:10They're really frequent.

08:12They're really big places.

08:14They're really慢.

APT Opinion: The Negotiation That Delivers Putin Crimea, Donbas, and a Demilitarized Ukraine | APT

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