00:00and this draft includes 28 points that effectively include points that are non-starters from a
00:26ukrainian point of view um including points that would slash um the current capacity of the ukrainian
00:33army most worryingly um including territorial concessions um to the russian federation
00:41including territory it currently does not hold in the donbass regions but also amnesty
00:56first of all the idea that ukraine would have to concede territory that russia currently does on
01:03a whole particularly in the donets region is unacceptable is really a non-starter and it's
01:10important to remind audiences of the fact that russia has not been able to occupy the entirety of
01:16the donbass region losing thousands of people for um over 10 years now and so the idea that ukraine
01:25would have to give away uh territories that include heavily fortified cities that have uh helped stalled
01:33russian advances um really is a non-starter but also this idea of um giving amnesty uh to russia and
01:42the forestalling any ongoing effort to set up a special tribunal for russia's crime of aggression
01:49and ongoing investigation into war crimes uh conducted by russian soldiers in a number of ukrainian
01:56regions and they have experienced an occupation these are absolutely unacceptable conditions that
02:02they currently stand um for this war that is grinding on in its fourth year
02:21so this perceived window of opportunity of political vulnerability is sort of being exploited
02:26in an attempt to put pressure on cave um to accept again russia's uh maximalist demands
02:40there was an interview with russian foreign minister
02:44uh that sort of talked about a so-called alaska process and that is really reminding on the of the
02:51the so-called minsk process in the aftermath of the 2014 2015 invasion of eastern ukraine and it's this
02:59idea of trying to imitate progress in conversations and projecting this image of russia as being a
03:05negotiator in good faith which it's not but in a way it's trying to minimize the risk of trump losing
03:13patience with russia again and potentially imposing new sanctions and sort of uh imitating progress and and
03:20goodwill and trying to exploit this window of opportunity of weakness and on ukraine while trying to
03:26engineer a potential um opportunity for a new chapter in u.s russia relations in this age of transactionalism
03:36that trump has inaugurated
03:51that should be a proposal that really signals the red lines um of cave and european capitals
03:58um and really sort of um have a collective voice to signal to the us that
04:05the european um leader's intention is to keep the us on both on board both in terms of diplomatic
04:13engagement and military assistance to ukraine for as long as possible but europe needs to step up and be
04:19ready um to side with ukraine should the us choose to step out um of this process altogether
04:34relevant
04:42um
04:43uh
04:44uh
04:45um
04:47You
Comments