00:00Joining me right now, AccuWeather long-range expert, meteorologist Joe Lumberg, the crystal ball,
00:05plenty to talk about as we get beyond Thanksgiving, but let's go back and review the tape from last
00:12week. All right. This one in here is going to pick up a lot of moisture from the Gulf of America,
00:17and that's going to lead to areas of rain and thunderstorm activity. There's a threat for
00:21severe weather. The big ticket item, though, is the heavy rain potential. You basically have a
00:25front that gets stalled in this area, and waves come along it, and there's a flash flood risk,
00:30and again, that severe weather risk as well. And Joe, the rain not quite getting up toward the
00:36Chicago area, but one of the cities that you highlighted for heavy rain, Dallas got inundated
00:42yesterday. Yeah, that and even parts of the hill country has seen quite a bit of rain. That is going
00:47to be moving away. One of the big things about the period post-Thanksgiving, and we're not talking
00:53about the beginning of next week after Thanksgiving, is this one right here. There's going to be a lot
00:57more cold air on the playing field. A front will come through the east on Thanksgiving day,
01:02and the cold air is going to follow. There's probably going to be some lake effect snow with
01:05that. Looks like some late weekend moisture starts to return to the Gulf Coast, and another storm is
01:11going to head for California. You know, we're not done yet. This could be one of the wettest
01:15Novembers we've ever seen in Los Angeles. And here's the picture for late next week. You'll notice this
01:20gradual dip in the jet stream. It's not all that deep. If it were deeper like this,
01:25this little feature here along the front that comes off the east coast could be more of a problem.
01:29Right now, it looks like the westerlies pushed that out to sea, and it's not a big deal. However,
01:33with this cold air coming in, guess what? You're probably going to have some lake effect snow around
01:37the Great Lakes later Thursday, and especially Friday and even to Saturday. Keep an eye, though,
01:41on that feature that you see off the northwest coast. That's the late weekend storm for the west coast.
01:47Now, Joe, as we get into the first week of December, everybody's been asking, when is winter
01:54coming? When are we going to start to get snow? Well, the first thing you have to do is build the
01:58cold. And it appears as though we're going to start doing that from the plains toward the lakes
02:04in New England. Remember that feature I talked about, about that storm for the west coast? Hidden
02:09beneath that, there's going to be a lot of Arctic air building in western Canada. I think that starts to
02:14come down into Montana, the Dakotas. By the end of next weekend, and in the first week of December,
02:18that spreads south and then east. Now, it'll be diluted in nature as it tries to come into the
02:23eastern part of the U.S., but there'll be these ripples of low pressure. Anytime you've got one
02:27of these storms that go by, it tries to pull the warm air up. But with all this cold air,
02:31somebody's going to get some snow. Maybe it's not a big deal, but I just think there's going to be
02:35snow in this pattern that starts to get laid down across the Dakotas, Minnesota,
02:39and into the north parts of northern New England. And eventually, that's probably going to come
02:44farther south. In fact, if we look at the first weekend of December, there's concern that the
02:49system comes out of the southwest of the U.S., works its way eastward, and another Arctic air
02:55mass spreads south and east. And if the two can get together in some way, there could be a big storm
03:00to concern about, even if they don't. Again, that Arctic air mass is really going to be spreading
03:04eastward. So look for cold to grow as we go into the first weeks of December. And dare I say,
03:09the opportunity for a white Christmas is higher than it's been in recent years, Bernie.
03:13No, I was just going to say it, Joe. You read my mind.
03:16Acting with a long-range expert, the crystal ball meteorologist, Joe Lumberg. Stay with us.
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