Exploring Ty Simpson's Heisman Potential: Alabama vs. Tennessee

SportsGrid

Watch Exploring Ty Simpson's Heisman Potential: Alabama vs. Tennessee - SportsGrid on Dailymotion

Transcript

00:00If we look at the quarterback position here, talking about some prop bets here,

00:03Joey Aguilar, 228 and a half, which is kind of standard for college football.

00:05Then you see Ty Simpson in this game.

00:08292 and a half is his prop, Joe.

00:11He's the leader in the club, pastor of Ty, I should say, for the Heisman Trophy race.

00:14Let me tell you something.

00:15They win this football game.

00:16Ty Simpson goes for three bills and three scores.

00:19He might just be your Heisman Trophy.

00:20Again, hey, they're not going to have a Heisman Trophy.

00:22They might fire everybody if they lost to Florida State.

00:24Boy, did that offense turn it around tonight, Joe.

00:26Talk about Ty Simpson.

00:27So we talked earlier when we broke the game down that the weakness of Tennessee is the secondary.

00:33They're allowing 66% completion percentage.

00:36They're allowing 258 passing yards per game.

00:40So if you're going to attack Alabama, right, you're going to attack over the top with your best bet with Ty Simpson.

00:46He's had a three-game heater right now, which puts him in a position to potentially hoist the hardware.

00:5170% completion percentage, 16 touchdowns, one interception.

00:55But you look at just Tennessee right now, they're going to have to create third-down situations to get off the field.

01:01That might not happen.

01:02This game might be last team holding the football wins.

01:06I will say from an Alabama perspective, Donnie, you've got to get Ryan Williams involved.

01:11I don't understand what happened last week.

01:13No catches.

01:14He basically wasn't involved.

01:16And I understand that Missouri took it away at some point.

01:19But Ty Simpson didn't go to him at all last week.

01:22It's like he was out of the offensive game playing completely.

01:26Needs to change.

01:27Can't just be Jeremy Bernard.

01:29They need a big play from Ryan Williams.

01:31Again, I think Ty Simpson's on potential for three and a quarter, 350 in this game.

01:36We'll see how the Tennessee defense adjusts.

01:39Yeah, I mean, last year when you take a look and say, boy, what was Ryan Williams doing?

01:42I mean, absolutely dominant.

01:43You figured he'd take that next step.

01:45Like, Jeremiah Smith for Ohio State.

01:46Hey, get him involved.

01:47One catch, a bubble screen?

01:49Can't have that.

01:49Nothing.

01:49Can't have that.

01:50Checked out last week.

01:51Yeah, if we look at the props, though, Joe, Bernard is 69 and a half.

01:54Horton is 49 and a half.

01:56And then there's Ryan Williams at 55 and a half.

01:58They're not pricing him like he's dead weight here at, like, 28 and a half.

02:01No.

02:01He's still listed at 55 and a half.

02:03Talk to me about the expectations, the wide receiver position.

02:05Because if we have a quarterback that's anticipated to throw for three bills, somebody's catching

02:09passes.

02:09Yeah, so Horton came up.

02:11If you watch the game against Missouri, he had the big fourth down conversion.

02:14It was fourth and three with about eight minutes left in the game.

02:18And he hits Horton on an absolute frozen rope.

02:21I mean, great catch.

02:23He loses his helmet.

02:24He could be the option again today.

02:26Again, I still like Bernard.

02:27Bernard is the guy that when Ty Simpson is in a rhythm, Jeremy Bernard is eating.

02:33I like him for overs total.

02:35I like him for a touchdown tonight from the Alabama perspective.

02:38But keep an eye out for Horton.

02:40He's got that quarterback to wide receiver relationship.

02:42Even though you want to maybe double down with the Ryan Williams perspective, let's see

02:48what happens.

02:49I don't like the fact that he's completely checked out.

02:51I would take him over the yardage, not necessarily for the touchdown.

02:55Would lean to potentially Horton to have a big day as well.

02:58How about this, Joe?

02:59Let's take a look at the rushing props.

03:01I love it.

03:01Dan Miller, as you talked about, maybe a little bit banged up coming into this game.

03:04Concussion issues could be an issue.

03:05I don't want to say concussion issues.

03:07Is he going to get a full ground game today?

03:10He's 70 and a half.

03:11There's not really any discounts there.

03:12Sean Bishop, 66 and a half.

03:14Are we trusting Jan Miller today to be playing and productive?

03:17Donnie, he got laid out on the sideline.

03:20I mean, he was completely out on his feet in the fourth quarter of that matchup.

03:25They took him back to the dressing room, and he's been basically in concussion protocol.

03:31They say he's probable.

03:32But again, how many times do we watch these games play out with the college game where

03:36you bet the guy, he's out there for two plays, he gets dinged again, and then all of a sudden

03:41there goes the 70 and a half, you're dead to rights.

03:44So again, I would advise a no play as opposed to just saying he's going to be in the lineup

03:50and you're going to get 70 and a half.

03:52I don't lean to Bishop as much.

03:54I did take Star Thomas to change a pace back 37 and a half because again, if Tennessee's going

04:00to come into this game and say, hey, we want to attack Alabama on the ground, it's not

04:05just Bishop.

04:05It is Star Thomas a little bit quicker, a little bit more elusive.

04:1037 and a half is a huge discount.

04:12If you believe Tennessee's going to get close to their average, I like Thomas more.

04:17I'm in on Thomas in multiple parlays over the 37 and a half.

04:21Yeah, good weather conditions tonight for this game too, Joe.

04:23If we take a look at the pay dirt picks here, some touchdown props in this game between Tennessee

04:26and Alabama.

04:27But Jan Miller's the favorite though, still, we don't really know what we're going to get

04:30out of him.

04:30Minus 165 price.

04:32Bernard, minus 140, who I really like today.

04:34And then there's Ryan Williams, third in line, Joe, plus 105 price.

04:37The first three guys on the board, Alabama, Alabama, Alabama.

04:41Yeah, I can't look that way.

04:42I think it will be Tennessee potentially dictating the tempo, potentially, especially on the road.

04:49Star Thomas.

04:50Don't be shocked though if it's Aguilar as well.

04:53In big games, Aguilar stepped up.

04:55He's mobile.

04:55He's a gutty guy.

04:56He's like Diego, Pavia, just in the sense, he's going to give it 150%.

05:01And I think when you just look at Tennessee, and we talked about it earlier, haven't won

05:05in Tuscaloosa since 2003, five overtime game.

05:08It's been a long time, 22 years since Tennessee has been able to make it competitive.

05:14I still like them with the points, but I keep an eye out on Thomas.

05:18Keep an eye out for Joey Aguilar on the ground.

Category

Transcript

Be the first to comment

Recommended