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Ole Miss vs. Georgia: SEC Showdown with a 7 Point Spread
SportsGrid
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6 weeks ago
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00:00
Ole Miss, Georgia, SEC action, 330 kickoff.
00:04
Joe, this look-ahead line was a minus 10.5 point spread for Georgia.
00:06
We're now down under a touchdown at some outlets.
00:09
Most outlets, let's just call it a perfect seven at this point.
00:11
A total, Joe, 54.5 now increasing to 57.5.
00:15
Ole Miss, Georgia between the hedges.
00:17
Gotta love this one.
00:17
Yeah, it really is.
00:18
And they got the victory last year in Oxford.
00:21
Let's not forget, they beat up Georgia in the trenches.
00:23
That was one of the better rush defenses in all of college football last year,
00:27
led by Walter Nolan.
00:28
They contained Carson Beck.
00:30
He didn't throw a touchdown pass.
00:32
The rushing attack in a rain-soaked game couldn't get going,
00:35
and Ole Miss dominated with Jackson Dart.
00:37
Now it's a true road environment for Trinidad Chambliss.
00:40
How does that affect this team?
00:42
Last week, they struggled with Washington State, 31.5 point favorite.
00:46
They win it 24 to 21.
00:48
We know that Georgia last time struggled with Alabama in a big matchup.
00:52
Seven and a half for most of the week after the nine and a half's ten on Sunday.
00:56
Now it's under that key number.
00:57
The matchup, Donnie, is going to be, can Ole Miss shut down the Georgia rushing attack?
01:02
Georgia averaging 185 rushing yards per game.
01:05
Ole Miss giving up 156 on the ground.
01:08
They did it against LSU and Tulane.
01:11
I think it's a different animal today with revenge.
01:14
I lean to Georgia in the matchup.
01:15
Yeah, I think Georgia is the right side in this game too, Joe.
01:17
As we take a look at how we got here is usually what we like to look at.
01:20
You know, the LSU game on the 27th of September, 24 to 19.
01:24
You'll take a win in the SEC at any time.
01:26
That was a five-point close win.
01:28
Washington State game was interesting though.
01:30
Many expected a blowout, a cruise control victory, but maybe they had their eyes on the prize of who's coming up next week, 24 to 21.
01:37
Then you take a look at Georgia, who credit them because they went to the Plains and knocked off Auburn.
01:41
That game had a lot of controversy.
01:42
Like, it doesn't look like to me both of these teams really in rhythm entering into this one.
01:46
But maybe they both were looking ahead to this game, Joe.
01:49
It's possible.
01:50
I think for Lane Kiffin, obviously, you know, you're a 31-and-a-half-point favorite.
01:54
You got the victory a couple weeks ago over LSU.
01:56
You don't want to show all that much.
01:58
For Georgia, rivalry game against Auburn.
02:01
They did get beat up a bit in the first half.
02:04
The critical, controversial call with Jackson-Arnold, that really changed the momentum.
02:09
Now there's no room for error.
02:11
You know, Georgia has one loss.
02:12
They can't afford another home loss.
02:14
And Ole Miss, potentially, if they win, Donnie, they're in the driver's seat in the SEC.
02:19
They can afford a loss down the stretch and still make it to the college football playoff
02:23
and an SEC championship.
02:25
Contrast in styles.
02:26
Blue-collar offense for Georgia.
02:28
Wide open of attack for Ole Miss.
02:30
Which defense will be better and win the turnover battle?
02:33
I'll still take my shot with Kirby Smart laying 6-and-a-half.
02:37
Also this, Joe.
02:37
You take a look at Ole Miss' schedule.
02:39
They're unbeaten 3-and-0 in the SEC.
02:40
Week number one, they open up against Georgia State.
02:42
Their only road game was at Kentucky, a close one, 30-23.
02:46
The remaining games, Arkansas, Tulane, LSU, and Washington State, all at home.
02:50
A little bit different of a ground here when you're going down inside the hedges there
02:53
to take on the University of Georgia.
02:55
But also from a Georgia perspective, looking to make it right.
02:58
You know, secondly, they don't like to lose home games.
03:00
They got beat by Alabama in a close game, but they did lose that one.
03:03
I do give the edge to Georgia.
03:04
I like the defense more.
03:05
And also, Chambliss, do we have a film on them now where other teams' defensive coordinators, Joe,
03:09
can sort of sink their teeth into?
03:10
Yeah, well, if you're looking at mobility, Trinidad Chambliss could be the X factor today
03:15
because Georgia has struggled with mobile quarterbacks.
03:18
They struggled with Jackson Arnold this year in the first half against Auburn last week.
03:23
They struggled with Jalen Milrow in the first half against Alabama last year.
03:27
They need to contain him on the perimeter, force him into long, predictable third downs
03:32
to generate a pass rush.
03:34
We'll see.
03:34
One of the worst secondaries for Georgia completion percentage dating back to 2020.
03:39
So that's a matchup.
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