- 2 months ago
доц. Христо Беров е експерт и преподавател в Софийски университет "Св. Климент Охридски" по съвременна балканска история
Въпроси:
Каква е причината руското разузнаване да предупреждава сръбските власти за сценарий като украински Майдан и реална ли е тази опасност и как може да стане евентуално?
Могат ли протестите в Сърбия да ескалират до гражданска война?
Може ли да има намеса от организации като Сорос, организации от Великобритания за намеса в тези протести и да искат да ескалират напрежението в Сърбия? Какво печелят от това напрежение?
В случай на предсрочни избори в Сърбия коя политическа партия може да състави правителство?
Как другите югославски държави гледат на протестите в Сърбия могат ли пряко или косвено да се намесят по някакъв начин?
Въпроси:
Каква е причината руското разузнаване да предупреждава сръбските власти за сценарий като украински Майдан и реална ли е тази опасност и как може да стане евентуално?
Могат ли протестите в Сърбия да ескалират до гражданска война?
Може ли да има намеса от организации като Сорос, организации от Великобритания за намеса в тези протести и да искат да ескалират напрежението в Сърбия? Какво печелят от това напрежение?
В случай на предсрочни избори в Сърбия коя политическа партия може да състави правителство?
Как другите югославски държави гледат на протестите в Сърбия могат ли пряко или косвено да се намесят по някакъв начин?
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NewsTranscript
00:00Hello friends, I am Maria Lazarová.
00:17Thank you for sharing and commenting my videos.
00:22Today my guest is a doctor Dr. Hristo Begov,
00:27expert and teacher at the University of Sofijic University of the Balkansk history.
00:35Hello, Dr. Begov, how are you?
00:39Hello, Mrs. Lazarová.
00:41Hello to your viewers and listeners.
00:44Thank you very much.
00:49Dr. Begov,
00:51I have told you about the events in Serbia
00:59and before a few days,
01:05I have told you about the news,
01:07that the Russian knowledge has been given to the Russian authorities,
01:13that it may be something like the second Ukrainian Maidan,
01:21because the first of July of November of the day,
01:25the first of July of the day,
01:27the first of July of the day,
01:29the first of July of the day,
01:31the new one is the new one.
01:33And my question is,
01:35How can the Maidan eventually be able to become?
01:45Now, if there is a scenario for me, it is very difficult to speculate and to prognozize.
01:57At the end of the day, the protests in Serbia are already almost 10 months.
02:04They continue with intensity, with intensity, with strength.
02:12What we observe is that...
02:16It is a very long history of protests.
02:26It is necessary to do the Ukrainian experience of Maidan 2013-2014,
02:34so that they know how to do protests from one side.
02:41On the other hand,
02:43what happened in Serbia in the last 10 months,
02:46is a very specific way to protest.
02:50In the sense?
02:52He is also a political situation.
02:54He is also a political situation.
02:56He is also a political situation.
02:59That is something that we are close to the events of Serbia.
03:04He can not make any impression.
03:07He is also a political situation.
03:10It is not a desire for students, who are in the protest in Serbia, to be
03:18attached to any of the political parties in the opposition form in Serbia.
03:27They were very different from the desire for political parties to
03:38to be a kind of a party, to be a kind of a party.
03:43The protest was very socialized,
03:47in the sense that the political parties were not strong.
03:53If I can't make it a bit of a short statement,
04:00we want to be a good Serbian,
04:03We're not going to be a new one, but a new one.
04:08This was a new student.
04:13And as soon as the Russian understanding of Serbia
04:20could be able to help Alexander Vucic and the party,
04:25party, the good relationship between Russia and Russia are not for anyone, and I think that
04:37the srbskite słujbi are quite well informed on what is happening on the srbska territory,
04:43so that they need help in this relationship with the brattskite,
04:50the srbskite słujbi, the srbskite słujbi, the srbskite słujbi,
04:56but on the other hand, this is more likely to use the information
05:06for the political use,
05:11so that it is possible to be able to do the repressive actions of the srbskite słujbi
05:19of the srbskite słujbi, the police and the jandarmeria.
05:23As we saw in the last month,
05:27in the last month,
05:29on a few weeks,
05:31the srbskite słujbi
05:33of the srbskite słujbi
05:35and it is possible to go to the war,
05:37at the moment,
05:39in the moment,
05:41in the moment,
05:43with a war in the war,
05:45the srbskite słujbi
05:47of the srbskite słujbi
05:49that are more likely to be taken care of
05:51Even though the Russian special services and the Russian information must give information to Vucic what happened in the country,
06:00this is more than a warning to the opposition, to the protest students.
06:08This is my opinion, so is it.
06:11What is your impression?
06:14Many students who protested many of you said that they could escalate to the war.
06:26Do you see that escalation?
06:30I am not sure that escalation of the violence will lead to the war.
06:36For one reason, there is no one to fight so much.
06:42But, evidently, the war in Serbia is in a difficult situation.
06:50Maybe the most difficult situation, as Vucic is in control of the Russian state,
06:55before more than 10 years.
07:00In my opinion, there is another clivage.
07:03There is another clivage.
07:05And that is, to any extent, a population problem.
07:12In the past, there are many people who are in Serbia,
07:15in the universities, students,
07:17one part of the students,
07:19who are also very active,
07:21are people who,
07:23in spite of the difficulties in Serbia,
07:25are in the Canadian countries,
07:27in the US and then towards the problems in Serbia.
07:32If the countries,
07:34in the US,
07:35in the US,
07:36in local countries,
07:37in Bulgaria,
07:38in Romania,
07:39what is happening there and what is happening in Serbia, and they feel
07:44one of them. If you do 10-15 years in the Czech Republic of Serbia,
07:50the Czech Republic of Serbia, they have to be able to call it with
07:54an agreement with Yugoslavs.
07:59In the moment, the situation in Serbia is economic and social,
08:05very good and very well.
08:11Even in many different ways,
08:15in сравнение with the closest of the closest to the most,
08:17in сравнение with the Hrvati, in сравнение with Bulgaria,
08:19even with the Rumania, with the Ungaria.
08:24This is, by my opinion,
08:27an involvement with the power of the in-house.
08:33because young people just want to live in a way that they can live in a very close area of Serbia.
08:43Which means that these young people, who are двигатели,
08:50who are the head of the protest in the moment in Serbia,
08:53are ready to get the оружие and start shooting at the end.
09:01In other words, violence in the moment in Serbia is more likely
09:08on the border of the Vucic,
09:11who often come to these forms,
09:16on the border of the institution in one country,
09:23police, jandarmeria,
09:26which leads to escalation of the pressure,
09:30which leads to the rise of the pressure,
09:33but in my opinion,
09:36there is no way in Serbia to get to the war,
09:43to the conflict.
09:45The problem in Serbia is that how Alexander Vucic
09:48is to be able to do the war,
09:49and to be able to do the war,
09:51and to be able to do the war on the border of the protest.
09:55This is two non-facemes.
09:58In fact, students say that we don't want to be able to go up in Srebrenica.
10:04We want to be a more clean, less efficient country with corruption.
10:10It is automatically that Vujic is an extremely talented politician.
10:19The biographie began in the 1990s and 1920s with a high-end position in Miloshevich.
10:31He has прекрасned the country, the общество of Serbia, and he has the administrative, so that he has to be able to maintain the power of the country.
10:48In my opinion, it is always very important what the political pressure should be.
10:57Who should push it to change the power of the government?
11:01In my opinion, there is no way to change the power of the government
11:08and the power of Serbia.
11:11This is the way to change the political factors.
11:16and he was comfortable, and he was comfortable with it, and he was comfortable with it,
11:23for every one of the biggest players in the region.
11:28Every one of the important players with positions in the region
11:33has not seen a problem in the establishment of the country.
11:38It is a problem for the Czech Republic, but it is not a problem for the Czech Republic,
11:42for the Moscow, for the Washington, for the Peking.
11:45Yes.
11:47Of course.
11:48It is a problem for the president.
11:50It is a problem for the Western part.
11:55It is a problem for the political partners.
12:00And that is the way that the serious pressure is given to be able to be in Serbia to stop the graniards,
12:11that is to prevent the pressure from the war, and to provoke the violence.
12:16It is an idea that it is not to be able to prevent the war, but to be able to break the protest and to go on.
12:26because if we go back to the end of the year, it was the first protest against Alexander Vucic,
12:32against him, against him.
12:35And now, in a very large extent,
12:41this man and the part of the party, which is behind him,
12:45were able to deal with protests,
12:49with more violence, with more words, but they were able to deal with it.
12:55In this case, some of the international media said,
13:02that organizations such as SORUS,
13:05the organizations of Great Britain
13:08are in charge of these protests,
13:12which wanted to have the pressure
13:16as they had at the moment in France.
13:20Tell us about what is happening in Serbia and what is that?
13:27What is it that way?
13:29For me, it is always difficult to comment
13:34in terms of, like to say,
13:35how to say,
13:36how to say,
13:37how to say,
13:38how to say,
13:39what is the deal with this kind of information that is
13:41and how to say,
13:42how to say,
13:45how to say,
13:47how to say,
13:49and that these kinds of things stand up for such organizations.
13:54Certainly, what can be seen in Serbia are some of the links to the so-called цвет of the revolution.
14:03It is not a lie to me.
14:06In many cases, Vucic, in many of my stories,
14:08it is a way to determine the experience of the revolution.
14:11But for me, it seems to be true that in some cases,
14:17of originality.
14:19If we look at it,
14:23we will find parallel
14:26with the protests in Bulgaria
14:29in 2013-2014,
14:31with the protests in other places in the world.
14:33But these protests
14:37in all cases
14:39are political,
14:41political,
14:43especially in the case
14:45that srbskite student
14:47and srbskite protestiati
14:49many внимatelno
14:51meseci in red
14:53have in strani
14:55of political parties.
14:57They don't want to have
14:59political parties,
15:01they don't want to have political parties.
15:03I have a chance
15:05to comment
15:07on the case of Serbia
15:09with my friends
15:11and university
15:13and they
15:15almost
15:17in the first place
15:19the student
15:21didn't want to be
15:23political.
15:25They don't want to be
15:27political.
15:29that is
15:31naivness,
15:32that is
15:33grish.
15:35Student
15:37the energy
15:39that was
15:40especially
15:41in March,
15:42April,
15:43they
15:44to be
15:45political.
15:46They
15:47to be
15:49political
15:51to be
15:53to find
15:54real change.
15:55They
15:57have
15:59to be
16:00idealistic
16:01to be
16:02to be
16:03to be
16:04to be
16:06as
16:07as
16:08as
16:10as
16:12as
16:14as
16:16as
16:18as
16:20as
16:22as
16:24as
16:26as
16:28as
16:30as
16:32as
16:34as
16:36as
16:38as
16:40as
16:42as
16:44as
16:46as
16:48as
16:50as
16:52as
16:54as
16:55as
16:56as
16:57as
16:58as
16:59as
17:00as
17:01as
17:02as
17:03as
17:04And Vucic tried to try to make some kind of relationship with the organization, and he didn't have to do it.
17:17They were arrested for some kind of students in a moment, because they were on their friends from the University of Belgrade University,
17:25with the opinion, that these people have been doing
17:30with the work of the Hrvatskite служbi for the security
17:34and would be able to go to Belgrade to keep students
17:36and to keep them up, which was a result of
17:39a fact that it was not a statement
17:42as a statement as a opinion.
17:46Now we know well the role of these organizations
17:50and financiers outside of the other countries.
17:57We know how to keep it and how to keep it.
18:02But it is true that it will be a lot of pressure
18:09to say that the основ of these protests
18:13is a genius plan,
18:21which is in Europe or in the United States.
18:28In case there are some elections,
18:34which party may be able to make the cabinet?
18:39I am almost confident that
18:47at the end of the election,
18:49that VUCIS will be able to do it again
18:52and to make part of the party.
18:55The part of the VUCIS will be able to do it again.
18:59It is a tough one,
19:02which is a tough one,
19:03is a tough one,
19:05is a tough one,
19:07is a tough one,
19:09is a tough one,
19:11and in the past 10 years,
19:16the kontroll over the institutions in Serbia
19:20of Serbia, from the Serbic Progressive Party, and in a sense,
19:25on Alexander Luchich, they have a great commitment.
19:32We know how to make the elections on the Balkans, but not only on the Balkans,
19:36we know how the methods, the mechanisms, the use of the use.
19:41Serbia in general, in this way, in this way,
19:45there is a corporate vote, a control vote,
19:49an open vote, a falsification of the results,
19:52all of this will be carried out in the use.
19:57And one fragmented opposition,
20:02as it was at the moment in Serbia,
20:05was not able to make it.
20:07And again, I'm going to make it to the end,
20:10to what I mentioned earlier,
20:13with what I mentioned earlier,
20:16the fact that the leader Alexander Luchich
20:24has been taken over the years,
20:26and the fact that the leader of Serbia is
20:29in the future,
20:30and the fact that the leader of the world
20:32is given over the years,
20:34it has been given over the years.
20:36It has been given over the years,
20:38and it will be a great advantage.
20:40The pressure on the натиск,
20:43which is the practice of Vucic,
20:47is that he is a good idea,
20:50so he was back in the years,
20:53so he is in the moment.
20:55He can very well put in the political plan,
20:59the rule is not a great deal,
21:01he has good contacts,
21:04he has good contacts,
21:10and with the European Union,
21:12and with Moscow,
21:14and with Peking,
21:16and with Washington.
21:20It is just a political animal.
21:26And the last question,
21:29docent Begov,
21:31docent Begov,
21:33and other European countries,
21:35how docent Begov,
21:37how docent Begov,
21:39which is happening in Serbia?
21:41Docent Begov,
21:43docent Begov,
21:45docent Begov,
21:47docent Begov,
21:49docent Begov?
21:51No,
21:53no,
21:54no,
21:55no,
21:56no,
21:57no,
21:58no,
21:59no,
22:01no,
22:02no,
22:03no,
22:04no,
22:05it is a possibility,
22:06it was the state
22:07in relationship,
22:08we never saw it,
22:09in relationship,
22:10with the original perspective,
22:11nothing,
22:12of course,
22:13in Serbia and every one problem that arises in the Czech Republic
22:19is taking place in Croatia, for example.
22:24The Croatian political elite obeys the difficulties in Serbia.
22:30The Croatian political elite, in the same way,
22:33reacts to the same way.
22:36On the level of declarations in Croatia and in Slovakia,
22:45in Zagreb and in Ljubljana,
22:47the protests in Serbia are under pressure,
22:50the students are under pressure.
22:53The declarations are difficult to hear in Skopje
22:59and in Sarajevo,
23:03and Bosna are always in case
23:06the specificity of this country
23:09on two countries,
23:12which is actually not functioning as a
23:16one-to-part part,
23:20one-to-part part,
23:22one-to-part part,
23:24that we know good how Miroslav Dπως
23:26is there a leader in Srd content Certainly
23:27there is big голова
23:31in Bosna.
23:32It's a general who are from empresarial
23:35with Ljubljana Prize
23:41a lot of times.
23:43It is about some trials in effect of other parts of the Soviet Union,
23:47and some trials in the Soviet Union is taken from the Soviet Republic of the Sepcia.
23:53In Skopje, it is a very different issue.
23:59In the Petrus, the Soviet Union was coming up.
24:03In the U.S., last forever...
24:07and it is a very important part of the government with the Russian government.
24:14The specificity of the Green River is a very important part of the government
24:21that they have a lot of people who are making it up to the government.
24:27They are not going to comment or if they are going to comment,
24:32they are going to keep the protest, but they are going to have a declarative level.
24:36level.
24:38So it is in Kosovo.
24:40Maybe in Kosovo
24:42there are some
24:44more serious
24:46ideas for change
24:48in the state of Belgrade
24:50because it is because they have
24:52a new
24:54and new
24:56and new.
24:58Kosovo is a
25:00partner,
25:02despite the experience
25:04between
25:06and Belgrade,
25:08this is not a
25:10serious issue.
25:12This is not a
25:14serious issue.
25:16It is not a
25:18serious issue.
25:20So
25:22in Kosovo,
25:24a large part of
25:28the
25:30elite
25:32protests
25:34on a
25:36declarative
25:38level,
25:40because
25:42there are many
25:44problems
25:46with
25:48the
25:50anti-corruption
25:52protests
25:54in Belgrade,
25:56and the
25:58anti-corruption
26:00protest in Belgrade,
26:02the
26:04countries
26:06and the
26:08countries
26:10in
26:12the
26:14country.
26:16corruption
26:18that is
26:20one of the
26:22most popular
26:24and the
26:26protests
26:28in
26:30the
26:32interview
26:34and I want to
26:36ask you to
26:38have a
26:39happy
26:40weekend
26:42and
26:43thank you
26:44everything
26:46to
26:48you
26:50to
26:52you
26:54to
26:56to
26:58you
27:00to
27:02to
27:04you
27:06to
27:08you
27:10to
27:12you
27:14to
27:16you
27:18to
27:20you
27:22to
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