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Assoc. Prof. Hristo Berov is an expert and lecturer at Sofia University "St. Kliment Ohridski" in modern Balkan history.
Questions:
What is the reason that Russian intelligence is warning Serbian authorities about a scenario similar to Ukraine's Maidan? Is this danger real, and how could it potentially happen?
Could the protests in Serbia escalate into a civil war?
Could organizations like Soros, or organizations from the UK, intervene in these protests and seek to escalate tensions in Serbia? What would they gain from such tensions?
In the event of early elections in Serbia, which political party could form a government?
How do other former Yugoslav countries view the protests in Serbia? Could they intervene directly or indirectly in any way?

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Transcript
00:00Hello friends, I am Maria Lazarová. Thank you for sharing and commenting my videos.
00:22Today my guest is a doctor Dr. Hristo Begov, expert and professor at Sofijitski University in the Balkan history.
00:34Hello, Dr. Begov. How are you?
00:38Hello, Mrs. Lazarová, hello to your viewers and listeners. Thank you very much.
00:46I am happy to be our guest.
00:48Dr. Hristo Begov, I have told you about the events in Serbia.
01:28And the question is about how the Maidan may eventually be able to become?
01:44Dr. Hristo Begov, important is to speak.
01:54and that's what I want to do.
01:56In the end of the day,
01:58the protests in Serbia
02:00have been almost 10 months.
02:02They have been
02:04with various intensity,
02:06with various
02:09forces.
02:12What we are seeing is
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02:50He also has to be politicized, he has to be a political issue for people who are close to the situation in Serbia.
03:03He can not make a impression, he can not make a impression.
03:09so that it is not a desire for students,
03:13who are in front of the protest in Serbia,
03:17to be attached to any of the political parties
03:23in the opposition form of Serbia.
03:27But soon, they were very different from the desire
03:35of the political parties to make a decision,
03:39to make a decision,
03:41and to make a decision.
03:43The protest was very social.
03:47In the sense,
03:49the political parties were not strong.
03:53If I could,
03:55if I could,
03:57in a short way,
03:59we would like a good Serbian.
04:01We would like a good Serbian.
04:03We would like to make a decision
04:05in Serbia.
04:07We would like to make a decision
04:09to make a decision
04:11to make a decision on the students.
04:13And as far as a Russian
04:17in Serbia
04:19can be done by Alexander Vucic
04:21and so on,
04:23the part of the party,
04:25the good relations between
04:28the Soviet Union and Russia
04:31and I think
04:33I think
04:35that the Soviet Union
04:37are quite well informed
04:39as it is
04:40as possible
04:41for the Soviet Union
04:43to make a decision
04:45for the Soviet Union.
04:47I think
04:48that the Soviet Union
04:50is quite well informed
04:51as it is,
04:52as it is,
04:53as it is,
04:55as it is,
04:56as it is,
04:57as it is,
04:59as it is,
05:01as as it is,
05:03as it is,
05:05as it is,
05:06as it is,
05:07as it is important to use
05:10to use the political
05:11of the people
05:12and the other
05:13to use the
05:15the repressive actions of the land of the Serbian government,
05:21and the police and the gendarmeria.
05:23As we saw in the last months,
05:27some of the times have been escalated.
05:31The Serbian government is getting to the war,
05:33and the government is getting to the war,
05:35and in the moment,
05:41preparing a war in Belgrade to be part of the army of the army.
05:48So that even the Russian special services and the Russian information
05:55must give information on what happened in the country.
05:59This is a bit of a warning to the opposition, to the protest students.
06:07This is my opinion.
06:11What are your impression?
06:13The police are many students who protested.
06:19Many colleagues say that they can escalate to the war.
06:25Do you see that escalation?
06:29I am not sure that escalation of the violence will lead to the war in Serbia.
06:37For one reason, there is no one to fight so much.
06:41But, evidently, the war in Serbia is in a difficult situation.
06:49Maybe in a difficult situation.
06:51It is a difficult situation.
06:53It is a difficult situation.
06:55It is a difficult situation.
07:01There is a lot of problems in Serbia.
07:03There is a lot of problems in Serbia.
07:05and this is even a popular problem.
07:11The young people in Serbia, in the universities, students,
07:17one part of the students, who are also very active,
07:21are people who, according to the difficulties in the country,
07:27have a good look at what happens in the region of Serbia,
07:33in the countries, in the Yugoslavs, in the region, in the region,
07:37they compare what happens in Serbia
07:41and they feel a good look at what happens in Serbia.
07:47If you have 10-15 years in the region
07:49and in the region, the Yugoslavs,
07:51the Yugoslavs, the Yugoslavs,
07:53the Yugoslavs, the Yugoslavs,
07:57the Yugoslavs, the Yugoslavs,
07:59people in Serbia are the economic and social,
08:05and not so sweet,
08:07and not so good,
08:09and not so much.
08:11even so in many degrees
08:13and more and so as for most of the people,
08:15with the closest friends, with the Hrvati, with the Bulgarian, even with the Rumania, with the Ungarii,
08:23and this, on my opinion, this is a great view of the country, because the people just want to live
08:36in a way that they can live in a close area of Serbia, which means that these young people,
08:48who are двигатели, who are the head of the protest in the moment in Serbia, are ready to get the оружие
08:54and start to shoot at the postage.
08:59The violence in the moment in Serbia is very close to the border of the country,
09:09which are very close to these forms.
09:14The violence in one country is very close to the police,
09:24which leads to escalation of the pressure, but
09:32in my opinion, there is no way to get to the war, to the conflict.
09:43The main problem in Serbia is how Alexander Lucic
09:47does not require war, but it is also a part of the war.
09:55These are two aspects of the war.
09:57In the practicality, students said that we don't want
10:00to support Sjet whether in a more honest and more
10:08of corruption, which automatically means that Vucic is an oddity.
10:12And Vucic is an extremely talented politician.
10:18The biography began in the 1990s, in the 1920s,
10:24with the top of the high position in Miloševich.
10:32The left, thetiary side, quite personality,
10:39which does not know the administration of the country.
10:50In the Balkane, it is always very important
10:53how the political political pressure is.
10:56Who should make up the top of the country,
10:58so that it can be shortage of free fashion.
11:00And now there is no such a categorical change in the United States,
11:08which is responsible for Serbia, on the side of the important political factors.
11:15He is very convenient, and he is very convenient, and he is very convenient,
11:22for every one of the great players in the region.
11:28One of the important players with positions in the region
11:33is not visible in the establishment of the country.
11:37It is a problem for the Serbs, but it is not a problem for the Serbs,
11:41for the Moscow, for the Washington, for the Washington, for the Pekin.
11:46Yes.
11:47It is a problem.
11:48It is a problem.
11:49It is a problem.
11:50It is a problem.
11:51It is a problem.
11:53It is a problem for the political partners.
11:59It is a problem.
12:00It is a problem.
12:02It is a problem.
12:04The government.
12:06It is a problem.
12:07It is a problem in time of working refugees.
12:09It is a problem, too.
12:11and that it is allowed to provoke the violence against the war.
12:16It is not the idea that it is not the way to prevent the war,
12:20but it is not the way to prevent the protest from the war.
12:26Because if we come back to the war,
12:28it is not the first protest against Alexander Vujic,
12:32which is led by him,
12:34and now in many great ways
12:39that this man and the party,
12:42which is behind him,
12:44they have to deal with protest,
12:47and they have to deal with more violence,
12:49and more words,
12:51but they have to deal with it.
12:54Yes.
12:55In other words,
12:57some of the media said that
13:01that organizations such as SOLUS,
13:04the organizations of the Great Britain
13:08have to deal with these protests,
13:11and they want to have the pressure
13:15as they have at the moment in France.
13:19Tell us about how to have the pressure in Serbia,
13:25and how do they do that?
13:27How do you say it?
13:30To me,
13:31it is difficult to comment
13:32to comment this kind of conspiracy theory
13:37by just because we don't have enough information,
13:43enough information on what exactly,
13:47what exactly, what exactly,
13:48what exactly, what exactly are they doing
13:49on such organizations.
13:54Certainly, what can be seen in Serbia
13:58are some some some some some some some some some some
14:02Ambosich, where inandro Luchich minister
14:08is asking some feeling
14:10but in fact, I mean to me is serious
14:16that there have a lot of marginal стр bag to do it.
14:23We'll see you on.
14:26In other words, there have been any protests
14:29with protests in other places in the world.
14:33But these protests are in every case
14:37they are in politics, they are in politics,
14:41especially in the case,
14:44that the students and the protestors
14:48very внимательно,
14:50in the end,
14:51they are in front of the political parties,
14:55they don't want to meet the political parties,
14:58they don't want to meet the political parties.
15:01I have a chance to comment on the case
15:07from my friends,
15:10and from university,
15:14and they almost always have the first place
15:18that students don't want to meet the political parties,
15:21they don't want to meet the protests.
15:26In any case,
15:29this is a mistake.
15:31This is a mistake.
15:33Students actually
15:35the energy,
15:38which has been in March,
15:39especially in March,
15:40April,
15:41they are in the moment,
15:42they are in political desire,
15:44they are in the direction,
15:46they are in the direction,
15:47they are in the direction,
15:48they are in the direction,
15:50so they are in the direction,
15:53action to come out to march,
15:57and идеally מע Gong punto мяс tribunes
16:00up and down theba.
16:05So, whenever it has a lot of 했,
16:09as to keep all of a work on internal massage,
16:13I couldn't say something about.
16:16I know several of my classmates
16:21how they organized them and how they got to keep them together with the students,
16:29with good advice and good advice, with the professors and the teachers.
16:37I am not afraid to remove the opportunity from the students in the same way,
16:44but students are quite aware that students are quite aware of this aspect for them to be held on a distance,
16:58and they are very внимated to it, which helps them.
17:02Not случайно, Vucic, I tried to make any kind of relationship with the organization, and I didn't do it.
17:16They were arrested for any kind of students in a moment, because they were on the guests of the University of Belgrade University,
17:25and they were able to see the people who had been acting under the impact of the university of Belgrade University,
17:34and they were able to help students to get their students,
17:37which became a kind of a statement that was not a statement to be held on a statement,
17:43as well as we know the role of these organizations,
17:49We are financed outside of the United States.
17:56We know how to keep it and how to keep it.
18:02But I think it will be a lot of pressure to say that
18:09and we believe that the basis of these protests is a genius plan
18:21that is in some of the think tank in Europe or in the United States.
18:29In case there is an election,
18:33what party can be to make cabinet?
18:44I am almost convinced that the previous elections will be able to make the party
18:53and to make the part of the VUCI,
18:55the part of the VUCI,
18:57the part of the VUCI,
18:58is able to make the part of the VUCI.
19:00It is a tough one,
19:04it is a tough one,
19:10but another 10 years
19:16have the part of the VUCI,
19:20the part of the VUCI,
19:23and, of course,
19:24the level of Alexander Lucic, they have a great commitment.
19:31We know how to make the избorts on Balkans, but not only on Balkans,
19:36we know how many methods and mechanisms are in the use of the use.
19:41Serbia in general has an exception in this way.
19:45There are also a corporate, a control, a cop, and a false false,
19:51all this stuff will be a bit of a need, and the fragmented opposition,
20:02which is at the moment in Serbia, which was not going to get in the way.
20:07And again, I'll return on it on to what I've mentioned,
20:13which I've said before.
20:15In the end, the fact that the leader Alexander Vucic has been well taken out of Serbia,
20:27from the main factors, from the global players in the world,
20:33gave him a great advantage.
20:39Lipsa na natizk odvan pravi na praktika,
20:45Vucic ne smeniaem, to je predvidim, to je udoben,
20:50taká bese nazad v godinite, taká i v momenta.
20:54Toy може много добре да се поставi vъw võnšnopolitički plan,
20:59правilo go je nejednokratno,
21:01dõrža dobri koncakti,
21:03успявa dobré da se komunikiira,
21:07както се казva,
21:09i s EU, i s Moskva, i s Pekin, i s Washington.
21:19Toy просто e ocelявašto politическо живот.
21:23I posleden võpros, docent Begov, da vi zadam.
21:31Drugite bivši yugoslavski strani,
21:35kak gledat na tosia procès,
21:38koi to se случva vъw Serbia?
21:41Isporad vas, dali mogate,
21:43prako ili kosveno,
21:46da se namesat po njakakav начin?
21:49Prako ne biha si позволili,
21:53но kosveno съs сигурност
21:55най-малкото под формата
21:57на изявления,
21:59на подкрепа.
22:01Няма какво да се заблуждаваме.
22:03Харватския политически елит
22:05с удоволствие
22:07и винаги с наслада
22:09наблюдава
22:11случващото се
22:13във Сърбия
22:15и всеки един проблем,
22:17във Сърбската държава,
22:19се приема доста положително
22:21в Харватия, например.
22:23Харватския политически елит
22:25обича трудностите
22:27във Сърбия.
22:29Словенския политически елит
22:31общозето по същия начин
22:33реагира.
22:35На думи,
22:37на ниво декларации
22:39и в Харватия,
22:41и в Словения,
22:43т.е. и в Загреб,
22:45и в Любляна,
22:47протестите в Сърбия
22:49са подкрепени,
22:51исканията на студентите са подкрепени,
22:53подобни
22:55декларации
22:57трудно биха се чули
22:59в Сараево,
23:01макар че Сараево и Босна
23:03винаги са особен случай,
23:05защото специфичното
23:07разделение на тази държава
23:09на две,
23:11което я прави
23:13на практика не функционираща
23:15като една
23:17държавно правна единица,
23:21създава други условия.
23:23Там знаем добре
23:25Мирослав Додик,
23:27лидера на Сърбите в Р. Сърбска
23:29в Босна,
23:31близък сътрудник
23:33на Вудчич,
23:35по никакъв начин няма да подкрепи
23:37и не подкрепи, разбира се, протестите,
23:39дори напротив,
23:41неколко кратно
23:43се изказва по подкрепа на Вудчич,
23:45самия Вудчич,
23:47от друга страна на подкрепа
23:49на Сърбите в Р. Сърбска.
23:51Сърбска.
23:53В Скопия е съвсем друг
23:55проблем, съвсем друга
23:59тема.
24:01В Подгорица
24:03последната
24:05сръбска
24:07по-скоро държава
24:11с доминиращо сръбско
24:13присъствие
24:15с оглед на
24:17спецификата на Черна гора
24:19и с оглед на
24:21така
24:23завоя, който направиха преди
24:25няколко години управляващите там,
24:27по-скоро се стремят
24:29да не коментират
24:31или ако коментират, по-скоро подкрепят
24:33протестите, но пак на едно
24:35декларативно ниво.
24:37Същото е в Косово.
24:39Може би единствено в Косово има някакви
24:43по-сериозни
24:45желания за промяна
24:47на статуклото в Белград
24:49по проста причина, че се надяват
24:51да се появи
24:53някой нов
24:55различен от Вучич, но
24:57дори за Косово Вучич е
24:59удобен партньор.
25:01Въпреки опитите
25:03от време на време да се изострят отношенията
25:05между
25:07Между Прищина и Белград
25:11това не води до някакви
25:15сериозни сблъсъци
25:17ескалация, която е
25:19взето контролирана.
25:21Така че в по-стегуславското пространство
25:23по-голямата част от
25:27политическите елити
25:31подкрепят протестите
25:33на декларативно ниво,
25:35в никакъв случай не биха участвали
25:37пряко и не биха се намесвали,
25:39защото са много
25:41сходни проблемите
25:43с които се сблъскват.
25:45От пристването
25:47на една антикорупционна
25:49така вълна
25:51от протести в Белград
25:53и победата на антикорупционния
25:55протест в Белград
25:57съвсем лесно може
25:59да доведе до
26:01подобни такива в всяка една от другите
26:03евакански държави,
26:05които не са по-малко корумпирани
26:07или по-различно корумпирани
26:09от това, което се случва в Сърбия.
26:11Да не забравяме основното,
26:13за което протестират тези хора в Сърбия е
26:15корупцията, която убива.
26:17Корупцията убива.
26:19Най-популярните слогани,
26:21които използва студентството
26:23и протеста в Сърбия.
26:25Доцент Белов,
26:27много ви благодаря,
26:29че прети моята покана
26:31за интервю и искам
26:33да ви позвая
26:35един кубав ден,
26:37спокоен уикенд и до нови срещи.
26:39Аз също ви благодаря госпожо Лазарова.
26:41Удоволствието беше изцяло мое.
26:43Всичко на вас и на вашите зрители.
26:45Благодаря!
26:47До отчуване!
27:15Благодаря!
27:17Благодаря!
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