00:00Joining me right now is AccuWeather, long-range expert. You know who he is, the crystal ball meteorologist Joe Lumber again.
00:06Good morning.
00:07That's a clue, Joe, Little Rock in the rain to what we were talking about and you were concerned about a week ago.
00:16Dry and comfortable from the Dakotas all the way down into the Tennessee Valley.
00:21Daytime highs will be 10 to 15 degrees below historical averages, nighttime lows, 40s and 50s in a lot of these places.
00:27It looks like the impacts along the eastern seaboard will be somewhat diminished.
00:31Rain showers in here, though, that's where the flood risk is from parts of Colorado into the Red River Valley.
00:39And we were just talking about, Joe, that's been one of our top stories all week, that heavy rain threat across the southern plains, which is ongoing this morning.
00:47It is, and that's just part of the pattern that we've been seeing unfold.
00:51As we look ahead to next week, the first full week of September, hard to believe that it's September already,
00:55we've got another cool shot waiting in the wings.
00:58It's going to come down from central Canada and swoop down through the midsection of the country during the middle part of the week
01:03and then sweep its way eastward.
01:05In contrast, it's going to be hot and very dry from California to Washington, escalated concern for brush fires there.
01:12All quiet in the deep tropics.
01:13It looks like that stays that way into early September.
01:16Here's the big picture.
01:17This almost looks like what we saw just a week ago with a big dip in the jet stream here over the eastern half of the country,
01:22which means another cool shot.
01:24It looks like that front will be in here on Tuesday, somewhere in the upper Midwest and the northern plains.
01:29Wednesday, that front probably approaches St. Louis.
01:32And then Thursday, it's approaching the Appalachians, which means in the east it's Friday.
01:35You see this area that we've got shaded here in green, potentially wet.
01:39It may be from a system off the southeast coast.
01:41Right now, odds seem to favor that moving out to sea.
01:44But with the front coming in, it may pick up enough moisture as it slows down to produce some much-needed rain in the east.
01:50Hot and dry in the west and some showers and thunderstorms may be the last gas of the monsoon in the southwest.
01:56Here's a look at the picture for the midweek period.
01:59Wednesday and Thursday, behind the front, you're going to see temperatures as much as 10 to 20 degrees below historical averages.
02:05And nighttime lows routinely in the 40s.
02:07Yeah, there's probably going to be some 30s in there and a good shot at some record low temperatures.
02:11You know, Joe, when we went in the summer months, it was so dry up and down the eastern seaboard.
02:17But June and July came in.
02:20We had lots of rain.
02:22But, boy, has it switched on a dime during the month of August.
02:27Look at these numbers here in the northeast.
02:28Portland, Maine, 0.15.
02:30That's it.
02:31Historical average for the entire month is 3.5 inches, so 4% of normal.
02:35And these numbers here are all below 50% of historical averages in places like Boston, New York City, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and Burlington.
02:43You need the rain.
02:44The question is, are you going to get it?
02:45With the pattern that we're seeing, the chances are limited.
02:48There'll be the system that comes through the northeast.
02:50But this is not going to bring an awful lot of rain to where you need it most in the northeast.
02:53And I would see, with the latest drought monitor coming out later this morning, that these years are likely to expand across much of the mid-Atlantic and northeast.
03:01Maybe late next week, that front coming into the east will bring in some beneficial rains.
03:05We'll see about that.
03:07AccuWeather long-range expert, the crystal ball meteorologist Joe Lumberg.
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