10 Day Trend 13/08/2025 – When will the heatwave end? – Met Office weather forecast UK - video Dailymotion

Met Office

This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next 10 days 13/08/2025. More heat and more thunderstorms to come. Then uncertainty towards the end of the period - but why? Bringing you this 10 day weather forecast is Honor Criswick.

Transcript

00:00Hello there and welcome to this week's 10 day trend and I'll be honest with you this

00:0410 day forecast is a little bit more tricky than usual because as we head further into

00:09our period the weather in the UK very much depends on what happens over into the Atlantic.

00:14But for the time being hot temperatures and also some possible thundery showers is definitely

00:20the name of the game. Taking a look at our bigger picture we've got low pressure out

00:24to the west, high pressure towards mainland Europe and this brings in a southerly flow

00:28so we'll continue to see those warm if not locally hot temperatures but where we'll

00:32see them will change day by day and at times where we see low pressure to the west this

00:37will drag in some frontal systems and we could see some more cloud possible thundery showers

00:41too and by the time we get to the weekend high pressure largely dominating the weather but

00:47notice it's just sat towards the northeast of the country still that means we're dragging

00:52in that south to south easterly flow so once again some quite warm temperatures building

00:56particularly across the southwest but across eastern areas with a slightly more easterly

01:01flow of wind that could also pick up some moisture from the North Sea and bring in some cloud and

01:06possibly some quite disappointing mornings over the weekend.

01:11Then later on into Saturday through into Sunday once again that low pressure still out to the

01:16west bringing in those frontal systems still dragging in that heat from the south and with that warm

01:22humid air that does lead us to a risk of thundery showers.

01:26Then after that a little bit of a question mark we'll go through that in a moment for the

01:29time being though let's start off with Thursday.

01:33Now thundery showers particularly across Scotland, Northern Ireland, possibly northern parts of England

01:38there is a yellow Met Office warning issued here so some quite frequent lightning, large hail,

01:43some gusty winds possible in these areas particularly across the northeast of Scotland and Northern Ireland.

01:48And a chance we could see some thundery showers towards the start of the day across the southeast

01:52but these should mostly ease away and many of us should mostly see a dry and bright day.

01:58Another quite warm if not locally hot day notice temperatures are down by a degree or two compared

02:03to what we've seen today highs now just reaching around 29 degrees Celsius but I wouldn't be surprised

02:07if we some localized spots just push up into 30 degrees once again but particularly central areas

02:13eastern, southeastern parts of England that's where we'll see the peak of the heat but even across the north

02:17we're still going to see temperatures in the mid-twenties but obviously there the risk we could

02:21see some thundery showers.

02:24Another mild and muggy night to come so it is going to be quite a warm start to the day

02:29and plenty of cloud across the far north too.

02:32This once again possibly producing some showers but they're unlikely to be quite as intense as

02:36what we could possibly see on Thursday.

02:39Once again a large portion of England and Wales seeing all toward blue skies for most of the

02:43the day and plenty of sunshine temperatures starting to increase once more highs reaching

02:47around 31 degrees Celsius in the London air but widely in the mid to high twenties elsewhere.

02:54But once again across Scotland Northern Ireland starting to see a slight change in those temperatures

02:57something a little cooler highs reaching around 21 to 22 Celsius so it's not going to be cold

03:02but it's certainly going to be a little cooler than what we've had earlier in the week.

03:06So as we take a look at temperatures into a bit more detail we can see today on Wednesday

03:13the highest of the temperatures have been quite widespread across the country.

03:16This is temperatures compared to average.

03:19Now notice as we head further into Thursday the peak of those temperatures are likely to

03:22be towards the northeast of Scotland, eastern areas of England, parts of the southeast and

03:28then moving into Friday we see a bit of a flip on where we see the peak of those temperatures

03:32where actually north eastern parts of Scotland, north eastern parts of England will see temperatures

03:36more towards average for the time of year but once again we'll start to see that peak of the

03:41heat across parts of the south and southwest and that's where we'll start to see those temperatures

03:45increase day by day possibly leading to another localized heat wave across the southwest.

03:50That's definitely one to watch over the coming days and that's still because we see high

03:54pressure slowly shifting its way to the northeast will continue with that southerly flow dragging up

03:59that warm air from continental Europe but as I already mentioned that too means we could pick

04:05up some low cloud from the north sea so eastern areas through Saturday morning are going to see

04:09a fair amount of cloud now it will tend to lift and break and we'll certainly see some sunny spells

04:14by the afternoon where we see the warmest of temperatures but for some that cloud may linger

04:19on just for a little bit longer than perhaps hoped for the best of the brightness is certainly going

04:23to be in the west northern Ireland parts of Wales and parts of Devon and Cornwall once again

04:28that's where we're going to see the best of the temperatures highs reaching around 29 degrees

04:32celsius this time in the southwest take a look at those temperatures in eastern areas though much cooler

04:38than earlier in the week more towards the low 20s and that's just where we're going to see that cloud

04:43linger on for a bit of a little bit longer but for some I know not everyone's a fan of the heat

04:48so for some it will be a nice little brief respite for the time being and then Sunday once again fairly

04:54similar picture that low cloud lingering in eastern areas trying to lift and break

04:58through the course of the morning then we do just need to keep an eye on this area just pushing

05:03through into the southwest some thick areas of cloud across Devon and Cornwall perhaps parts of

05:08Wales and a chance this could bring some showers these possibly turning heavy and thundery

05:13what you'll also notice later Saturday through into Sunday as well as we start to find our way

05:18on the edge of that high that things will start to turn a little blustery too a little bit breezier

05:22particularly as we head into the afternoon especially if you catch one of those heavy

05:26thundery showers some quite strong gusty winds at times certainly possible highs still reaching

05:32around 27 to 28 degrees celsius and those slightly cooler temperatures still once again where we find

05:38that cloud lingering around eastern coasts let's take a look once again how this compares to average and

05:43where we see the shift of those highest temperatures so for Saturday southern parts of Wales southwestern

05:50parts of England western areas of Scotland northern Ireland seeing the peak of the temperatures it

05:54becomes a little bit more widespread a little bit more eastwards we'll see those higher temperatures

05:59into Sunday central areas of England for example we'll start to see a slightly warmer day on Sunday

06:05and it's really those eastern areas that see those temperatures more towards average for the time of

06:09year but on Monday some areas will start to creep up slightly so for the weekend as a whole then the

06:17sunniest and the warmest of the weather most of the time is going to be in the west a little cloudier in

06:22the north and east and in some areas that cloud could linger through much of the day and in the southwest

06:28starting to turn that little bit breezier some gusts at times and a chance we could see some of those

06:33heavy thundery showers keep an eye on the forecast for that one then after that i'm afraid this is when it

06:39starts to get a little bit tricky and it's all down to what's happening across into the

06:43Atlantic where we currently have tropical storm Erin moving its way towards the states and it's not

06:50untypical for this time of year to get some areas of areas of low pressure getting picked up by our

06:55jet stream we've had storm florist for example ex-tropical storm dexter but it very much depends on

07:01whereabouts they sit towards the jet stream if they sit on the cooler side or if they sit to the south in the warmer

07:08side for example storm florist did sit to the cooler side and it brought some wet and windy weather

07:13to parts of the uk but actually ex-tropical storm dexter it stayed it generally became a filling

07:19feature and it stayed out to the west and that's actually one of the reasons why we've seen

07:22our heat increase over the coming days it brought in that southerly flow and we dragged in the heat

07:27from the near continent so let's take a look at the track of tropical storm Erin as we head into next

07:33week it'll eventually become ex-tropical storm and then we just need to see whether it is going to

07:38impact us here in the uk now the pink colors here there's a couple of trajectories this is from the

07:43america model that actually pushes this storm the center of the storm more towards florida but you can

07:48see the bulk of the models green being our global model that we use here at the met office the blue

07:53colors the european model and most of them swing it round northeastwards around the eastern seaboard

08:00but still it really depends whereabouts it's going to sit around our jet stream as we head later into

08:06the week from monday onwards though it's highly likely that we'll still see a fairly similar pattern

08:11as to what we'll have over the weekend so high pressure sat out to the west this is only a 26

08:17chance so it's likely that high pressure will be slightly situated more towards the country so we'll

08:21continue to see those warm plumes of air across parts of the south but with that we'll start to see

08:27something a little bit more unsettled cloud thundery showers and they'll likely drift their way north

08:31eastwards through the course of the day and then from tuesday onwards that really is when it becomes

08:36tricky to forecast so early next week the influence of high pressure will eventually start to wane we'll

08:42see increasingly showery conditions from the southwest drifting their way north eastwards but

08:47nevertheless the temperatures are still going to be above average so where you do see any sunshine it is

08:52still going to feel mostly warm and pleasant now it's towards the end of the week where we need

08:57to keep an eye on tropical storm erin now of course what we do here at the met office we look at multiple

09:03models and we run those models multiple times this is our european model for example where we slightly

09:08change the initial conditions each time each time that it's been run and it does certainly give us a

09:14range of solutions one of which is member 21 that shows quite a deep area of low pressure towards the west

09:20that will bring some quite wet and windy conditions possibly similar to what we saw with storm floris

09:26but then we take a look at member 2 and actually that builds a ridge of high pressure and we'll

09:29probably continue to see quite settled and warm conditions so it's really tricky to forecast towards

09:35the end of the 10-day period so if you do want more details as we head further into the forecast we'll

09:42make sure you stay subscribed to our youtube channel

10 Day Trend 13/08/2025 – When will the heatwave end? – Met Office weather forecast UK

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