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00:00Sunday, there's a ton of home dogs, a lot of them coming off of by to Pats are not one
00:07of those teams plus two and a half for them at home against the Colts 42 and a half is
00:13the total in this game.
00:16I mean, the Colts have I don't know, I haven't been impressive game.
00:21I thought Richardson was awful against the Lions last week.
00:24I know the Pats stink your Pats defense stinks, which is where can the Colts actually get
00:30something going in the past game here, Kim, because they should beat the Patriots.
00:35But it's a tricky lot.
00:36Two and a half makes it seem too easy almost with the Colts.
00:40You're damn right.
00:41And I think a lot of people are going to be on the Colts and I might fall right into this
00:43trap.
00:44It's a very dangerous game.
00:45I thought Pierce could have been he dropped a couple balls.
00:48He was open some bad penalties by Indianapolis last week against the Lions.
00:52But this is a better team.
00:54They got a fight.
00:55They're five and seven football team covered.
00:56They got to win this game.
00:57And this is the thing like they're going to be they're going to be pumped up.
00:59I don't like the fact that it's two and a half like you.
01:02I like three.
01:03So that's the deal.
01:04I'm going to take the horseshoe buddy, but I don't feel comfortable.
01:09I don't feel comfortable with it either.
01:11Kim.
01:12In fact, I kind of you know what I like in this game.
01:14I like the under under it or not under 42 and a half for the Colts and the Patriots.
01:20That's kind of where I'm looking right now for this game.
01:24Interesting one on Sunday, Arizona into Minneapolis against the Vikings.
01:29We know the deal with the Cardinals now, Kim, they know they were at first in the West.
01:33Now they're tied after losing in Seattle last week to your Seahawks have to make the trip
01:38up to see the Vikings here.
01:40They're getting three and a half 44 and a half is the total.
01:45I like Arizona in this spot.
01:46I got four earlier on in the week.
01:47It's down to three and a half.
01:49I'm going to tell you, Carver, this is the type of game that Arizona can win.
01:52Not very crisp against Seattle, but Kyler Murray, they will do enough.
01:55This is a desperate football team.
01:57I think they're going to get in there and win.
01:59And Minnesota, they've been playing real tight games.
02:02I like I like this spread because if Minnesota wins, I think they win between one and three.
02:06Give me the Cardinals.
02:07Cheap, cheap, cheap.
02:08Cardinals, cheap, cheap, cheap for Kim coming in this week.
02:13Unbelievable with you.
02:16I don't trust the Vikings laying the three and a half.
02:19That's the problem for me.
02:20I don't trust the Vikings.
02:21Vikings have to pick them up here first of all.
02:26Yeah.
02:27I love it.
02:28Bet the Cardinals, dad.
02:29Come on, dad.
02:30You love those Cardinal tickets.
02:31Now, I'm going to tell you, Carver, this is the deal.
02:38Arizona wins those type of games.
02:40That's what they that's what they do.
02:42They linger in the game.
02:43And take a look at Minnesota.
02:44Sure, they're winning games, but they're winning tight football games.
02:47They let the Bears get back into that game.
02:49They've been winning, but not like blowing anybody out like they were in the start.
02:53Sam Darnold starting to regress a little bit.
02:56So yeah, I think we're going to have to take the Cardinals there.
02:58It's a good line.
02:59Anything over the hook.
03:00You give me you give me over three.
03:02I'm definitely going to be on the Cardinals in that one.
03:04Pittsburgh, Cincinnati.
03:05What are we going to do here?
03:08Know what?
03:09Seattle.
03:10This is my game.
03:11When we talked about it with Carver the other day, everybody is going to take Pittsburgh
03:16as a dog.
03:17They're like, why the hell are the Bengals favored by two and a half?
03:20Well, the books aren't stupid.
03:22And I'm going to tell you one thing.
03:23I'm going to take the Cincinnati Bengals to win this game by four.
03:27I like them in this situation.
03:29This is a spot where Pittsburgh, I think, gets into a little bit of trouble.
03:32And Cincinnati's offense will do enough.
03:34The problem with Russell Wilson and at offenses, despite the Bengals having a pretty porous
03:38D, I think Cincinnati Chase Brown, Jamar Chase and the rest of the crew will do enough to
03:45cover that number.
03:46Next game we got on the board.
03:48Oh, God, this one's tough.
03:50What do we got?
03:51The L.A. Chargers at Atlanta.
03:53This is one of the hardest games of the week.
03:55I got to tell you, guys, I'm taking Atlanta.
03:58I might be stupid here.
03:59I did a show with Pat Mayo and a couple other guys.
04:02Everybody's on L.A. in this spot.
04:04I know my boy, Jeff Feinberg, great fan of the Chargers, but Atlanta coming off the bye.
04:10This is what you have to do, cousins.
04:11It's a very simple recipe.
04:13You run B. John into the ground in this game.
04:16He gets 20 to 30 touches with a little pinch of Algeria in there.
04:19Then we go.
04:20It'll set up the pass game to Drake, London and pits and everybody else.
04:23So give me Frank Falcon.
04:25I am not comfortable with this game, but everybody seems to be on the Chargers.
04:29So I will fly with the Falcon.
04:32Some more of these games on Sunday, and I know while I was putting that fire out, Cam,
04:36you started a few of them, but I want to go back really fast and talk about a couple of
04:40them.
04:41The Pittsburgh Cincinnati game, I gave you the numbers yesterday about the quote unquote
04:46bad teams being favored over the good teams, especially in week 13 or later.
04:51It is bizarre to see the four and 17 minus two and a half against the eight and three
04:55team.
04:56I think a lot of people are going to fall into the trap, as they would say, by taking
05:02the eight and three team, getting the points.
05:04And I know that Scotty probably wouldn't be happy with me here.
05:08But in fact, you know what he did say last week on Friday before he left?
05:12He said to the Bengals next week too, after they lost to the Browns on Thursday night.
05:17So, you know what, Cam, maybe he wouldn't be, and he'd be with me on this.
05:20I like the Bengals in this game.
05:22I love them.
05:24The numbers telling you it's the Bengals.
05:28And I think we follow the number on this one, Cam, with this minus two and a half for Cincinnati.
05:33I've even seen some threes start to pop up at a couple of places.
05:37So two and a half, obviously we like two and a half a lot better than three.
05:41But for me, Cam, it's Cincinnati or nothing on Sunday in this game.
05:46Couldn't agree more.
05:47The thing is, Pittsburgh's D is awesome, but with Chase and those weapons, all Cincinnati
05:50has to do is stop Pittsburgh's offense.
05:52And that's one thing you can do.
05:54Pittsburgh likes to be in games with teams with anemic offenses so they can win.
05:57And Boswell's a good kicker.
05:59I'm telling you, Cincinnati shows up in this game, Carver, and we cover the number.
06:02I love it.
06:03Well, the weird thing is, is like you said, Pittsburgh's offense, but Cincinnati's defense
06:07is like one of the worst in the year.
06:09Oh, it's awful.
06:10This really is one of those true tests of who's going to win because the Pittsburgh
06:16always struggled, especially in the red zone.
06:19They've won a couple of games this year, just kicking field goals.
06:21And the Cincinnati D can't stop a nosebleed.
06:23So will Pittsburgh be able to score on them?
06:27Very much the difference in the game for me.
06:29The Chargers in Atlanta against the Falcons.
06:32Now, I've got some Falcon NFC South tickets, Cam, that I am lined up with and I'm getting,
06:39I'm starting to get a little bit nervous.
06:42If they can't get this done this week, I'm stunned the Chargers are favored.
06:45The Falcons are off the buy.
06:48They're healthy.
06:49The Chargers are played.
06:50They played Monday night.
06:52They're going cross country for the one o'clock kick.
06:54So 10 a.m. on the West Coast for them, it would be.
06:58They've got Dobbins hurt, who's their best offensive weapon in the backfield.
07:03So many things point to Atlanta, but yet the Chargers are one and a half point favorite.
07:08Make it make sense, Cam.
07:10Make it make sense.
07:11Oh, I'll make it make sense for you.
07:13People are betting on the Chargers.
07:14I've done shows all week and nobody's taken the Falcons.
07:17I'm taking Frank Falcon.
07:19You're flying with me with the Falcons.
07:21And if they can't get it done off a damn buy, here's the deal, Morris, get a game plan.
07:26You and your coaching staff just execute a game plan, which involves touches for Bijon
07:30we talked about.
07:31And then you can put in the hammer, Algier, and that'll set up things.
07:34That'll set up pits as we talked about in London and everything else they can do.
07:38Just get it together.
07:39Give Kirk a little bit of time and you'll be able to shred these guys.
07:42I'm on the Falcons as well.
07:43If they can't get it done now, when are they going to get it done?
07:46Yep.
07:47Dirty birds for me, Cam.
07:49I'm on the Falcons and I will completely let go of them if they don't get it done this
07:53week.
07:54I'll be done with them.
07:55They'll be on the list if they don't get it done at home against the Chargers.
08:00Your Seattle Seahawks heading east, another team heading east, West Coast team for the
08:06one o'clock east kick, into MetLife against the Jets.
08:10Now one and a half for Seattle, so another home dog off a bye, which is what the Jets
08:14are.
08:15Forty-two and a half total.
08:18I know you're not going to like hearing this, or maybe you're probably thinking as well.
08:24I don't think this is a good spot for Seattle, Cam.
08:27I don't either.
08:28Not this week.
08:29I don't think it's a good spot for them at all.
08:30They're coming off a great win against Arizona.
08:35As much as we make fun of the Jets around here, I don't think they're going to lose
08:39every game the rest of the year.
08:40This is kind of one of those ones that lines up in a real perfect situation for them at
08:45home against the West Coast team early.
08:47They've had a bye.
08:48The other team hasn't.
08:50It's Jets for me, Cam, believe it or not, as much as we bash them.
08:53Hey, listen.
08:54I'm going to bet the Seahawks are my team, but I'm going to tell you this.
08:58Jets teasers make more than any sense.
09:00You don't want to screw around with Seattle maybe winning by two or three.
09:03If you put the Jets in a teaser, this game's going to be tight.
09:06That's what I'd say.
09:07So you take the dog, you tease them, find anything else you want to do with them.
09:10It is not going to be easy for Seattle, but I'll tell you one thing, Carver.
09:14Better on the East Coast recently, they played the Lions tough.
09:17They beat Atlanta.
09:18They beat New England.
09:19I know it's just New England, but these guys, Seattle has actually played better road football
09:23until last week where they beat Arizona.
09:26So it'll be interesting.
09:27I think Seattle might win this game by between one and three.
09:30The Jets could upset them.
09:31It's going to be tight.
09:32Let's put it that way.
09:34You got a lot of those.
09:35I don't know how much you love the teasers, Cam.
09:36You got a lot of those nice teaser with these, with these one and two and a half.
09:42Those one and two and a half are always the best ones that you can jump on three and through
09:47the seven, eight and a half, seven and a half.
09:50Like you got the Jets.
09:51You got, who else do we got?
09:53The Cardinals.
09:54You could put on, I guess you could put, you could put New England.
09:58I don't know if you want to put New England in there.
10:00The Saints.
10:01You could put in there, which we'll talk about in a moment at getting two and a half at home
10:05against the Rams.
10:06So you have a lot of those one and a half, two and a half numbers.
10:11You want to put the Steelers in there, even though we think the Bengals are going to win
10:15getting the Steelers over the touchdown mark.
10:18No, you think?
10:19No, I don't want the Steelers in.
10:20I don't want the Steelers in because one thing Cincinnati can do, they might be able to explode
10:24and win this game by 10 and then we lose on the dealer.
10:27Sorry, Scotty.
10:28Cut my mic.
10:29Bengals can win this game by more than the teaser number.
10:32I think they can win by 10.
10:34Houston off of a bad loss at home to Tennessee is in Jacksonville.
10:40What do we do with this train wreck?
10:41Home dog off a bye for Jacksonville.
10:45Same situation as a few of these others.
10:47Houston's minus four and a half, 43 and a half is the total in this one.
10:53As far as Lawrence goes, I believe he was, was he back at practice?
10:58I think he's playing practice today.
11:00He's feeling better and he hopes to play on Sunday.
11:03That's a big difference.
11:04Cam, whether it's Lawrence or Mac Jones, because Mac Jones is pathetic as you know.
11:10Matt Jones is a slug, but I'm going to tell you, I'm going to tell you this little Carver
11:13Houston.
11:14You're getting a better number with these guys now because a lot of betters are losing
11:17faith with Houston.
11:18This line has gone down, which is very interesting.
11:21If you're going to like Houston as a favorite, this might be the week they kind of own Jacksonville.
11:27I don't feel comfortable with it.
11:28I think I'm going to put Houston, what I'm going to do with Houston, I think they win
11:31the game.
11:32I'm going to put a money line parlayed together with plus money.
11:34I don't want to lay the points.
11:35They're going to be a parlay piece for me.
11:37Right.
11:38Few more for Sunday's NFL and then we'll move on to all the college.
11:41Lots of action this week.
11:42The Titans who got a win in Houston now go to Washington to see the commanders.
11:48The commanders have lost three in a row, including last week against Dallas.
11:54This was five and a half the last few days, Cam, but now six and a half is what I'm seeing
12:00here on a Wednesday afternoon, 44 and a half is the total.
12:05Now remember something about Tennessee.
12:08That was only the second game, Cam, obviously it was an outright win, only the second game
12:12that they've covered all year was that game.
12:15So they have not been good at the window for any of us.
12:18Will they bring good at the window for us on Sunday though against Washington?
12:22I'm back, Carver.
12:24I'm back because I'm a glutton for punishment.
12:27Will Levis don't throw a pick six.
12:29I love the way the defense is playing.
12:31Think about this though, Carver.
12:32I just want you to think about something.
12:33How many games has Tennessee thrown away this year?
12:36Like absolutely thrown away.
12:38They should have murdered the Bears week when they dominated all these games they give away.
12:43They could have actually been there for my wins total at the start of the year.
12:46Washington isn't playing well.
12:47I get it.
12:48This could be a get right spot where they win this game by like 10, 13.
12:53I'm rooting for the Titans.
12:54I'm doing it back to back week.
12:55Sprinkle on the money line.
12:56I'm going to get it all back in a few weeks.
12:59I love the over in this game, 44 and a half.
13:03I think we can get some P-O-I-N-T-S, points, points, points, tee it high and let it fly
13:10for this one.
13:11I don't know if I trust, I'm definitely not trusting Washington laying it, but I also
13:16don't know if I could trust Tennessee off of just last week.
13:19So I'm going to just go with the rooting for both teams to score cam.
13:23I think that's where I'm going to go instead.
13:26Over 44 and a half, Titans and the commanders for me.
13:30Tampa heads to Carolina against the Panthers.
13:33We spent a lot of time earlier this week talking about how much Bryce Young has improved over
13:38his last three starts.
13:39Now he's getting five and a half at home against Tampa, who's very much in the mix.
13:44Now only really they're two games back of Atlanta, remember, because they lost twice
13:48to them.
13:49So if they're five and six in Atlanta, six and five, they'd have to completely jump them
13:53in order to win the NFC South.
13:55That could start with a win here, 46 and a half is the total.
14:00I'm going back to Bryce Young.
14:02I'm not quitting it right now, cam.
14:04I'm going back to Bryce with the five and a half at home.
14:07I'm going to tell you something, Carver.
14:09I think Carolina wins this game outright and we can put this one in a promo, but that's
14:15not some hot take.
14:16I really believe it.
14:17They played great against Kansas City.
14:20They got Thielen back.
14:22They got all sorts of guys, horns healthy in the secondary with all of his buddies back
14:26there.
14:27Their line is getting better.
14:29Bryce Young's getting a little bit of protection.
14:30They're finding open receivers.
14:32This is a stumbling block for Tampa Bay, and you know what I love about this game?
14:36Tampa Bay murdered the Giants, so everybody's going to go to the window thinking this is
14:39a lock.
14:40Maybe Carolina plus the points, sprinkle money line.
14:43Let's go.
14:44I'm with you.
14:46I'm with you.
14:47Look, they can win the game.
14:48We've seen it.
14:49It's only five and a half.
14:50We've seen a lot of it.
14:51Plus 205 for the Panthers.
14:53Why not, cam?
14:54Let's go get it out there, Carolina.
14:56Also in the late window, you have the Rams and the Saints in New Orleans.
15:03Ram, again, home dog off a bye.
15:06That is another.
15:07This is like the third or fourth team I'm giving you, cam, like this.
15:09The Saints are in that same spot getting two and a half at home, 48 and a half is the total.
15:16I think I said this to you yesterday, and I'm going to say it again, or I might have
15:18said it to Kurtz last night.
15:19I think this total is way too high.
15:21It was 49 and a half yesterday.
15:22It's already gone down one tick.
15:24I think 48 and a half is a lot for the Saints and the Rams.
15:28I agree.
15:29I think the under is the plan.
15:30I'm going to tell you something.
15:31I think the Rams are going to win this game and cover, and this is huge for my Asian handicap.
15:35I made a bet with Mayo.
15:36I got Carolina plus one and a half games for my season total of the old Asian handicap,
15:41and if Carolina can beat Tampa and these guys lose, I'm up a game and a half because
15:46they'll both have four wins.
15:48Extra incentive.
15:49I need these Panthers to claw the Buccaneers hard and the Saints to take a bath.
15:54So you've got Panther wins versus Saint wins.
15:57Is that what you?
15:58Yeah.
15:59He gave me plus one and a half.
16:00Yeah.
16:01So if they win six and a half.
16:03Yeah.
16:04So if he wins, say, say Carolina wins five and Saints win six, I win because I get the
16:08hook.
16:09Right.
16:10Okay.
16:11All right, Cam.
16:12I'm with you, baby.
16:13Let's go.
16:14I'm alive.
16:15Best game of the early slate, or at least I should say in the really all of Sunday afternoon
16:20is probably in Baltimore where we have the Eagles and the Ravens getting together.
16:25We always love when we have multiple bird in the same matchup, Cam.
16:29Always good when you get a few birds in there, Eagles and Ravens.
16:32Minus three for Baltimore, 51 and a half.
16:36That is a heavy total for the 425 East kick.
16:41No one thought it might get there.
16:43Baltimore's offense can score Philly.
16:44You know what I mean?
16:46Philly can score on them.
16:47Baltimore's secondary is not that great.
16:49So I think we can get there.
16:50I like the Ravens in this spot, Carver, to win this game by three or four, just covering
16:54the number I'm on out of the battle of the birds, Raven over Eagle.
17:00Last one for the NFL, which is the Sunday night game, Bills and the Niners in Orchard
17:05Park.
17:06Niners having all kinds of problems the past few weeks.
17:10They've got injuries all up and down.
17:12I've even told Gabe before there was a report, one of the reporters saw Trent Williams in
17:16the locker room with one of those knee rollers, you know, where he's just swinging around
17:20on one leg.
17:22So that's probably not a good sign for him on Sunday night.
17:26Bills are now minus six and a half.
17:29Totals at 44 and a half.
17:30Yesterday, they tried to scare everybody that this was going to be some kind of Snowmageddon
17:35game.
17:36And there was going to be, you know, a couple of feet of snow on the ground in Buffalo.
17:39I don't think that's the case, Cam.
17:40It sounds more the people that I talk to are saying, yes, there could be some snow showers.
17:46Yes, it's going to be cold, but this is not going to be probably not even the kind of
17:51on field, you know, precipitation that like you got with the Steelers and the Browns last
17:57week.
17:58It doesn't sound like it's not even close.
17:59Not even close.
18:00No, it is, Carver.
18:02It's been like, this is the way Canadian fall is.
18:04And you know me, I'm only about an hour and change outside of Buffalo.
18:06It's that cold sleet.
18:08It's like half rain, half snow.
18:10That's what they're going to get.
18:11I think in Buffalo, that's the weather we've been getting.
18:13And another thing is to win.
18:15That's the real problem.
18:16Like in these fall games, like wind might be a factor in the game as well.
18:20But yeah, I don't see that Browns field looked like a hockey rink.
18:23That was unbelievable.