New tropical threat may arise next week

AccuWeather

AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jon Porter talks about the potential for tropical development in the Caribbean next week.

Transcript

00:00This was a very damaging storm for southeastern North Carolina, so much so that our experts

00:07had taken a look at this and were ready to give an economic impact from our unnamed tropical

00:13rainstorm.

00:14Another billion-dollar disaster, more than billion-dollar disaster.

00:18This one AccuWeather experts preliminarily estimating $7 billion of total damage and

00:23economic loss.

00:24This is a very holistic review of not only just the damage, but also business interruption,

00:31supply chain interruption, cost of recovery, many different aspects that we're looking

00:37at here.

00:38And the other thing to point out was the flooding damage.

00:40Remember, flooding damage is particularly costly because not only do you have to deal

00:44with the damage, but also be concerned about mold and mildew, secondary effects.

00:49And oftentimes, flood damage is not covered by homeowners insurance.

00:53You'll need to have separate insurance cover from the National Flood Insurance Program.

00:58That's going to be an issue for homeowners across North Carolina.

01:01And John, you know, let's take a look at this graphic here because we want to give this

01:05some reference points from our tropical rainstorm compared to other storms.

01:10Absolutely.

01:11And remember, Francine AccuWeather estimated just last week $9 billion in total damage

01:15and economic loss.

01:16So our unnamed storm here that brought to all of these impacts, similar cost to Francine,

01:24but under Debbie and Beryl.

01:25And the other number to compare to put this event into context is Florence from 2018.

01:29In similar area, North Carolina, that resulted in $50 to $60 billion of total damage and

01:35economic impact because it brought catastrophic flooding, but over a much wider area.

01:40The flooding with this storm was similar, but it was a very focused area to just a county

01:44or two.

01:45Let's go ahead here, John, some news here from the forecasting department here as we

01:50made a decision just a short time ago.

01:54Our experts, our hurricane experts meeting, we decided to upgrade the risk for development

01:59in the Northwest Caribbean next week to a high risk.

02:02This is ahead of all other sources.

02:04The government and other sources are just talking about a low risk, but our experts

02:08are very concerned that this pattern is going to yield a tropical storm and eventually a

02:13hurricane.

02:14Yeah, the other bullet points here, we're thinking the Northwest Caribbean by the middle

02:18part of the week and also history and meteorology give us some clues about intensification.

02:28They sure do.

02:29And in this kind of a setup, this is very favorable for the storm to develop into a

02:33hurricane and move into the Gulf of Mexico.

02:37And of course, our greatest concerns, as we've been talking about for a couple of days, are

02:40from Louisiana to Florida.

02:43Do not let your guard down, even all the way back to Texas in this type of pattern.

02:47Frequently check with the AccuWeather forecast here in the coming days.

02:50AccuWeather Chief Meteorologist Jonathan Porter.

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