Buffalo Vs. Commander Preview: Betting Analysis and Predictions

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00:00 (upbeat music)

00:02 - This is what has me interested in Buffalo.

00:06 So let's just start with their game.

00:07 They play the Commanders.

00:08 They're a six and a half point road favorite

00:10 here in this matchup.

00:12 The total's been eye popping to me all day long.

00:15 I'm trying to take a deep breath.

00:16 I took a tough beat.

00:17 It is what it is on an under 47 and a half.

00:20 Game lands 48.

00:21 It is what it is, Donnie.

00:22 I look at the 43.

00:24 Sam Howell's been having some success here now

00:26 with this offense.

00:27 We know the Bills can get high flying.

00:29 Am I, I want to bet this over 43,

00:31 but am I missing something?

00:33 - I don't know if you're missing anything,

00:34 but also some people spooked about the weather conditions

00:36 'cause that's right in that area

00:37 where the rain is coming through.

00:38 But again, windy conditions aren't supposed to be there,

00:41 which means you should be able to throw the football.

00:42 You take a look at the offense for Washington.

00:44 I like where they're going with Eric Bandamy right now.

00:46 Loved how they came back last week against Denver.

00:48 Also, you're taking a look at the Buffalo Bills.

00:50 They can beat you in any way.

00:51 I actually have a lot of rushing props in this game

00:53 that I do make some sense,

00:54 but just to sell you on the total and the going over,

00:56 we talked so many times about,

00:57 hey man, this team's unhealthy.

00:59 This team's got wide receivers down.

01:00 Both of these teams coming, outside of Logan Thomas,

01:02 they're coming in really healthy in this one.

01:03 So if we're looking from an aspect where it's like,

01:06 okay, it might be rainy conditions.

01:07 You got two, look, Josh Allen is very mobile.

01:10 You take a look at Sam Howe.

01:11 He still has some wheels in this one.

01:12 These offenses should move the football today, Joe.

01:14 - Well, I'll tell you what,

01:15 I can't bet this game in terms of the total perspective.

01:18 Crazy games seem to happen in Washington

01:21 when good teams go in there.

01:22 I remember Kansas City struggled for a half or two.

01:25 They were laying five and a half a couple of years ago.

01:27 There is the pretend,

01:28 I don't wanna say look at,

01:29 but they do have the Dolphins on deck

01:31 from Buffalo's perspective.

01:32 And if I'm Eric B. Enomy,

01:33 as good and as hot as Sam Howell has been,

01:36 300 yards, put that 299 last week

01:39 in the come from behind win against Denver.

01:41 Do we really wanna go toe to toe

01:43 with Josh Allen in that offense?

01:44 More Brian Robinson, more the rushing attack.

01:47 That still is the weakness right now

01:49 of Buffalo giving up 113 rushing yards per game.

01:52 We wanna sustain drives, maybe grind it out,

01:55 build a 10-3 lead, 10-7,

01:58 and let's see if we can get it

01:59 into the second half of this ball game

02:01 and potentially steal it.

02:02 So I lean, I'm not betting this game.

02:05 If I had, I think there's no doubt the Bills win,

02:07 but I lean to the under,

02:09 and if I had to bet this game,

02:11 I probably, if it got up closer to six, six and a half,

02:14 I might pull the trigger on the Commanders.

02:17 (upbeat music)

02:19 (upbeat music)

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